Over two days of video calls earlier this month, about a dozen students from Bangkok’s Kasetsart and Mahanakorn universities debated whether to break a taboo that could land them in jail: openly challenging the country’s powerful monarchy, two people who were on the calls said.
Protesters on the streets and online have made a growing number of veiled references to Thai King Maha Vajiralongkorn over the past few months as they push for greater democracy, but nobody had dared make a public call for changes at the palace.
The students discussed on the calls a Harry Potter wizard-themed protest and considered stopping short of open confrontation by only mentioning “He who must not be named,” a reference to Potter’s archenemy in the J.K. Rowling books, the two participants said.
Illustration: Mountain People
The argument for a clearer — but riskier — statement won out.
On the evening of Monday last week, human rights lawyer Anon Nampa, 35, took the stage at Bangkok’s Democracy Monument and called for the palace’s powers to be curbed, an extremely rare event.
“No other democratic countries allow the king to have this much power over the military,” he told about 200 protesters, with police standing by as he spoke. “This increases the risk that a monarchy in a democracy could become an absolute monarchy.”
While the country has been roiled by decades of political turmoil, street protesters have not previously sought changes to the monarchy, which the constitution says must be held “in a position of revered worship.”
Any form of challenge to the monarchy was extremely rare under Vajiralongkorn’s father, Bhumibol Adulyadej, who died in 2016 after 70 years on the throne.
Neither Anon nor any of the protesters have been charged with breaking Thailand’s lese majeste law, which punishes criticism of the monarchy by up to 15 years in prison.
However, on Friday last week police said Anon was taken into custody and charged with several offenses relating to a separate protest on July 18, including “raising unrest and disaffection amongst the people,” which carries a maximum seven-year sentence.
Anon has denied all charges, his lawyer Weeranan Huadsri said, and he was freed on bail on Saturday.
The Royal Palace declined to comment on the protests or the more outspoken calls for royal powers to be curbed.
Thai Ministry of Defense spokesman Kongcheep Tantrawanit said: “Don’t draw the monarchy into conflict, it is not appropriate. The monarchy is a center of unity for the Thai people.”
Anon’s open call for reform underscored the scale and speed of change in Thailand as some members of a new generation take on an establishment tied to the close relationship between the palace and the army.
The king, a former Royal Thai Army officer, is officially the head of the Royal Thai Armed Forces.
“This is an issue that people want to talk about,” said Patsalawalee Tanakitwiboonpon, a 24-year-old engineering student at Mahanakorn who helped plan and spoke at the protest on Monday last week. “It has been swept under the rug for so long. So we think it is better if we can talk about this issue rationally and in the open.”
The latest series of protests have grown from a handful of peaceful, online-organized flash mobs, mostly on university campuses, to dozens of street demonstrations across Thailand and millions of people following hashtags online such as #FreeYouth.
The reaction from authorities, so far, has been limited.
Thai Prime Minister Prayuth Chan-ocha, who first took power in a 2014 military coup, told reporters on the day after Anon’s speech that the government was open to talking to the students.
He said on June 15 that the king had requested no prosecutions under the lese majeste law.
Royal Thai Army Commander-in-chief Apirat Kongsompong was not so conciliatory.
In a speech to cadets on Aug. 5, he said: “COVID is a curable disease, but hating the nation, hating one’s own country, this a disease that is not curable.”
On the day after the protest, Anon told reporters that he was “not too worried” about being arrested. He had planned to speak out about the monarchy at two further protests in coming days, according posts on Facebook.
The police said in a statement on Friday that Anon and another organizer were arrested because it had received complaints about the July 18 protest and that an investigation was under way.
Police declined to say who had complained or describe the nature of the complaints. They also did not explain why Anon had not been charged under the lese majeste law for his speech at the protest on Monday last week.
Even though Vajiralongkorn spends much of his time in Germany, his image is pervasive in Thailand. Gold-framed royal portraits look down on city streets. Movie theaters play a royal anthem at which audiences are traditionally expected to stand.
Many Thai conservatives say that the bond between the monarchy and army is a guarantee of stability. The military strongly supports the palace’s position as Thailand’s highest moral authority, with its commander-in-chief taking an unprecedented public oath last year to only support a government that backs the monarchy.
Some analysts say the military uses its close association with the monarchy to justify its prominent role in Thai politics.
Prayuth, who headed the army before assuming premiership, has appointed three retired military leaders to Cabinet positions and more than one-third of Thai Senate seats are held by current or former military officers.
Meanwhile, Vajiralongkorn has strengthened his constitutional powers since he took the throne in 2016.
In his speech, Anon gave two examples of the king accruing powers he described as incompatible with democracy: Prayuth’s government transferring two army units to the king’s personal control last year and moving the crown’s vast property holdings into the king’s name in 2017.
“Yes, I am afraid, but if we don’t come out to talk about what is necessary then the problems will continue,” said student Thanapol Panngam, 27, one of the organizers of the Monday protest.
