Pessimism about artificial intelligence (AI) abounds, with many fearing widespread job losses, soaring inequality and even the creation of deadly machines. However, in Japan one finds marked optimism. We believe AI would help our country to overcome acute labor shortages, improve people’s daily lives and recover global tech leadership.
According to an Ipsos survey, one-quarter of Japanese feel anxious about AI’s predicted impact on their lives — the lowest share of the 32 countries surveyed. Only about one in 10 Japanese believe AI would make the future worse, a far cry from the more than one-third of Americans who are pessimistic about the technology.
This divergence reflects several factors, but one of the most important might be Japan’s long history of working with machines. It is easy for us to imagine AI-powered applications and devices that aid, not replace, humans. At a time when Japan’s labor pool is shrinking — 30 percent of Japanese are already aged 65 and older — AI labor savings would be key to boosting productivity and saving critical industries.
It is with this future in mind that my company, Rakuten Group, has invested in developing large language models and small language models optimized for the Japanese language and culture. We are using AI to transform critical services, such as mobile networks. Instead of the vendor-locked, hardware-centric networks of the past, Rakuten Mobile’s network makes flexible systems possible, enabling operators to mix and match components, while also minimizing energy consumption. Potential glitches are reported, reviewed, and fixed — all at a distance. Software upgrades are pushed out frequently. The network “learns” and makes fixes autonomously.
This innovation depends on an enabling regulatory environment. Fortunately, Japan has so far taken an “innovation-first” approach to AI governance. Japan’s AI Promotion Act, passed last year, imposes no stringent rules or penalties that could stifle AI adoption or experimentation, and creates space for close cooperation between the public and private sectors. As noted in a 2024 white paper, the goal is to make Japan the world’s “most AI-friendly country.”
This contrasts with the EU’s focus on mitigating risks, reflected not only in its 2024 AI Act, but also in rules that limit access to data AI developers need. Other AI innovators lag behind Japan when it comes to establishing supportive environments. Some emphasize social stability and state-directed innovation, while others are bogged down by long legal battles between rights-holders and AI developers.
Japan’s AI optimism translates into AI-friendly policies. Japanese courts interpret our copyright framework to allow the use of third-party copyrighted works for training AI models. This access to data attracts leading US frontier AI firms, such as OpenAI, to collaborative efforts with Japan-based companies like mine.
To be sure, Japan recognizes the importance of ensuring the safe development of AI. It was under Japan’s presidency that the G7 launched its Hiroshima AI Process, aimed at promoting “safe, secure, and trustworthy AI worldwide” and providing “guidance for organizations developing and using the most advanced AI systems.” However, the resulting framework focuses not on stifling regulations or threats of fines. Instead, it aims to help companies design effective risk-management mechanisms and encourages transparent information-sharing and reporting.
While Japan’s AI-friendly approach is already bearing fruit, there are pitfalls the country must avoid. For starters, Japan must encourage wider adoption of AI tools: As it stands, only half of Japanese firms are using generative AI, compared with more than 90 percent in the US, China and Germany.
Japan must also avoid getting so hung up on small-scale AI adoption that we lose sight of the bigger picture — namely, the critical importance of generating our own global AI leaders. We must strengthen our energy and cloud infrastructure, investing in electricity production (preferably from clean sources), and accelerating data center permitting. We should avoid being swept up by counterproductive notions of “digital sovereignty,” instead encouraging Japanese innovators to collaborate with frontier firms from the US and elsewhere.
With our highly skilled population, supportive regulatory environment and openness to AI, Japan is well equipped to emerge as a global AI leader. Now the government and business community must translate these strengths into concrete results.
Mickey Mikitani is founder, chairman and CEO of Rakuten Group.
Copyright: Project Syndicate
Reports about Elon Musk planning his own semiconductor fab have sparked anxiety, with some warning that Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) could lose key customers to vertical integration. A closer reading suggests a more measured conclusion: Musk is advancing a strategic vision of in-house chip manufacturing, but remains far from replacing the existing foundry ecosystem. For TSMC, the short-term impact is limited; the medium-term challenge lies in supply diversification and pricing pressure, only in the long term could it evolve into a structural threat. The clearest signal is Musk’s announcement that Tesla and SpaceX plan to develop a fab project dubbed “Terafab”
In late January, Taiwan’s first indigenous submarine, the Hai Kun (海鯤, or Narwhal), completed its first submerged dive, reaching a depth of roughly 50m during trials in the waters off Kaohsiung. By March, it had managed a fifth dive, still well short of the deep-water and endurance tests required before the navy could accept the vessel. The original delivery deadline of November last year passed months ago. CSBC Corp, Taiwan, the lead contractor, now targets June and the Ministry of National Defense is levying daily penalties for every day the submarine remains unfinished. The Hai Kun was supposed to be
Most schoolchildren learn that the circumference of the Earth is about 40,000km. They do not learn that the global economy depends on just 160 of those kilometers. Blocking two narrow waterways — the Strait of Hormuz and the Taiwan Strait — could send the economy back in time, if not to the Stone Age that US President Donald Trump has been threatening to bomb Iran back to, then at least to the mid-20th century, before the Rolling Stones first hit the airwaves. Over the past month and a half, Iran has turned the Strait of Hormuz, which is about 39km wide at
The ongoing Middle East crisis has reinforced an uncomfortable truth for Taiwan: In an increasingly interconnected and volatile world, distant wars rarely remain distant. What began as a regional confrontation between the US, Israel and Iran has evolved into a strategic shock wave reverberating far beyond the Persian Gulf. For Taiwan, the consequences are immediate, material and deeply unsettling. From Taipei’s perspective, the conflict has exposed two vulnerabilities — Taiwan’s dependence on imported energy and the risks created when Washington’s military attention is diverted. Together, they offer a preview of the pressures Taiwan might increasingly face in an era of overlapping geopolitical