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Fri, Apr 30, 2004 - Page 12 News List

Wen Jiabao signals clamps on economy

UNCHECKED EXPANSION On the eve of his European tour, the Chinese premier warned Beijing is planning forceful but careful measures to slow economic growth

REUTERS , BEIJING

A worker fixes ornaments on a Formula One race car model promoting the Racing Carnival to be held during the week-long May Day holidays in Shanghai. Local businesses are hoping to take advantage of the opportunity to make money as the first ever Grand Prix comes to China's largest city on Sept. 26.

PHOTO: AFP

Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (溫家寶) said on Wednesday that China was committed to forceful measures to cool its dangerously fast-growing economy, which has benefited global growth but which, left unchecked, has the potential to drag it down.

Wen, on the eve of a 10-day tour that includes stops in Germany, Belgium, Italy, Ireland and Britain, also said he hoped to build on a partnership with the EU -- his first visit to the continent since he was named premier in March last year.

China reported 9.7-percent growth in the first quarter of this year but faces resurgent inflation due to unchecked expansion in money supply, bank credit and fixed asset investment.

Counting out a series of problems on his fingers, Wen underscored the weaknesses underlying one of the world's fastest growing economies, problems which he said would prevent all but the most prudent steps in reforming the tightly held yuan currency.

"We need to take effective and very forceful measures to resolve those problems as soon as pos-sible," Wen said.

Beijing has restricted bank lending, singled out cement, steel and aluminum projects in a broad clampdown to stamp out excess development and, just on Wednesday, issued new land-use rules to rein in industrial growth.

"We believe that all those measures are going to take off in future, and we hope not to see any major ups and downs in our economic development," he said.

Wen's comments helped push prices down in metal markets, as traders in both stock and futures markets worried any moves aimed at cooling China's economy could cut into strong demand for metals that have underpinned profits of many companies. The pressures would require China to tread softly in reforming the yuan, he said, and sudden changes would threaten global growth.

"If we change the system rashly, it will certainly bring unpredictable problems to the domestic economy, and at the same time could affect the financial stability of the region and even the world," Wen said.

Analysts have said China may move on the currency towards the end of this year, and officials have said they are studying the possibility of pegging it to a basket of currencies, a measure somewhere in between an outright revaluation and a modest widening of the tra-ding band.

Wen offered no preference for which path China might take, saying only that it would keep an open mind and was willing to give serious study to any proposal.

US metal stocks fell sharply on concerns that credit restrictions in China could dent the country's demand for raw materials. New York metal futures also tumbled. China has been sucking in raw materials to feed a construction boom and rising demand for consumer goods.

"That seems to be behind just about everything, the fact they are trying to curb credit," said James Pogoda, a vice president of precious metals at Mitsubishi International Corp in New York.

"Demand out of China, which has just been huge for the past year or more, could be slowed and could be hamstrung by some of these regulations or whatever is going to be announced," he said.

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