Moradabad is a nondescript and scruffy city, 180km north of the Indian capital, New Delhi. Few have heard of it, despite its population of nearly 5 million, but it is about to become the site of an astonishing victory against a terrible disease.
Moradabad has long been the center of one of the most stubborn concentrations of polio in India.
The disease is passed on by person-to-person contact and, with Moradabad’s poor inhabitants frequently traveling far across the country in search of work, outbreaks elsewhere have often been traced back to the city.
The WHO stipulates that three years must pass without any cases of polio occurring before a region can be declared polio-free.
Moradabad, which only recently had 60 to 80 cases a year, is expected to qualify this year.
“This will be a wonderful thing — for us, for India, for the people of Moradabad,” said Mohammed Arif, a doctor, public health specialist and organizer of anti-polio campaigns in the area.
There is a bigger national milestone on the horizon. If in India as a whole there are no more confirmed cases before Jan. 13, the country will have completed its first year without a new victim.
And if polio is gone from India, the only countries where the disease is still endemic would be Nigeria, Afghanistan and Pakistan.
India’s likely achievement would be a big step towards the eradication of a global disease — the second after smallpox, which was officially defeated worldwide in 1979.
“That would really be something to be happy about,” Arif said.
It would also be a boost to a global effort that has been flagging in recent years, with key milestones repeatedly missed.
In the summer, Sir Liam Donaldson, the UK’s former chief medical officer who now chairs the independent monitoring board of the Global Polio Eradication Initiative, said the final success of the campaign to eradicate polio, which has seen cases reduced by 99 percent over 20 years, was “on a knife-edge.” In some places, particularly sub-Saharan Africa, polio has even made a comeback.
In India, a mass vaccination campaign involving more than a million volunteers reduced cases nationally by 94 percent between 2009 and 2010, from 741 to 42, and down to the single case last year.
The success is due to a combination of highly motivated local workers, philanthropy, the involvement of international health bodies and the sometimes inefficient, but nonetheless essential support of local government.
Equally important in overcoming the last bastions of the disease, as in many parts of the world, has been the consent of local religious figures.
Over the last decade one of the biggest obstacles to eradication of polio in India, as in Pakistan and Nigeria, has been the resistance of poor and largely illiterate Muslim communities such as those in and around Moradabad.
Even as the first campaigns got underway in the area in the late 1990s, local clerics began telling congregations that the vaccinations were part of a government plan, backed by the West, to make Muslim women infertile.
The febrile atmosphere of the early years of the past decade, against a backdrop of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks on the US and wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, aggravated the problem.
The Karula neighborhood of Moradabad has seen some of the fiercest resistance to the campaign.
A quarter of a million people, including huge numbers of small children, are packed into Karula’s narrow lanes. With no proper sewage system and monsoon rains flooding streets with feces, polio — which is spread through poor sanitation — was endemic.
Muzaffar Sultan Torabi, a senior cleric in Moradabad, said the local Muslim community “had been upset” by events in the Middle East and Afghanistan and by “Western portrayals and blaming of Islam … for their own problems.”
“They were not trusting scientific medicine and thought immunization was an American plan to sterilize our girls,” he said.
However, some religious leaders convinced the community otherwise.
Torabi said that he had attended immunization clinics in clerical robes to show “that a common Muslim man is able to trust the program.”
“I told them that in nowhere in the Koran is it written that we should be unhealthy, or not take care of our hygiene and that if tomorrow our children are suffering from polio, then they will not be able to do the prayers properly. Slowly they understood my point,” he said.
Noor Jahan, a 60-year-old widow in Karula, said she had once strongly opposed immunization, believing what “they said in the mosques about the American conspiracy to stop Muslims having children.”
Now however, since listening to Torabi, she has begun working very actively to tell the doctors about all the new births in the neighborhood so the babies can be vaccinated.
In Dumghar, a small village 11km outside Moradabad, consciousness-raising and immunization clinics are held every Wednesday.
Village women line up in the dust of the school playground to hear organizers from the Rotary Club talk about basic hygiene and to have newborns vaccinated. Schoolchildren also line up for a free lunch of rice and beans. This is one of the poorest regions of India with social indicators on a par with those in sub-Saharan Africa.
There are still problems. One health worker told the Guardian that she constantly faced suspicion — even abuse — from fathers who said she was corrupting their daughters.
However, the message has got through nonetheless. Mithilesh, 28, had brought her two-month-old daughter, Soni, to be immunized.
“I don’t listen to anyone saying anything negative. It’s good for my child so of course I’ll do it,” she said.
Recently, China launched another diplomatic offensive against Taiwan, improperly linking its “one China principle” with UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 to constrain Taiwan’s diplomatic space. After Taiwan’s presidential election on Jan. 13, China persuaded Nauru to sever diplomatic ties with Taiwan. Nauru cited Resolution 2758 in its declaration of the diplomatic break. Subsequently, during the WHO Executive Board meeting that month, Beijing rallied countries including Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Belarus, Egypt, Nicaragua, Sri Lanka, Laos, Russia, Syria and Pakistan to reiterate the “one China principle” in their statements, and assert that “Resolution 2758 has settled the status of Taiwan” to hinder Taiwan’s
Singaporean Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong’s (李顯龍) decision to step down after 19 years and hand power to his deputy, Lawrence Wong (黃循財), on May 15 was expected — though, perhaps, not so soon. Most political analysts had been eyeing an end-of-year handover, to ensure more time for Wong to study and shadow the role, ahead of general elections that must be called by November next year. Wong — who is currently both deputy prime minister and minister of finance — would need a combination of fresh ideas, wisdom and experience as he writes the nation’s next chapter. The world that
Can US dialogue and cooperation with the communist dictatorship in Beijing help avert a Taiwan Strait crisis? Or is US President Joe Biden playing into Chinese President Xi Jinping’s (習近平) hands? With America preoccupied with the wars in Europe and the Middle East, Biden is seeking better relations with Xi’s regime. The goal is to responsibly manage US-China competition and prevent unintended conflict, thereby hoping to create greater space for the two countries to work together in areas where their interests align. The existing wars have already stretched US military resources thin, and the last thing Biden wants is yet another war.
Since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February 2022, people have been asking if Taiwan is the next Ukraine. At a G7 meeting of national leaders in January, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida warned that Taiwan “could be the next Ukraine” if Chinese aggression is not checked. NATO Secretary-General Jens Stoltenberg has said that if Russia is not defeated, then “today, it’s Ukraine, tomorrow it can be Taiwan.” China does not like this rhetoric. Its diplomats ask people to stop saying “Ukraine today, Taiwan tomorrow.” However, the rhetoric and stated ambition of Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) on Taiwan shows strong parallels with