So far, only a handful of the dozens of student protest groups have openly criticized the monarchy, but they are united in demanding change after a disputed election last year which allowed Prayuth to retain power.
Critics say that the election was predetermined by rules written by the military automatically giving Prayuth a significant number of votes. Prayuth says the vote was fair.
“Our main ideology is to promote democracy,” said Jutatip Sirikhan, 21, president of the Student Union of Thailand, which has helped organize the protests and has not criticized the palace.
The protests took off around the beginning of this year after courts banned the opposition Future Forward Party, which had emerged from obscurity to a surprisingly strong third place in elections, helped by wide youth support for its call to end the military’s dominance over the country’s politics.
“How’s the weather in Germany?” one placard at one of the first campus protests in Bangkok in February read, a seemingly innocuous question, but one that most Thais would recognize as a reference to Vajiralongkorn spending more time in Munich than in Bangkok.
Then the COVID-19 pandemic halted the protests as Thailand locked down. However, from their phones and laptops at home, the activists kept up the pressure online — and with it the questioning of the monarchy.
In March, #whydoweneedaking? was used more than 1 million times by Thai Twitter users.
A Thai-language Facebook group that often mocks the monarchy has attracted more than 850,000 members.
During the lockdown, the students were also planning their next moves.
“There were Zoom meetings that would include more than a dozen people, and they would go on for hours,” Jutatip said.
Protesters reappeared on the streets in force on July 18, spurred by anger at economic pain caused by the collapse in tourism due to COVID-19 and the apparent kidnapping of an exiled Thai activist — the latest of several to disappear.
Human rights groups say Wanchalearm Satsaksit, 37, was grabbed by unknown assailants in Cambodia in June and has not been seen since. The government and military have denied involvement.
The latest youth-led demonstrations resemble pro-democracy student movements of the 1970s, some analysts say.
Thailand has seen repeated cycles of military intervention: There have been 13 successful coups since the end of absolute royal rule in 1932. Bhumibol intervened in 1973 and 1992 to quell tensions after crackdowns by military rulers killed protesters.
Not all young Thais are on the same side. Pro-democracy protests have been met with royalist defenders of the government staging their own, smaller rallies.
“Many Thais have been concerned about offensive things against the monarchy,” said Totsapol Manoonyarat, a former vocational-school student who said he was inspired by love of the king to join a counterprotest in Bangkok.
Stark divisions pose a dilemma for the government, some analysts say.
“If they crack down on critics, they risk creating a backlash,” said Matthew Wheeler, senior Southeast Asia analyst for the International Crisis Group. “But if they let it slide, there’s a risk the taboo will crumble.”
Recently, China launched another diplomatic offensive against Taiwan, improperly linking its “one China principle” with UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 to constrain Taiwan’s diplomatic space. After Taiwan’s presidential election on Jan. 13, China persuaded Nauru to sever diplomatic ties with Taiwan. Nauru cited Resolution 2758 in its declaration of the diplomatic break. Subsequently, during the WHO Executive Board meeting that month, Beijing rallied countries including Venezuela, Zimbabwe, Belarus, Egypt, Nicaragua, Sri Lanka, Laos, Russia, Syria and Pakistan to reiterate the “one China principle” in their statements, and assert that “Resolution 2758 has settled the status of Taiwan” to hinder Taiwan’s
Can US dialogue and cooperation with the communist dictatorship in Beijing help avert a Taiwan Strait crisis? Or is US President Joe Biden playing into Chinese President Xi Jinping’s (習近平) hands? With America preoccupied with the wars in Europe and the Middle East, Biden is seeking better relations with Xi’s regime. The goal is to responsibly manage US-China competition and prevent unintended conflict, thereby hoping to create greater space for the two countries to work together in areas where their interests align. The existing wars have already stretched US military resources thin, and the last thing Biden wants is yet another war.
As Maldivian President Mohamed Muizzu’s party won by a landslide in Sunday’s parliamentary election, it is a good time to take another look at recent developments in the Maldivian foreign policy. While Muizzu has been promoting his “Maldives First” policy, the agenda seems to have lost sight of a number of factors. Contemporary Maldivian policy serves as a stark illustration of how a blend of missteps in public posturing, populist agendas and inattentive leadership can lead to diplomatic setbacks and damage a country’s long-term foreign policy priorities. Over the past few months, Maldivian foreign policy has entangled itself in playing
A group of Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) lawmakers led by the party’s legislative caucus whip Fu Kun-chi (?) are to visit Beijing for four days this week, but some have questioned the timing and purpose of the visit, which demonstrates the KMT caucus’ increasing arrogance. Fu on Wednesday last week confirmed that following an invitation by Beijing, he would lead a group of lawmakers to China from Thursday to Sunday to discuss tourism and agricultural exports, but he refused to say whether they would meet with Chinese officials. That the visit is taking place during the legislative session and in the aftermath