Gallup vs Gallup Taiwan
Dear Johnny,
I just read your piece from last Saturday titled "You love farce? Send in the clowns." Toward the end you commented on Gallup and polling results from the recent election.
Gallup did not do this work. We are the only owner of the Gallup trademark in Taiwan and in 100 other countries around the world. We had a licensee in Taiwan who used the name up until 2002 when we revoked the rights. The poll that has used our name is a counterfeit. The individual [Dr. Timothy Ting Ting-yu,
Chris Stewart
Global Brand Manager
The Gallup Organization
Washington
Johnny replies: Interesting. And there was silly me blindly assuming that Gallup Taiwan was in all good faith a branch of The Gallup Organization. After looking at samples of the wisdom of Dr Tim, I notice that this pollster spends a lot of time barracking for political positions and telling Taiwanese what they should think about politics instead of measuring what Taiwanese think about politics. I've said before that sociologists are vulnerable to conflating cheerleading with science, but this former National Taiwan University faculty member takes the cake.
Defined into oblivion
Dear Johnny,
Bloomberg and China Watch/Asia Intelligence -- a proprietary service -- had an interesting report concluding that the mayoral election results demonstrate that views of "the mainland" still define Taiwan politics.
It is a good article until the last paragraph that contains this argument.
To be sure, the pan-blues are lacking in leaders whose families antedate 1945. But surely politics in Taiwan are about more than China?
Arthur Waldron
Johnny replies: That's precisely the problem. There's no more effective way of essentializing Taiwanese than portraying them as one-issue voters. To see the picture more clearly requires a level of understanding and detailed elucidation of local politics that is of absolutely no interest to your average foreign affairs editor at a newspaper or wire agency.
This red-herring opposition (pro-China/anti-China) does not account for strong differences of opinion in the KMT and the DPP, nor does it have a hope of capturing the complexity of local factional politics, let alone defections.
The international coverage reminds me of the days when Taiwan was Free China -- the supposed microcosm of the China that was and should be. I'm sure, Arthur, you have read literature from the 1960s and 1970s in which academics and journalists came here on the KMT dime and talked about the "Republic of China" with a straight face. They warned of the threat of Red China and rejoiced in surviving "Chinese" culture in the countryside while ignoring or misrepresenting local opposition to KMT thuggery. Of course, it was hard for anyone to object to these confections, considering the reward for dissent was harassment of you and your family and often much, much worse.
It may come as a kick in the teeth to some, but politics in Taiwan is about Taiwan. The China element is relevant but overrated, though of course in presidential elections it looms largest.
As for the pan-blues lacking local leadership, this is slowly changing, though grassroots supporters abandoned local boy Wang Jin-pyng (
Yet from China's point of view, the KMT is more or less a Taiwanese organization. There's something rather interesting about a party that is largely nativized but which is regarded as disloyal by its local rival and as regional by its former enemy.
What is it, I wonder? Someone once wrote about addiction and alienation in a way that comes awfully close to capturing the pathology of a refugee ideology that is rooted in denial and cynicism, yet lays down new roots:
You could have it all
My empire of dirt
I will let you down
I will make you hurt
I wear my crown of shit
On my liar's chair
Full of broken thoughts
I cannot repair
Beneath the stain of time
The feeling disappears
You are someone else
I am still right here.
In the event of a war with China, Taiwan has some surprisingly tough defenses that could make it as difficult to tackle as a porcupine: A shoreline dotted with swamps, rocks and concrete barriers; conscription for all adult men; highways and airports that are built to double as hardened combat facilities. This porcupine has a soft underbelly, though, and the war in Iran is exposing it: energy. About 39,000 ships dock at Taiwan’s ports each year, more than the 30,000 that transit the Strait of Hormuz. About one-fifth of their inbound tonnage is coal, oil, refined fuels and liquefied natural gas (LNG),
On Monday, the day before Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) departed on her visit to China, the party released a promotional video titled “Only with peace can we ‘lie flat’” to highlight its desire to have peace across the Taiwan Strait. However, its use of the expression “lie flat” (tang ping, 躺平) drew sarcastic comments, with critics saying it sounded as if the party was “bowing down” to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Amid the controversy over the opposition parties blocking proposed defense budgets, Cheng departed for China after receiving an invitation from the CCP, with a meeting with
Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) is leading a delegation to China through Sunday. She is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) in Beijing tomorrow. That date coincides with the anniversary of the signing of the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA), which marked a cornerstone of Taiwan-US relations. Staging their meeting on this date makes it clear that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) intends to challenge the US and demonstrate its “authority” over Taiwan. Since the US severed official diplomatic relations with Taiwan in 1979, it has relied on the TRA as a legal basis for all
To counter the CCP’s escalating threats, Taiwan must build a national consensus and demonstrate the capability and the will to fight. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) often leans on a seductive mantra to soften its threats, such as “Chinese do not kill Chinese.” The slogan is designed to frame territorial conquest (annexation) as a domestic family matter. A look at the historical ledger reveals a different truth. For the CCP, being labeled “family” has never been a guarantee of safety; it has been the primary prerequisite for state-sanctioned slaughter. From the forced starvation of 150,000 civilians at the Siege of Changchun