Wed, Dec 07, 2016 - Page 8 News List

A timely calling of China’s bluff

By Jerome Keating

It became the telephone call that was heard around the world; it was an earthquake that set off a world-class tsunami, and a change in atmospheric conditions that brought an unprecedented media hailstorm. Ironically, it was simply President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) calling US president-elect Donald Trump to congratulate him on his victory.

However, there is much more. As the dust settles and the news wires slowly return to normal, what now becomes evident is that it is clearly time for the rest of the world to wake up and smell the coffee. Life has moved on since World War II. Taiwan has gone from a one-party state imposed by a fleeing diaspora and it now has democracy. Thus, it is time for the US and its allies to tell the Chinese emperor that as far as this democracy is concerned, he has no clothes.

This facade should have ended long ago. The only thing that kept it going was that China agreed to help foster globalization; it helped its own cause by being the manufacturing giant that most nations could count on for cheap labor and profit. It bought its way into the club, but now even that is changing as that juggernaut slows down.

The facts are there. If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck, it is a duck. Taiwan exists as an independent democratic nation (yes, I know there is that dreaded “I” word), but the reality remains despite what the Chinese emperor says.

Drag out your Montevideo standards and Taiwan fits the bill and then recall that the Chinese emperor liked to imagine that Mongolia was a part of China from time immemorial. Whereas on that issue, the flip side remains closer to the truth. Mongolia could claim that China is a part of Mongolia from time immemorial.

Other past realities remain. The Cairo Declaration was basically a press release to keep Chiang Kai-shek (蔣介石) in the war. The San Francisco Peace Treaty that officially ended the war was finally signed in 1951. It went into effect in 1952 and never stated to whom Taiwan would be given; it only stated that Japan would give up Taiwan. Could it fall to the Taiwanese? Why not?

What about the “one China” canard? Yes, that is there; the US and most nations have a “one China” policy, just like there is one France, one England, one Japan, one whatever. That is simple numerical reality. On the flip side, of course there is “one Taiwan,” although that part of the equation and its history has never quite been fully examined and remains unspoken.

The issue here is not that there is “one China,” but whether other nations agree with China’s definition of what fits into that “one China.” That is the unspoken reality.

Certainly China likes to imagine Taiwan is a part of it, but this does not mean other nations believe the same thing.

To simplify this, if China believed that the moon was part of “one China” because it was mentioned in a Tang Dynasty poem, other nations would agree that that is what China thinks and believes. It does not mean they think and believe it is true. It is time to leave the “one China” canard in the dustbin where it belongs.

The US has played its own game and contributed to the haze. Its position has been “undecided” for more than 70 years since the end of World War II. It is time for it to stop relying on that vagary to gain diplomatic space. So much has changed since then. Nations have been born and borders changed; Mongolia entered the UN. However, as far as Taiwan is concerned, most governments remain stuck in a time warp, bought off by China’s cheap manufacturing pledge. Thus they must jump through hoops in how to trade and deal with Taiwan, but pretend it does not exist.

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