Maybe charisma isn't that important after all.
Dour and short, new Cuban President Raul Castro shuns the spotlight and often looks uncomfortable when he has to appear in public. Friends call him "the Prussian" for his cold, efficient style and describe his leadership as businesslike -- even boring.
That's very different from his iconic elder brother Fidel, who inspired three generations of revolutionaries worldwide and never met a grand stage he didn't like.
Separated by five years, the pair is so different that many doubted the younger Castro could successfully govern when he assumed provisional leadership of the communist-run island on July 31, 2006. But those doubts quickly melted away.
Cuba remained calm and little-changed for nearly 19 months while Fidel Castro, now 81, stayed out of sight after emergency intestinal surgery. The man who dominated all levels of government and mesmerized Cubans with speeches and boundless energy was suddenly nowhere to be found. Because his condition and exact ailments were classified, rumors that he was dead flew on numerous occasions.
Still, there were no riots, no mass exodus of refugees on makeshift rafts. A communist government that was supposed to crumble held fast -- surviving its potentially weakest moment unscathed, then was little changed afterward.
"I think that Raul is very much in charge. Obviously he's had almost 19 months now of doing it," said Brian Latell, a longtime CIA analyst who wrote a 2002 book about the younger Castro called After Fidel. "His standing with the Cuban people has improved so much, I think, just because he's so different from Fidel."
That's why Fidel Castro's resignation letter had an anticlimactic feel to many Cubans. He is retiring as president for good, but his successor has already been in place and consolidating his power, for so long.
Washington has dismissed the younger Castro as "Fidel Lite," even though he has said he'd be willing to negotiate improved relations with the US. But adversaries and Cuba watchers have spent decades underestimating Raul.
In fact, Cuba was so confident the transition would be smooth that Raul Castro did not appear in public the first few days after his brother announced he was formally stepping aside.
Nor was there a major, visible mobilization of soldiers and police officers of the sort that followed Castro's announcement he was ill.
"The uncertainty in July '06 was very, very high," Latell said. "This is different. They had plenty of time to get everything adjusted."
Raul has spent nearly all of his life in his older brother's shadow, and he showed no signs of racing to the spotlight in the moments after he was named president on Sunday by Cuba's parliament.
"There is only one commander in chief," he said, referring to Fidel.
Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez noted Raul's long record of loyalty as he welcomed the new Cuban leader:
"Raul has always been there, has always been quiet, has always been almost invisible, but working the most, faithful to the revolution, faithful to the people and faithful to his marrow to his elder brother Fidel," Chavez said.
Raul has served as defense minister since he, his brother and a band of bearded rebels toppled dictator Fulgencio Batista in 1959.
The nation's top generals are intensely loyal to Raul and he has long wielded almost absolute power over as many as 50,000 active troops, and firepower that includes Soviet-era tanks and fighter planes.
RSS