It's hard to understand the motivation behind China's move in taking its dissatisfaction over President Chen Shui-bian's (陳水扁) decision to ditch the National Unification Council and guidelines to UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan.
It is a puzzling decision for a number of reasons, and not just because Beijing has for years stuck so rigidly to the "anything to do with Taiwan is an internal affair" mantra.
To those familiar with the nuances of the Taiwan-China relationship, this is a massive loss of face for China. Taking its complaint over the trashing of the council to the UN would, if we are to believe the Chinese propaganda, be the equivalent of the US seeking advice from Annan over a decision by Texas to repeal its law that makes stealing cattle a hanging offense.
China has created an international fuss over what it calls an "internal affair," and this despite the fact that the unification council no longer meets and its guidelines are no longer appropriate, as none of the conditions it set out has ever been met by China.
By taking its grievances to the UN, China has effectively announced that it carries absolutely no weight in Taiwanese affairs. This is something that everyone in Taiwan knows, but something that China spends a massive amount of time and effort asserting to the rest of the world -- barbarically at times, as it showed by delaying international relief and aid operations following the massive earthquake that hit Taiwan in 1999 and obstructing WHO efforts during the SARS epidemic in 2003, under the pretence that Beijing was "in charge" of organizing relief efforts.
China's guarded reaction this time around has everything to do with protecting its carefully constructed image as a responsible member of the global community. Why, it's only 10 years since China tossed missiles into the sea off Taiwan's coast when protesting then president Lee Teng-hui's (李登輝) trip to speak at his alma mater in New York.
Surely scrapping something that upholds the delusion of eventual unification is more serious than a speech. Why hasn't China taken the opportunity to test some more of its 700 or so missiles this time around?
The answer lies in the necessity to protect its image. The importance China has placed on its successful hosting of the 2008 Olympics supersedes any other considerations right now, as the potential fallout from any strife in the Taiwan Strait could jeopardize the hosting of the games.
Were it to escalate the tension at the moment with a stray missile or two, then all the effort it has put into constructing a veneer of respectability since the 1989 Tiananmen Square Massacre would have been wasted. Plus it would have demolished and rebuilt half of Beijing and illegally relocated around 400,000 residents for nothing.
Not to mention the economic repercussions China would potentially suffer if it were to do anything rash.
Of course, another explanation for running to the UN could be that Beijing is trying to sow more internal discord in Taiwan, if that is at all possible. Portraying the president as an international troublemaker allows the Chinese Communist Party's Taiwanese affiliates, the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and People First Party, to tarnish Chen's reputation among people in Taiwan, poison his legacy and also damage the Democratic Progressive Party's (DPP) chances in the next presidential election.
What Beijing doesn't understand is that Taiwan's voters are already sufficiently polarized: They don't need help to aid them when choosing blue or green.
Whatever the real reasons behind this odd move, you can bet your bottom dollar that the offer for Taiwan to host the Olympic flame before 2008 will now quietly be rescinded.
Richard Hazeldine is a writer based in Taipei.
What began on Feb. 28 as a military campaign against Iran quickly became the largest energy-supply disruption in modern times. Unlike the oil crises of the 1970s, which stemmed from producer-led embargoes, US President Donald Trump is the first leader in modern history to trigger a cascading global energy crisis through direct military action. In the process, Trump has also laid bare Taiwan’s strategic and economic fragilities, offering Beijing a real-time tutorial in how to exploit them. Repairing the damage to Persian Gulf oil and gas infrastructure could take years, suggesting that elevated energy prices are likely to persist. But the most
In late January, Taiwan’s first indigenous submarine, the Hai Kun (海鯤, or Narwhal), completed its first submerged dive, reaching a depth of roughly 50m during trials in the waters off Kaohsiung. By March, it had managed a fifth dive, still well short of the deep-water and endurance tests required before the navy could accept the vessel. The original delivery deadline of November last year passed months ago. CSBC Corp, Taiwan, the lead contractor, now targets June and the Ministry of National Defense is levying daily penalties for every day the submarine remains unfinished. The Hai Kun was supposed to be
The Legislative Yuan on Friday held another cross-party caucus negotiation on a special act for bolstering national defense that the Executive Yuan had proposed last year. The party caucuses failed to reach a consensus on several key provisions, so the next session is scheduled for today, where many believe substantial progress would finally be made. The plan for an eight-year NT$1.25 trillion (US$39.59 billion) special defense budget was first proposed by the Cabinet in November last year, but the opposition Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) lawmakers have continuously blocked it from being listed on the agenda for
On Tuesday last week, the Presidential Office announced, less than 24 hours before he was scheduled to depart, that President William Lai’s (賴清德) planned official trip to Eswatini, Taiwan’s sole diplomatic ally in Africa, had been delayed. It said that the three island nations of Seychelles, Mauritius and Madagascar had, without prior notice, revoked the charter plane’s overflight permits following “intense pressure” from China. Lai, in his capacity as the Republic of China’s (ROC) president, was to attend the 40th anniversary of King Mswati III’s accession. King Mswati visited Taiwan to attend Lai’s inauguration in 2024. This is the first