Sun, Jun 17, 2018 - Page 6 News List

Taiwan, allies must think ahead

By Gerrit van der Wees

Often we are so preoccupied with present-day concerns that it is difficult to keep an eye on the longer-term vision for Taiwan’s future.

However, the opening of the new American Institute in Taiwan building in Taipei this week provides a good opportunity to look 10, 20 or 30 years into the future and envision where we, collectively, would like Taiwan to be. The building will be there for a long time to come, but it is the vision of the people that will give US-Taiwan relations substance and purpose.

In the short term, Taiwan and its allies of course need to focus on protecting the country from the increasingly belligerent threat posed by China through its military posture, circumnavigation flights and other attempts to push Taiwan into a corner.

For Taiwan, this is an existential fight that it can win through a smart defense strategy and solid alliances, in particular with the US and Japan.

Taiwan, and its friends and allies also need to push back hard against Chinese attempts to restrict Taiwan’s international space by poaching its official diplomatic allies and minimizing or even blocking its participation in international organizations, such as the WHO, the International Civil Aviation Organization, Interpol and the UN itself.

We need to be more inventive and creative in enhancing Taiwan’s role internationally, and at the same time be more insistent on the principle of universality.

Looking at Taiwan’s future, too often Western analysts paint a picture in which — through misunderstanding or miscalculation — a confrontation or conflict erupts. Newswires and headline writers often use the word “flashpoint” in this context.

It would be more constructive to analyze and present ways and scenarios that would lead to peaceful coexistence as two friendly neighbors. For this to happen, it would be necessary for three parallel processes to take place:

First, the rulers in Beijing must look at Taiwan in a new light. Chinese leaders need to move away from the old animosities, contradictions and perceptions dating from the Chinese Civil War, which ended 69 years ago.

The old animosities were kept alive during the time when Chiang Kai-shek (蔣介石) and Chiang Ching-kuo (蔣經國) ruled Taiwan, vowing to “reconquer the mainland,” but with the nation’s momentous transition to democracy under former president Lee Teng-hui (李登輝), the equation fundamentally changed.

It needs to become clear to Beijing that the perpetuation of the current zero-sum strategy of military, economic and political pressure is not conducive to cross-strait relations, and that peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait can only be achieved if China moves toward acceptance of Taiwan as a friendly neighbor.

Second, the international community must reimagine its Taiwan relations. Taking into account that the democratic Taiwan of this year is not the same as the repressive Republic of China (ROC) of 1971, the US and Western Europe in particular need to look at Taiwan in its own light and its own right.

We need to bring Taiwan in from the cold of political isolation and start working toward a normalization of bilateral relations. Under the principle of universality, we also need to start supporting Taiwan as a full and equal member in the international family of nations.

Third, in due time and at its own pace, Taiwan needs to reinvent itself. This process has already been under way since the transition to democracy in the early 1990s, but it can be expected to accelerate under President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) of the Democratic Progressive Party.

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