New Taipei City Mayor Hou You-yi (侯友宜), the Chinese Nationalist Party’s (KMT) presidential candidate, on Tuesday proposed turning Kinmen County into a hub for Chinese tourism and investments.
The county could also become a medical and healthcare hub for Chinese medical tourists, and could import electricity and natural gas from China’s Fujian Province to ensure supply, he said.
Hou also said he “respects the wishes of” some Kinmen residents who call for a referendum on a bridge linking the county with Xiamen, China.
Putting aside the gross national security concerns related to all of those proposals, making any part of Taiwan more reliant on China would put residents at the mercy of Beijing, and is the opposite direction that Taiwan has been moving toward.
Making Kinmen reliant on gas and electricity from Fujian would put the county at the same disadvantage that faced the British in Hong Kong for several decades starting in the 1960s.
By 1965, Hong Kong was importing 80 percent of its water from China’s Guangdong Province, which at times caused fears that China would cut off supply to solve its own water woes.
Economically, the global trend is toward reducing reliance on China. Former US president Donald Trump talked about “decoupling” from China, and introduced tariffs and curbs when trading with China. The administration of US President Joe Biden has said that decoupling from China would not be possible, but has emphasized efforts to “de-risk” the US-China trade relationship.
On Aug. 9, Biden signed an executive order that would prohibit US companies from investing in “sensitive” technologies in China.
An article published by Foreign Policy on Jan. 11 last year said that to succeed in reducing reliance on China, “Biden needs to abandon his unilateral policies and mobilize collective action with countries that have substantial trade with — and investments in — China.”
Such action might be possible, since Germany last month announced that it would “reduce its dependence on China in ‘critical sectors’ including medicine, lithium batteries used in electric cars and elements essential to chipmaking,” CNN reported on July 14.
“Our aim is not to decouple [from Beijing]. But we want to reduce critical dependencies in the future,” German Chancellor Olaf Scholz posted on X, in language reminiscent of that used by the Biden administration.
This follows a resolution arrived at by EU ministers at a meeting in May, when EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Josep Borrell said: “When a dependency is too big, it’s a risk,” in reference to the bloc’s economic relationship with China.
A DW report said that “more than 42 percent of Taiwan’s exports go to China, from where Taiwan gets around 22 percent of its imports.” The two economies are interdependent, with China supplying Taiwanese tech companies with the raw materials they need, and Taiwanese companies providing China with high-end computer chips and other components that China cannot make on its own, the report said.
The administration of President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) know the risks presented by the nation’s economic reliance on China and has long made moves to reduce that reliance.
Hon Hai Group founder Terry Gou (郭台銘) — who is mulling a presidential run — told a forum in Washington that Taiwan should avoid becoming too dependent on China, and should seek closer economic integration with the US and Japan.
It is quite odd to see Hou taking the opposite approach, and espousing closer dependence of Kinmen on China.
In the US’ National Security Strategy (NSS) report released last month, US President Donald Trump offered his interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine. The “Trump Corollary,” presented on page 15, is a distinctly aggressive rebranding of the more than 200-year-old foreign policy position. Beyond reasserting the sovereignty of the western hemisphere against foreign intervention, the document centers on energy and strategic assets, and attempts to redraw the map of the geopolitical landscape more broadly. It is clear that Trump no longer sees the western hemisphere as a peaceful backyard, but rather as the frontier of a new Cold War. In particular,
When it became clear that the world was entering a new era with a radical change in the US’ global stance in US President Donald Trump’s second term, many in Taiwan were concerned about what this meant for the nation’s defense against China. Instability and disruption are dangerous. Chaos introduces unknowns. There was a sense that the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) might have a point with its tendency not to trust the US. The world order is certainly changing, but concerns about the implications for Taiwan of this disruption left many blind to how the same forces might also weaken
As the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) races toward its 2027 modernization goals, most analysts fixate on ship counts, missile ranges and artificial intelligence. Those metrics matter — but they obscure a deeper vulnerability. The true future of the PLA, and by extension Taiwan’s security, might hinge less on hardware than on whether the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) can preserve ideological loyalty inside its own armed forces. Iran’s 1979 revolution demonstrated how even a technologically advanced military can collapse when the social environment surrounding it shifts. That lesson has renewed relevance as fresh unrest shakes Iran today — and it should
On today’s page, Masahiro Matsumura, a professor of international politics and national security at St Andrew’s University in Osaka, questions the viability and advisability of the government’s proposed “T-Dome” missile defense system. Matsumura writes that Taiwan’s military budget would be better allocated elsewhere, and cautions against the temptation to allow politics to trump strategic sense. What he does not do is question whether Taiwan needs to increase its defense capabilities. “Given the accelerating pace of Beijing’s military buildup and political coercion ... [Taiwan] cannot afford inaction,” he writes. A rational, robust debate over the specifics, not the scale or the necessity,