Aug. 8, 2008, may someday be remembered as the first day of the post-US era. Or it could be remembered as another “Sputnik moment,” when, as with the Soviet foray into outer space in 1957, Americans realized that the country had lost its footing and decided it was time for the US to get its act together.
There was no mistaking the power and symbolism of the opening ceremonies of the Beijing Olympic Games on Aug. 8. That multimedia spectacular did far more than trace China’s 5,000-year history; it was a statement that China is a major civilization that demands and deserves its rightful place in the global hierarchy.
There was also no mistaking the symbolism of seeing US President George W. Bush waving cheerfully from his spot in the bleachers, while Chinese President Hu Jintao (胡錦濤) sat behind what looked more like a throne.
It is hard to imagine that China’s government, which obsesses over every minute issue of diplomatic protocol, had not orchestrated this stark image of the US’ decline relative to the country to which it owes a US$1.4 trillion debt. It would be hard to imagine former US presidents Franklin Roosevelt or Ronald Reagan accepting a similar relative position.
At the very same time that Bush was waving from the stands, Russia was invading Georgia, the US’ closest partner in the Caucasus. Russia’s message to other West-leaning countries in the former Soviet world was clear: The US cannot protect you.
Frighteningly, the Russians were likely correct. While the Iraq quagmire has made it difficult for the US to project force around the world, the US’ growing debt, conflicts with friends and enemies alike, the absence of any perceivable strategy for changing times and its political system’s apparent inability to take action to address these challenges have combined to turn the US into a struggling giant.
Today, from Iran to Darfur to Zimbabwe to Georgia, the world is witnessing the effects of a budding post-US world, and the picture does not look pretty.
As much as we all value the rise of new powers like China and India, it remains to be seen whether these countries will become as benevolent a power as the US, however flawed, has been over the past half-century.
Neo-colonialism is returning to Africa, the global project of human rights is in retreat and the world trade system is becoming far less open. Brutal dictators go unpunished because their interests are protected by large powers with stakes in their natural resources.
Reversing this trend is not only in the US’ interest, but also in the world’s interest.
To do so, Americans must identify and address the great challenges the US faces, starting from the ground up.
Fixing the US campaign finance structure, which leads to massive misallocations of government funds, resuscitating the US’ wildly uneven and often moribund education system, building an immigration system that actively recruits the most talented people from around the world via a fast track to US citizenship, and developing a national energy policy that moves the US far more quickly toward energy independence would all be important steps in this direction.
Working to rebuild the traditional bipartisan foreign-policy consensus would also make the US a far more predictable partner to friends and allies around the world.
And the US must be a respectful partner in order to encourage rising powers like India and China to play more constructive roles in international affairs.
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