The US’ Taiwan policy act (TPA) cleared a US Senate committee review on Wednesday last week. US Senator Bob Menendez, who chairs the US Senate Foreign Relations Committee, described the TPA as “the most comprehensive restructuring of US policy towards Taiwan since the Taiwan Relations Act of 1979.”
In mid-July, a scheduled markup of the act was postponed at the request of the Republican Party to allow more time for review. Last month, the White House requested that the committee “slow walk” the review process.
US Senator Chris Murphy of the Democratic Party expressed reservations over several sections of the act, probably under pressure from the White House. The bill was postponed again as the US Senate prioritized a motion to allow Finland and Sweden to join NATO.
The White House is clearly uneasy about the bill. US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan expressed reservations over several sections of the TPA, while Menendez said that the committee had already engaged in repeated dialogue with the White House and reached a consensus.
Following further discussions with the White House, Menendez stated that efforts were made to eliminate concerns, but that the TPA still packed a punch. Predictably, after the bill had passed committee review, Menendez stated that several symbolic clauses had been amended, but that the TPA remained unchanged in substance.
The postponement of the TPA for a second time last month coincided with the visit to Taiwan by US House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Days prior to Pelosi’s visit, US President Joe Biden held a telephone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平), during which Xi allegedly requested that Biden block Pelosi’s visit.
A report by the Washington Post revealed that Pelosi had told the White House that only a direct request from the president, or Taiwan retracting its invitation, would make her consider canceling the visit.
Biden did not make a direct request to Pelosi. It must have been embarrassing for Biden to have had it publicly revealed that his administration had put pressure on Pelosi in an effort to curry favor with Xi, and to know that it could affect the Democratic Party’s prospects at the midterm elections in November.
This behind the scenes information reveals that there might be something to the rumor that Pelosi sent a telegram to Taiwanese Representative to the US Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴) to confirm that the invitation had not been revoked. Taipei stood with Pelosi, refused to back down and her historic visit went ahead. This initially sparked fears that the White House might slow the TPA’s passage to calm the situation.
However, China’s extreme reaction to Pelosi’s visit fired up the international community and created an unprecedented level of support for Taiwan.
China has escalated its attacks against the TPA, turning it into a touchstone issue. Supporting or opposing the TPA has thus become a proxy for US toughness or weakness against China. Xi’s intervention therefore had an indirect effect on the act’s passage of its first reading by the committee. Committee members voted 17 to 5 in favor of the TPA in a bipartisan vote. Murphy and US Senator Ed Markey, who was a member of Pelosi’s delegation to Taiwan, voted against the TPA, which could open the door to further negotiations with the executive branch.
There is still a long way to go before the TPA is written into law, and its passage happens to coincide with midterm elections in the US, local elections in Taiwan and the Chinese Communist Party’s 20th National Congress. The bill’s future is far from certain.
Chen Yung-chang is a company manager.
Translated by Edward Jones
The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) has long been expansionist and contemptuous of international law. Under Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平), the CCP regime has become more despotic, coercive and punitive. As part of its strategy to annex Taiwan, Beijing has sought to erase the island democracy’s international identity by bribing countries to sever diplomatic ties with Taipei. One by one, China has peeled away Taiwan’s remaining diplomatic partners, leaving just 12 countries (mostly small developing states) and the Vatican recognizing Taiwan as a sovereign nation. Taiwan’s formal international space has shrunk dramatically. Yet even as Beijing has scored diplomatic successes, its overreach
In her article in Foreign Affairs, “A Perfect Storm for Taiwan in 2026?,” Yun Sun (孫韻), director of the China program at the Stimson Center in Washington, said that the US has grown indifferent to Taiwan, contending that, since it has long been the fear of US intervention — and the Chinese People’s Liberation Army’s (PLA) inability to prevail against US forces — that has deterred China from using force against Taiwan, this perceived indifference from the US could lead China to conclude that a window of opportunity for a Taiwan invasion has opened this year. Most notably, she observes that
For Taiwan, the ongoing US and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets are a warning signal: When a major power stretches the boundaries of self-defense, smaller states feel the tremors first. Taiwan’s security rests on two pillars: US deterrence and the credibility of international law. The first deters coercion from China. The second legitimizes Taiwan’s place in the international community. One is material. The other is moral. Both are indispensable. Under the UN Charter, force is lawful only in response to an armed attack or with UN Security Council authorization. Even pre-emptive self-defense — long debated — requires a demonstrably imminent
Since being re-elected, US President Donald Trump has consistently taken concrete action to counter China and to safeguard the interests of the US and other democratic nations. The attacks on Iran, the earlier capture of deposed of Venezuelan president Nicolas Maduro and efforts to remove Chinese influence from the Panama Canal all demonstrate that, as tensions with Beijing intensify, Washington has adopted a hardline stance aimed at weakening its power. Iran and Venezuela are important allies and major oil suppliers of China, and the US has effectively decapitated both. The US has continuously strengthened its military presence in the Philippines. Japanese Prime