For chip buyers ranging from computer gamers to automakers, there is no near-term fix on the way for shortages that have caused higher prices and production delays, semiconductor executives said.
Nvidia Corp, which makes chips that are the basis of graphics cards selling for thousands of US dollars more than their retail prices, sees some improvement in supply in the second half of the year, chief financial officer Colette Kress said on Wednesday at the JP Morgan Tech/Auto Forum.
Her comments led a string of presentations by other executives that similarly repeated their chip companies’ outlook for when supply and demand might reach some sort of balance. The bottom line is that most companies do not see any improvement before the middle of this year and many are saying not even then.
Photo: Bloomberg
Like other chipmakers that outsource their production, Nvidia has struggled to secure enough supply to meet demand. That bottleneck has hurt even the largest companies. Apple Inc, for example, has said it missed out on more than US$6 billion of revenue last quarter, because it could not get enough components.
For one of the companies that provides contract manufacturing, GlobalFoundries Inc, the surge in uses for chips coupled with the time it takes to increase capacity, means that this year would offer scant relief.
“It’s hard to imagine over the next two years a point where we don’t speak about supply issues,” GlobalFoundries CEO Tom Caulfield said during his appearance at the forum. “I don’t see any relief in 2022.”
Automakers have missed out on billions of US dollars in revenue, because they could not get the electronic components that are central to their products. Some of the industry’s chip suppliers stuck to a cautious outlook about when they would be able to fill orders more quickly.
ON Semiconductor Corp CEO Hassane El-Khoury told the online audience that demand would continue to outpace supply for the rest of this year. His company’s chips control the distribution of power in vehicles, particularly those running on electricity.
Analog Devices Inc, another major automotive chip supplier, was slightly more optimistic.
Growing orders would devour all of its supply until the fiscal third quarter, which ends in July, chief financial officer Prashanth Mahendra-Rajah said, adding that the company expects to significantly increase its supply output in the fourth quarter.
All the executives said that the demand is a fair reflection of the needs of their customers.
There is no sign of the kind of hoarding that might cause an inventory glut and later collapse in demand, they said.
UNCERTAINTY: Investors remain worried that trade negotiations with Washington could go poorly, given Trump’s inconsistency on tariffs in his second term, experts said The consumer confidence index this month fell for a ninth consecutive month to its lowest level in 13 months, as global trade uncertainties and tariff risks cloud Taiwan’s economic outlook, a survey released yesterday by National Central University found. The biggest decline came from the timing for stock investments, which plunged 11.82 points to 26.82, underscoring bleak investor confidence, it said. “Although the TAIEX reclaimed the 21,000-point mark after the US and China agreed to bury the hatchet for 90 days, investors remain worried that the situation would turn sour later,” said Dachrahn Wu (吳大任), director of the university’s Research Center for
Alchip Technologies Ltd (世芯), an application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) designer specializing in artificial-intelligence (AI) chips, yesterday said that small-volume production of 3-nanometer (nm) chips for a key customer is on track to start by the end of this year, dismissing speculation about delays in producing advanced chips. As Alchip is transitioning from 7-nanometer and 5-nanometer process technology to 3 nanometers, investors and shareholders have been closely monitoring whether the company is navigating through such transition smoothly. “We are proceeding well in [building] this generation [of chips]. It appears to me that no revision will be required. We have achieved success in designing
PROJECTION: KGI Financial said that based on its foreign exchange exposure, a NT$0.1 increase in the New Taiwan dollar would negatively impact it by about NT$1.7 billion KGI Financial Holding Co (凱基金控) yesterday said its life insurance arm has increased hedging and adopted other moves to curb the impact of the local currency’s appreciation on its profitability. “It is difficult to accurately depict the hedging costs, which might vary from 7 percent to 40 percent in a single day,” KGI Life Insurance Co (凱基人壽) told an investors’ conference in Taipei. KGI Life, which underpinned 66 percent of the group’s total net income last year, has elevated hedging to 55 to 60 percent, while using a basket of currencies to manage currency volatility, the insurer said. As different
Taiwanese insurers are facing difficult questions about the damage of recent swings in the New Taiwan dollar. Regulators might have a partial solution: letting firms change how they calculate the value of foreign currency assets. The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) is considering allowing insurers to use six-month average exchange rates when they calculate risk-based capital in their semiannual reports, a shift from the current system where insurers use exchange rates on the final day of reporting. The change could ease pressure on the US$1.2 trillion insurance sector, whose huge exposure to foreign assets came into the spotlight earlier this month after a