Major property brokers reported a small monthly decline in housing transactions last month, but an annual drop of about 30 percent, dashing hopes of a high season, due to economic uncertainty and unfavorable legislation.
H&B Realty Co (住商不動產), Taiwan’s largest broker by the number of franchises, said deals last month declined 2.3 percent from November, which it blamed on an economic slowdown and interest rate hikes.
The decline was most evident in Taipei with a 10.9 percent drop, followed by New Taipei City, which fell 7.9 percent, and Taoyuan, which declined 5.7 percent, H&B Realty said.
Photo: Hsu Yi-ping, Taipei Times
The housing market in central and southern Taiwan fared more resilient, it said.
Taichung logged a 0.8 percent monthly drop, while deals in Tainan and Kaohsiung gained 9.2 percent and 1.5 percent respectively, H&B Realty said.
“Buying interest remains weak overall, even though the monthly figure in Tainan has increased for the past three months,” H&B chief researcher Jessica Hsu (徐佳馨) said.
Transactions in all six special municipalities slumped by double-digit percentages from a year earlier, Hsu said.
Transactions last year plummeted 46.1 percent annually in Kaohsiung, fell more than 30 percent in Taoyuan and Taipei, and retreated more than 20 percent in Tainan and Taichung, she said.
Evertrust Rehouse Co (永慶房屋), Taiwan’s largest broker by the number of offices, said its transactions last month rose 2 percent from November, but fell 32 percent from a year earlier.
People turned hesitant about property purchases after major economic indicators slipped into the contraction zone, while the central bank signaled further interest rates hikes if inflation remains high, Evertrust Rehouse deputy research head Chen Chin-ping (陳金萍) said.
Unease deepened after the legislature’s Internal Administration Committee last month approved bills that ban the transfer of presale housing contracts and subjects legal entities to prior approval before they can buy real estate, Chen said.
The unfavorable macro-environment is why transactions last year likely fell from 2021 and could shrink further this year, Chen said.
Price corrections for presale contracts would occur once the proposed bans take effect, driving investors off the market or have them lock their capital for a long period, Evertrust said.
Sinyi Realty Inc (信義房屋), Taiwan’s only listed broker, said that consideration periods became longer last month.
However, transactions of apartments priced NT$10 million to NT$25 million (US$325,648 to US$814,000) in Taipei held relatively stable, as well as those priced NT$10 million to NT$15 million in New Taipei City, Sinyi research manager Tseng Ching-der (曾進德) said.
UNCERTAINTY: Investors remain worried that trade negotiations with Washington could go poorly, given Trump’s inconsistency on tariffs in his second term, experts said The consumer confidence index this month fell for a ninth consecutive month to its lowest level in 13 months, as global trade uncertainties and tariff risks cloud Taiwan’s economic outlook, a survey released yesterday by National Central University found. The biggest decline came from the timing for stock investments, which plunged 11.82 points to 26.82, underscoring bleak investor confidence, it said. “Although the TAIEX reclaimed the 21,000-point mark after the US and China agreed to bury the hatchet for 90 days, investors remain worried that the situation would turn sour later,” said Dachrahn Wu (吳大任), director of the university’s Research Center for
Alchip Technologies Ltd (世芯), an application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) designer specializing in artificial-intelligence (AI) chips, yesterday said that small-volume production of 3-nanometer (nm) chips for a key customer is on track to start by the end of this year, dismissing speculation about delays in producing advanced chips. As Alchip is transitioning from 7-nanometer and 5-nanometer process technology to 3 nanometers, investors and shareholders have been closely monitoring whether the company is navigating through such transition smoothly. “We are proceeding well in [building] this generation [of chips]. It appears to me that no revision will be required. We have achieved success in designing
PROJECTION: KGI Financial said that based on its foreign exchange exposure, a NT$0.1 increase in the New Taiwan dollar would negatively impact it by about NT$1.7 billion KGI Financial Holding Co (凱基金控) yesterday said its life insurance arm has increased hedging and adopted other moves to curb the impact of the local currency’s appreciation on its profitability. “It is difficult to accurately depict the hedging costs, which might vary from 7 percent to 40 percent in a single day,” KGI Life Insurance Co (凱基人壽) told an investors’ conference in Taipei. KGI Life, which underpinned 66 percent of the group’s total net income last year, has elevated hedging to 55 to 60 percent, while using a basket of currencies to manage currency volatility, the insurer said. As different
Taiwanese insurers are facing difficult questions about the damage of recent swings in the New Taiwan dollar. Regulators might have a partial solution: letting firms change how they calculate the value of foreign currency assets. The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) is considering allowing insurers to use six-month average exchange rates when they calculate risk-based capital in their semiannual reports, a shift from the current system where insurers use exchange rates on the final day of reporting. The change could ease pressure on the US$1.2 trillion insurance sector, whose huge exposure to foreign assets came into the spotlight earlier this month after a