China faced a barrage of international condemnation from London to Canberra on Friday after it was revealed that it had launched a missile attack on an aging weather satellite, a test that threatened to open a "Star Wars" space race.
Formal protests were lodged with the Beijing government, accompanied by expressions of concern from world leaders, including British Prime Minister Tony Blair. US President George W. Bush's administration is privately seething over the event and is believed to be preparing to turn the incident into a major diplomatic spat.
The concern in the US is that the satellite-killing missile test -- said by the US national security council to have been carried out on Jan. 11 -- demonstrated China has the capability to knock out its military satellite system, which the Pentagon depends on for navigation and surveillance.
US military and diplomatic analysts said a Chinese attack on about 40 to 50 satellites in low orbit round the world would leave the country's military blinded within a matter of hours.
But others, more sceptical about US policy, insist China had a right to challenge the US's effective monopoly of space. They noted that Beijing has repeatedly pressed for the US to sign agreements outlawing arms in space, overtures Washington has repeatedly rejected.
A Chinese government spokesman, Liu Jianchao (
The Russian government, which claims to favor demilitarization of space, expressed doubts about the nature of the test, claiming it was only a rumor that it was a demonstration of an anti-satellite capability. Its defense minister, Sergei Ivanov, said: "I'm afraid that it didn't have an anti-satellite basis. And, maybe, it's good that it didn't."
But the US, Britain, Japan, Australia and other countries had no doubts. London, while acknowledging China had broken no treaties, expressed dismay that it gave no advance warning of its action.
A spokesman at the prime minister's office at No. 10 Downing Street revealed that London had protested on Wednesday, arguing that the test is "inconsistent" with Beijing's earlier assurances to the UN on the military use of space, and will add to the space debris problem.
Downing Street said: "We don't believe that this does contravene international law. What we are concerned about, however, is lack of consultation and we believe that this development of this technology and the manner in which this test was conducted is inconsistent with the spirit of China's statements to the UN and other bodies on the military use of space."
The destruction of the Chinese satellite was the first such attack in space since the US carried out a similar test in 1985, when Ronald Reagan was pursuing the "Star Wars" anti-missile defense program.
The US, which has been trying to establish a closer relationship with China, has been reluctant recently to criticize Beijing but on Thursday lodged a formal protest.
Relations between the US and China have been improving since a stand-off in 2001 when a US surveillance aircraft was forced to land on Hainan island.
Dana Perino, the deputy White House press secretary, said Saturday that Chinese officials had not yet responded to concerns expressed by the US. "We do want cooperation on a civil space strategy, so until we hear back from them or have more information, I don't have any more to add," she said.
Although China offers no threat at present, the fear is that if there were a stand-off over Taiwan, the Chinese might be tempted by the option of destroying US satellites.
Worry was also expressed by China's near neighbors, Japan and South Korea. Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said: "We must use space for peace. We are asking the Chinese government about the test."
Alexander Downer, the Australian foreign minister, who was on a visit to New York, said Beijing's ambassador to Australia, Fu Ying (
"Our concern about this is that to have a capacity to shoot down satellites in outer space is not consistent with ... the traditional Chinese position of opposition to the militarization of outer space," Downer said.
The test has come as "a bit of a nasty shock," according to Kerry Brown, China expert and associate fellow at the international affairs thinktank Chatham House, in London. Politically, it is a sign that China will be extending its commercial and economic power to more military areas, he said.
Brown could not see any particular significance in the timing but he thought similar events would be more likely in the future.
"China is asserting its capacity, showing its ability to be autonomous and not needing to stand in anyone's shadow."
Some analysts suggested that the test was a warning shot directed at US operations in north-east Asia and US allies in the region, but played down the immediate implications for a future "Star Wars" crisis or a US-Chinese arms race.
The leading Liberal Democrat expert, Lord Wallace, said that the Chinese move had no direct impact on European security but would be likely to affect Europe because of the effect it would have on the US where a strong Republican lobby believes China is America's main threat.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its
RSS