The beer is flowing again at Hong Kong’s Happy Valley Racecourse. Music pumps from clubs in the neon-streaked Lan Kwai Fong district. Even the Sevens — the annual rugby extravaganza that’s captured this city’s hyperkinetic lifestyle for decades — is back, finally.
After more than two years under Beijing’s stringent pandemic rules, Hong Kong wants to prove that it can still be “Asia’s World City.”
The Hang Seng Index has found a footing after losing roughly half its value. Dealmakers say business is looking up at last.
Photo: EPA-EFE
But behind the hopeful signs are some hard realities. As the pandemic recedes, a new Hong Kong is emerging — one that’s less free, less cosmopolitan and, for some businesses, less vital than the old one.
Since 2020, tens of thousands of people have left. Among them are scores of bankers, lawyers and other professionals who’ve traditionally helped to make this a freewheeling, international entrepot. As of June, the city’s population had fallen by about 216,000, or 2.8 percent, to 7.3 million.
Meantime, more than 60 international companies have moved their regional headquarters out of Hong Kong. Just over a third of 36 fund management companies surveyed in July had shifted regional or global posts from the city. New visas for foreign financial services workers fell 50 percent to 1,894 in the first nine months of this year compared with three years ago, according to government data.
Photo: Reuters
The pandemic — and Beijing’s strict policies to deal with it — are only part of the story. A quarter-century after Hong Kong’s return to China, Hong Kong’s rulers have chipped away at civil liberties and jailed dozens of pro-democracy figures. On Dec. 10, media mogul Jimmy Lai (黎智英) was sentenced to more than five years in prison for fraud, a punishment human-rights activists decried as a blow to freedom of expression.
Even in the financial community, an impolitic word can now draw a sharp rebuke from official Beijing. Anxiety is growing. One British national who worked in finance recalled deleting WhatsApp and Signal messages that could be deemed seditious before a routine meeting with local police. His concern: authorities might check his phone. In August, he moved to Singapore.
“It’s hard not to imagine that international business won’t take note of the downward trend in Hong Kong’s autonomy, and continue to assess their presence in Hong Kong accordingly,” said Thomas Kellogg, executive director of the Georgetown Center for Asian Law.
Photo: AFP
Despite the buoyant stock market, life is hardly back to pre-pandemic normal. Visitors still need to do multiple mandatory COVID tests. Masks must be worn in public places. The border with mainland China remains closed.
And the local economy, like the rest of China’s, is hurting. The government projects gross domestic product will have shrunk 3.2 percent this year, its third contraction in four years. Home prices have tumbled 18 percent from last year’s peak, and Goldman Sachs Group Inc predicts the slump will only get worse.
The hotel industry, which was hit particularly hard by COVID, is struggling to lure workers back.
“We have seen a mass outflow of talent,” Aron Harilela, chairman of Harilela Hotels, said at a briefing to industry professionals and the media in late October. Attracting employees is a “mammoth task,” he said.
“I think the fear and stigma that we have been facing about COVID, where the rest of the world has not been facing, has been stifling us,” Harilela said.
Hong Kong’s Beijing-picked leader, John Lee (李家超), has been trying to burnish the city’s sullied reputation as an international business hub. A big step: rolling back COVID restrictions, including mandatory hotel quarantine. Lee also plans to relax visa rules and reduce the stamp duty on property purchases by non-residents. On Tuesday he scrapped most of the remaining curbs. The reopening of the border with mainland China is expected early next year.
Travelers are returning. Average daily arrivals at Hong Kong International Airport have jumped to about 20,000 from a low of just under 70 in March, according to the Immigration Department, which doesn’t provide data for the pre-pandemic period.
Executive recruiters, who have an interest in luring people back, are predictably optimistic. They say Hong Kong’s long-time selling points — low taxes, good opportunities and access to lucrative mainland markets — are still big draws. It helps that the city’s notoriously high housing costs have fallen.
“I’ve seen a lot of interest from people, particularly expats who left to Europe or London,” said Loretta Chan, Hong Kong-based partner at executive search firm Wellesley Partners, which focuses on the financial services industry. “I’ve seen them come back.”
Alan Schmoll says he’s considering moving back. The former banker lived here from 2009 to 2014. Now based in Melbourne, he visited in November for business and for the Hong Kong Sevens.
The trip, Schmoll says, was a success all around. He got a lot of business done, and partied a bit too much at Boomerang, a club in Lan Kwai Fong, after a COVID test at the door.
“The club was packed,” said Schmoll, who runs an online real estate company. “It was B.A.U. — business as usual.”
The flooding in Kaohsiung after the recent torrential rains has become an issue for mayoral candidates of both major parties. Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Kaohsiung mayoral candidate Ko Chih-en (柯志恩) brought in hydraulic-engineering professor Lee Hong-yuan (李鴻源), who called for comprehensive flood control measures on the Dianbao Creek (典寶溪), according to local media. Ko attacked the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) for being behind on flood control measures, but as the city administration observed, there are many weaknesses in how the government can mitigate extreme rainfall. Nor is the river entirely under the management of the city. The low-lying Dianbao River
Bloomberg reported earlier this week that the People’s Republic of China (PRC) “has developed hypersonic glide vehicles that can launch air-to-air weapons, an advancement meant to threaten high-value targets such as command-and-control aircraft thousands of miles away.” Military Watch magazine reported in 2024 on one of the designs: “the vehicle is designed with payload options that include electronic warfare and reconnaissance suites, as well as bombs and both supersonic and subsonic drones that detach from the vehicle during flight,” while noting that the PRC is a world leader in such technologies. The threat from the PRC is not only increasing,
Taiwan Power Co (Taipower, 台電) chairman Tseng Wen-sheng (曾文生) uses a sports metaphor to describe the density of electricity demand. A household is a ping-pong ball, ordinary industry a baseball and a science park a bowling ball. A data center is a shot put. Taiwan is preparing for the shot puts. Four new combined-cycle units at Hsinta (興達) and Taichung (台中), with combined capacity of about 5.2GW, are scheduled to begin supplying or testing on the grid by the end of this year. The Energy Administration’s (能源署) plan adds about 25.98GW of gas-fired capacity between this year and 2035, predominantly fueled
Taiwan’s rivers are significantly cleaner today than they were a few decades ago. The country’s rapid industrialization left many waterways polluted by untreated factory discharge, domestic sewage and runoff from livestock operations. Since the 1990s, expansion of municipal sewerage infrastructure and stricter enforcement of environmental standards have turned the situation around. However, freshwater ecosystems now face a very different threat — one that’s far less obvious to people living nearby. “Southern Taiwan — Tainan, Kaohsiung and Pingtung — is facing a particularly critical crisis regarding freshwater biological invasions,” says Lin Yen-ting (林晏廷), an assistant professor in the Master’s Program in Biodiversity