The climate monitor for Taiwan’s manufacturing industry last month showed a depressed economy amid weakened demand, suppressed selling prices and dampened operating conditions, the Taiwan Institute of Economic Research (TIER, 台灣經濟研究院) said yesterday.
The TIER business composite index was 9.7, shedding 1.18 points from a month earlier, heading into a recessionary zone for the first time since August 2020.
The Taipei-based think tank attributed the retreat mainly to continued monetary tightening in the US and Europe intended to fight inflation, which has curtailed demand for goods and services.
Photo: Sean Chao, Taipei Times
China’s surge in COVID-19 infections has also lent uncertainty to an ongoing slowdown previously induced by oppressive disease control measures and other disruptions.
Export orders and manufacturing growth are expected to continue to contract over the next few months amid inventory adjustments, government data showed.
The largest decrease was in demand, with a drop of 0.67 points, followed by a 0.27 point decline in operating conditions, TIER’s monthly survey showed.
Input and selling price measures edged down 0.19 points and 0.11 points respectively, while the cost reading gained 0.06 points, it showed.
Local manufacturers are the mainstay of exports, which account for 60 percent of the nation’s GDP.
About 72.4 percent of companies experienced a business downturn, swelling from 41.2 percent in October, TIER said, adding that 27 percent described their operations as “sluggish,” and less than 1 percent managed to hold steady. No respondent posted growth.
Textile and pulp suppliers took a hit from slumping demand in the US and Europe, despite resilient sales at home, the institute said.
Similarly, makers of petrochemical and plastic products remained weighed by inventory corrections, although the entry of more players helped reduce cost burdens, it said.
Base metal product vendors are tightening their belts to cope with conservative purchasing strategies by upstream and downstream clients, it said.
The global economic slowdown is hitting non-tech manufacturers harder than tech firms, given that demand for chips used in 5G and high-performance computing remains strong, TIER said.
However, sales of smartphones, computers, wearables and peripheral products tumbled, as people assign prefer in-person experiences in the post-COVID-19 era, it said.
Transportation tool makers reported soft business as inflation affected vehicle purchases, it said.
After several years flying high as Asia’s best Nvidia Corp proxy, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) is increasingly vying with other artificial intelligence (AI) stocks for investor attention. Stock traders are chasing a wider array of beneficiaries as mainstream usage of AI creates demand for hardware beyond the most-advanced chips TSMC makes for Nvidia. Subthemes from the deepening memory crunch to advances in robotics are also luring bids. At the same time, investment caps on single stocks are pushing funds to diversify, while retail investors long familiar with TSMC through its US depositary receipts are being offered a broader set of
UNDER MICROSCOPE: Taiwan detained three people who allegedly conspired to buy servers in Taiwan and export them using fraudulent documentation, prosecutors said Nvidia Corp chief executive officer Jensen Huang (黃仁勳) on Saturday urged Super Micro Computer Inc to tighten up on compliance after Taiwan detained three people this week for allegedly making fraudulent declarations about artificial intelligence (AI) servers made by its US partner. The development marked the nation’s first crackdown on semiconductor smuggling, which grew after the US slapped restrictions on exports of high-end chips such as Nvidia AI accelerators to China. Nvidia is “rigorous” in explaining regulations to all of its partners, Huang told reporters after arriving in Taipei. “Ultimately Super Micro has to run their own company,” he said in response to
TECH RELIANCE: Growth is increasingly reflecting an unequal K-shaped distribution, where technology sectors outperform and other industries struggle, an expert said Standard Chartered Bank has significantly raised its forecast for Taiwan’s economic growth to 9.5 percent this year, up from 7.6 percent previously, citing surging artificial intelligence (AI) demand driving exports, semiconductor production and investment. The upgrade reflects a sustained AI supercycle that continues to fuel demand for advanced chips and technology infrastructure, which form the backbone of Taiwan’s exports, the bank said in a report this week. “We raise our 2026 growth forecast to reflect a much stronger-than-expected first-quarter GDP figure,” Standard Chartered senior economist for greater China and Asia Tommy Wu (胡東安) said in the report. Driven largely by a 35.3 percent
Two of Taiwan’s international carriers, Starlux Airlines Co (星宇航空) and EVA Airways Corp (長榮航空), have retained the five-star airline rating awarded by international airline review organization Skytrax. Starlux was awarded the distinction for a second consecutive year, while EVA Air received it for the 11th straight year, Skytrax said in statements released yesterday and on Thursday last week, respectively. The five-star rating is considered one of the airline industry's highest honors and is awarded following professional audits of airline product and frontline service standards, Skytrax said. The ratings are based on in-depth assessments using unified global quality standards rather than customer review scores