For many, the escalation in intensity of military exercises around Taiwan has ceased to be shocking and is now a familiar, yet hard-to-ignore background noise. They have seeped into everyday life in the form of breaking news notifications during the early morning commute, military alerts that pop up between tasks at work and occasional forwarded discussions in family group chats. The seemingly muted response from members of the public is a result of adaptation under long-standing pressures.
For frontline workers, the drills have a tangible impact on the rhythms of daily life. Teachers must face questions from students and offer calm explanations of the situation; industry workers must consider impacts on shipping, logistics, and market fluctuations for how their supply chains and clientele might be affected. By and large, people’s concerns are simple and pragmatic. They center on whether or not their jobs would be affected and what adjustments they might need to make in their day, rather than on grand political considerations.
Exposure to prolonged military pressures can give rise to self-contradictions in mass social psychology. Although the public is highly sensitive to national security issues and no stranger to airspace disturbances, military exercises, or geopolitical disruptions, the sheer frequency of the drills can blunt reactions and reduce the sense of immediacy of a potential crisis. Risks are normalized, and society is caught between states of alert and fatigue — not completely numb to the dangers, but struggling to maintain high levels of mobilization as time drags on. This is a kind of psychological strain unique to the collective experience of Taiwanese society.
Politically, military exercises have been adopted and interpreted under competing narrative frameworks, each provoking different emotional responses. For some people, the drills stand as concrete proof of external threats, highlighting the need for stronger support for national security and defense policies. For others, the spotlight on military tensions only deepens anxieties and breeds mistrust. The intense politicization of security issues leads to the fragmentation of public sentiment, turning rational debate to factional polarization. From a long-term governance perspective, the key issue is not whether the public is sufficiently worried, but whether society has the capacity to steadily handle and absorb the risks.
Military drills are unlikely to disappear in the near future. For the government, enabling the public to understand the risks they represent without becoming controlled by those risks would be a test of its ability to
communicate and institutional credibility. Clear and nonsensationalized messaging could help the public form reasonable expectations, avoid real risks being overlooked and prevent overreaction at critical moments. In this way, effective risk communication is an integral part of defense resilience.
Taiwan is undergoing a silent process of adjustment to its new normal. People are not indifferent; they are seeking continuity in their lives amid uncertainty. They are not without views, but are trying to preserve space for independent judgement beyond political narratives. How Taiwan maintains normal social functioning while deepening a rational consensus on security issues would determine whether it can, under pressure, maintain its form as a mature and stable democratic society.
Chen Ling-yao is an operations director.
Translated by Gilda Knox Streader
When it became clear that the world was entering a new era with a radical change in the US’ global stance in US President Donald Trump’s second term, many in Taiwan were concerned about what this meant for the nation’s defense against China. Instability and disruption are dangerous. Chaos introduces unknowns. There was a sense that the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) might have a point with its tendency not to trust the US. The world order is certainly changing, but concerns about the implications for Taiwan of this disruption left many blind to how the same forces might also weaken
As the new year dawns, Taiwan faces a range of external uncertainties that could impact the safety and prosperity of its people and reverberate in its politics. Here are a few key questions that could spill over into Taiwan in the year ahead. WILL THE AI BUBBLE POP? The global AI boom supported Taiwan’s significant economic expansion in 2025. Taiwan’s economy grew over 7 percent and set records for exports, imports, and trade surplus. There is a brewing debate among investors about whether the AI boom will carry forward into 2026. Skeptics warn that AI-led global equity markets are overvalued and overleveraged
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on Monday announced that she would dissolve parliament on Friday. Although the snap election on Feb. 8 might appear to be a domestic affair, it would have real implications for Taiwan and regional security. Whether the Takaichi-led coalition can advance a stronger security policy lies in not just gaining enough seats in parliament to pass legislation, but also in a public mandate to push forward reforms to upgrade the Japanese military. As one of Taiwan’s closest neighbors, a boost in Japan’s defense capabilities would serve as a strong deterrent to China in acting unilaterally in the
Taiwan last week finally reached a trade agreement with the US, reducing tariffs on Taiwanese goods to 15 percent, without stacking them on existing levies, from the 20 percent rate announced by US President Donald Trump’s administration in August last year. Taiwan also became the first country to secure most-favored-nation treatment for semiconductor and related suppliers under Section 232 of the US Trade Expansion Act. In return, Taiwanese chipmakers, electronics manufacturing service providers and other technology companies would invest US$250 billion in the US, while the government would provide credit guarantees of up to US$250 billion to support Taiwanese firms
RSS