Imagine two neighboring countries, let us call them “Country A” and “Country B” for the sake of simplicity. Country A is big and strong, with a long history of constant warfare and chaos, which has resulted in some of its politicians being aggressive, cunning and greedy. Country B is a small, weak country with a short history and an innocent and naive population. Some of its politicians are ignorant, selfish scoundrels, comparable to those of Country A.
Country A is guilty of the same thing as many other big nations: It bullies smaller and weaker nations, has great territorial ambitions and wants to annex its smaller neighbors.
Country B is close to Country A and is at the receiving end of most of its actions. It would be easy for Country A to invade Country B, but fearing that unprovoked military attack would result in a backlash from the international community, sanctions and perhaps even conflict, it restricts itself to propaganda, threats and inducements in its attempts to make Country B surrender.
However, the results are not what it wants. It changes tack to rely on its financial might to pay Country B’s immoral politicians, babbling academics, greedy businesspeople and unethical military officers to form groups that are close to Country A, and call on the people of Country B to throw themselves into its embrace.
It is just that the people of Country B happen to like their free way of life and are fearful of being ruled by Country A and losing the freedom they have fought so hard for.
Country A is in a rush and unwilling to wait, and so it plots with the groups friendly to it in an attempt to make Country B launch an unprovoked attack on it and give it a legitimate excuse to claim self defense in a fierce “counterattack” that leaves half of Country B in ruins and thoroughly destroys its fighting morale, leaving it without either the capability or the will to resist.
Country B’s military firing a big cannon requires a set of complicated procedures, but the conspirators remove them, one by one, until only the final step remains: using one finger to press a button and fire away. To do that, they find a lowly soldier, not too smart, show him how to press the button and tell him to stand by.
It just so happens that the leader of Country B is abroad on a diplomatic visit, which offers an excellent opportunity for implementing the plot. Everything is in place, the lowly soldier is on stand-by over his launch button and all the other officers have cleared the deck to be able to present an alibi later they were not present.
A simple order is issued, the lowly soldier presses the button with the finger he was taught to use, the cannon really does fire and the lowly soldier is elated. The conspirators cover their ears and hold their breaths as they wait for Country A’s mighty “counterattack.”
However, the missile does not live up to expectations: It never reaches Country A. Instead, it hits a house in Country B and kills and injures some of its own people. In disarray, the conspirators realize that their plan has failed. They hurriedly discuss how to clean up the mess and agree that the launch should be presented as a “mistake.” They then make a big fuss as they rush to punish the lowly soldier and a few unfortunate officers, hurrying to close the case in the hope that everyone will forget about it.
A great ingenious plot comes to a tragi-comic ending.
Lessons learned: Traitors are dangerous and must be stopped, and evil plots are difficult to bring to a successful end, so it is better to abstain.
Peng Ming-min is a former presidential adviser.
Translated by Perry Svensson
Congratulations to China’s working class — they have officially entered the “Livestock Feed 2.0” era. While others are still researching how to achieve healthy and balanced diets, China has already evolved to the point where it does not matter whether you are actually eating food, as long as you can swallow it. There is no need for cooking, chewing or making decisions — just tear open a package, add some hot water and in a short three minutes you have something that can keep you alive for at least another six hours. This is not science fiction — it is reality.
A foreign colleague of mine asked me recently, “What is a safe distance from potential People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Rocket Force’s (PLARF) Taiwan targets?” This article will answer this question and help people living in Taiwan have a deeper understanding of the threat. Why is it important to understand PLA/PLARF targeting strategy? According to RAND analysis, the PLA’s “systems destruction warfare” focuses on crippling an adversary’s operational system by targeting its networks, especially leadership, command and control (C2) nodes, sensors, and information hubs. Admiral Samuel Paparo, commander of US Indo-Pacific Command, noted in his 15 May 2025 Sedona Forum keynote speech that, as
In a world increasingly defined by unpredictability, two actors stand out as islands of stability: Europe and Taiwan. One, a sprawling union of democracies, but under immense pressure, grappling with a geopolitical reality it was not originally designed for. The other, a vibrant, resilient democracy thriving as a technological global leader, but living under a growing existential threat. In response to rising uncertainties, they are both seeking resilience and learning to better position themselves. It is now time they recognize each other not just as partners of convenience, but as strategic and indispensable lifelines. The US, long seen as the anchor
Kinmen County’s political geography is provocative in and of itself. A pair of islets running up abreast the Chinese mainland, just 20 minutes by ferry from the Chinese city of Xiamen, Kinmen remains under the Taiwanese government’s control, after China’s failed invasion attempt in 1949. The provocative nature of Kinmen’s existence, along with the Matsu Islands off the coast of China’s Fuzhou City, has led to no shortage of outrageous takes and analyses in foreign media either fearmongering of a Chinese invasion or using these accidents of history to somehow understand Taiwan. Every few months a foreign reporter goes to
RSS