Tue, Aug 18, 2009 page7

• Risky rescue missions complicate diplomacy

  FLIP SIDE: Some analysts argue that highly publicized public diplomacy can make it harder for the US administration to press for sanctions or isloate rogue regimes

  • AP
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  Rescue mission or diplomatic risk?

  While the sight of a freed American prisoner landing on home soil is a celebrated victory, recent high-profile diplomatic rescues in North Korea and Myanmar can also complicate US diplomacy.

  The release on Sunday of an American man from Myanmar after a visit there by Senator Jim Webb follows closely on the heels of a similar rescue of two journalists by former US president Bill Clinton in Pyongyang earlier this month.

  Both gained their public goal — the freedom of US captives. But both also nudged open a diplomatic door that could either invite welcome change or slam shut on US President Barack Obama’s emerging foreign policy.

  With their timing so close, the Clinton and Webb missions may suggest to other rogue nations that in dealings with the Obama administration, holding US hostages can be a profitable political ploy.

  “They can look at this and say, there’s a new game afoot,” former US ambassador to the UN John Bolton said. “They think: We can get legitimacy and high level attention by using Americans as pawns.”

  Such visits, argue experts, can give regime leaders an aura of respect and recognition that may make it harder for the US to press for sanctions or continue isolation policies aimed at forcing change in everything from humans rights to nuclear power.

  At the same time, Bolton said, there is the risk that other would-be heroes across the Washington power spectrum may also decide that they too could wage “publicity hound diplomacy.”

  Still, the solo rescue missions can spawn benefits that make the risks worth taking.

  First and foremost, such lower level contact that doesn’t involve a sitting president or secretary of state can take the temperature for change without the added pressure of a formal engagement that is more likely to demand results.

  In that way, it can be a face-­saving measure, since an unsuccessful mission by an unofficial delegate is less likely to be condemned as a White House failure.

  If successful, the solo sessions can lead to a long-term payoff — thawed relations between enemy nations or a shift in policy.

  Obama has advocated more contact with other less-friendly countries, even including a willingness to talk with Iran.

  He has said he would be willing to talk to anyone without preconditions, referring to nations with whom the Bush administration had refused to hold discussions.

  Webb on Sunday said he hoped his Myanmar visit and meeting with military junta leader Senior General Than Shwe would improve relations between the two countries. Washington has led efforts to impose political and economic sanctions on the regime because of its poor human rights record and failure to transfer power to democracy leader Aung San Suu Kyi after a 1990 election.

  The senator, who chairs the Senate Foreign Relations Committee’s East Asia and Pacific Affairs Subcommittee, is the first member of Congress to visit Myanmar in more than a decade. He said he plans to discuss his recommendations with US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton when he returns.

  White House press secretary Robert Gibbs said on Sunday that the White House had monitored the Myanmar situation, but he had little else to say about the Webb trip.

  “Obviously this was something that he did independently,” Gibbs said of Webb. “He was briefed before he left by the State Department.”

  Webb’s visit to Myanmar secured the freedom of John Yettaw, 53, of Missouri, who was apprehended after swimming uninvited to Suu Kyi’s lakeside residence, where she is being held on house arrest.

  Stephen Flanagan, senior vice president at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said Webb’s mission provides an opening for the Obama administration to begin a dialogue with Myanmar, which does not now have diplomatic relations with the US.

  Flanagan also dismissed suggestions that the rescue missions undercuts Hilary Clinton. She has a full agenda and is clearly shaping policy, he said.
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