The world cannot afford to ignore Taiwan’s security and allowing the nation to succumb to China’s authoritarian rule would have global repercussions, former Australian prime minister Scott Morrison said yesterday.
“Taiwan matters to the world,” Morrison said in his keynote address at the Taipei Security Dialogue, adding that maintaining the “status quo” across the Taiwan Strait is essential to the “security, prosperity and sovereignty” of countries such as Australia, the US and Japan.
“If Taiwan were to be forcibly placed under the authoritarian rule of the CCP [Chinese Communist Party], there would not be a corner of the globe that would be unaffected,” said Morrison, who was prime minister from 2018 to 2022.
Photo: Tien Yu-hua, Taipei Times
Once the first island chain “breaks,” the US would have to push back to the second island chain, “diminishing their ability to provide an effective security counterbalance in the Indo-Pacific,” he said.
The Chinese People’s Liberation Army would then have the ability to project air, naval, missile and surveillance capabilities through the Bashi Channel and the Miyako Strait into the Philippine Sea, and maritime and air traffic between Japan, South Korea and Southeast Asia would have to pass near and through effectively China-controlled borders and airspace, he said.
Morrison called on democracies around the world to strengthen collective deterrence through new initiatives and partnerships such as AUKUS — a trilateral security partnership between Australia, the UK and the US — which he said can help counter the CCP’s ambitions “to establish regional hegemony over the Indo-Pacific.”
Taiwan has made progress in enhancing its defense capabilities through collaboration with the US, acquiring Javelin and Stinger missiles, Harpoon coastal defense systems, mine-laying systems and loitering munitions, along with the development of indigenous missiles, but it still has a long way to go, he said.
American Conservative Union chairman Matthew Schlapp told the forum that the US is no longer singularly focused on Russia, creating a critical transition period for the safety of the free world.
“In America, we have been taught that America’s No. 1 strategic foe on the globe is [Russian President] Vladimir Putin... It’s hard to see him as more of an economic or military threat than the regime in Beijing,” Schlapp said.
US President Donald Trump’s administration understands that the CCP, and the regime in Beijing are an existential threat to freedom and free trade, he said.
“If America is weak, and America elects weak leaders, this is a terrible thing for the people of Taiwan, in terms of our economic relationship, but [also] the security issues,” he said.
American Defense International chairman and former US Army deputy assistant secretary Van Hipp Jr said that Taiwan plays a critical role in regional peace, and praised the government’s decision to increase defense spending as “taking a step in the right direction.”
Cyberwarfare has evolved into the “fifth-dimensional battlefield,” and the evolution of that technology will always surpass the speed at which governments make policy decisions, Hipp said.
If Taiwan invests in a “smart network” integrating artificial intelligence (AI) and uncrewed platforms, it would increase its military autonomy and countermeasure capabilities, he said, adding that AI could also help identify targets and manage logistics.
Former British Royal Navy commodore Peter Olive said that attempting to land troops in Taiwan would be 20 times more difficult than the landing at Normandy in World War II.
China might have to heavily rely on its coast guard or civilian vessels to enforce a blockade of Taiwan, he said.
Royal United Services Institute senior research fellow Philip Shetler-Jones said the goal of deterrence is to render enemy invasions insignificant, citing how Ukraine’s resilience is already sending a signal of deterrence.
China would attempt to use cyberwarfare, economic means and limited blockades to weaken social resilience and pressure Taiwan without giving the US cause to intervene, he said.
Counterblockades in regions far removed from Taiwan, such as the Indian Ocean, could cut off Chinese shipping at its source, Shetler-Jones said.
Oliver said that Taiwan should collaborate with global shipping companies, insurance companies and port authorities to establish a system of alternative routes, enabling Taiwan to import necessary goods and supplies.
Institute for National Defense and Security Research chairman Huo Shou-ye (霍守業) told the forum that regional players and like-minded countries should integrate their deterrence capabilities to maintain peace and democracy in the Indo-Pacific region.
Peace in the Taiwan Strait is no longer a regional security issue, but a global concern, he said.
Taiwan does not seek to provoke or antagonize, but is demonstrating that it has the wherewithal to provide an effective deterrence, Huo said.
MISINFORMATION: The generated content tends to adopt China’s official stance, such as ‘Taiwan is currently governed by the Chinese central government,’ the NSB said Five China-developed artificial intelligence (AI) language models exhibit cybersecurity risks and content biases, an inspection conducted by the National Security Bureau (NSB) showed. The five AI tools are: DeepSeek, Doubao (豆包), Yiyan (文心一言), Tongyi (通義千問) and Yuanbao (騰訊元寶), the bureau said, advising people to remain vigilant to protect personal data privacy and corporate business secrets. The NSB said it, in accordance with the National Intelligence Services Act (國家情報工作法), has reviewed international cybersecurity reports and intelligence, and coordinated with the Ministry of Justice Investigation Bureau and the National Police Agency’s Criminal Investigation Bureau to conduct an inspection of China-made AI language
LIMITS: While China increases military pressure on Taiwan and expands its use of cognitive warfare, it is unwilling to target tech supply chains, the report said US and Taiwan military officials have warned that the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) could implement a blockade within “a matter of hours” and need only “minimal conversion time” prior to an attack on Taiwan, a report released on Tuesday by the US Senate’s China Economic and Security Review Commission said. “While there is no indication that China is planning an imminent attack, the United States and its allies and partners can no longer assume that a Taiwan contingency is a distant possibility for which they would have ample time to prepare,” it said. The commission made the comments in its annual
CHECKING BOUNDARIES: China wants to disrupt solidarity among democracies and test their red lines, but it is instead pushing nations to become more united, an expert said The US Department of State on Friday expressed deep concern over a Chinese public security agency’s investigation into Legislator Puma Shen (沈伯洋) for “secession.” “China’s actions threaten free speech and erode norms that have underpinned the cross-strait ‘status quo’ for decades,” a US Department of State spokesperson said. The Chongqing Municipal Public Security Bureau late last month listed Shen as “wanted” and launched an investigation into alleged “secession-related” criminal activities, including his founding of the Kuma Academy, a civil defense organization that prepares people for an invasion by China. The spokesperson said that the US was “deeply concerned” about the bureau investigating Shen
‘TROUBLEMAKER’: Most countries believe that it is China — rather than Taiwan — that is undermining regional peace and stability with its coercive tactics, the president said China should restrain itself and refrain from being a troublemaker that sabotages peace and stability in the Indo-Pacific region, President William Lai (賴清德) said yesterday. Lai made the remarks after China Coast Guard vessels sailed into disputed waters off the Senkaku Islands — known as the Diaoyutai Islands (釣魚台) in Taiwan — following a remark Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi made regarding Taiwan. Takaichi during a parliamentary session on Nov. 7 said that a “Taiwan contingency” involving a Chinese naval blockade could qualify as a “survival-threatening situation” for Japan, and trigger Tokyo’s deployment of its military for defense. Asked about the escalating tensions