Fri, Dec 19, 2025 page8

• World is rebuilding without Taiwan

  • By Bonnie Yushih Liao 廖雨詩
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  The image was oddly quiet. No speeches, no flags, no dramatic announcements — just a Chinese cargo ship cutting through arctic ice and arriving in Britain in October. The Istanbul Bridge completed a journey that once existed only in theory, shaving weeks off traditional shipping routes.

  On paper, it was a story about efficiency. In strategic terms, it was about timing.

  Much like politics, arriving early matters. Especially when the route, the rules and the traffic are still undefined.

  For years, global politics has trained us to watch the loud moments: warships in the Taiwan Strait, sanctions announced at news conferences, leaders trading sharp words under bright lights. These scenes feel decisive. They are easy to interpret.

  However, the more consequential shifts are happening elsewhere — quietly, patiently and with far less drama.

  China appears comfortable in this slower, less visible arena. Rather than charging into confrontation, Beijing has focused on showing up early in emerging spaces — arctic research, deep-sea exploration, satellite coordination and digital infrastructure. The goal is not always to lead immediately, but to make sure it cannot be ignored when frameworks take shape.

  This is less about seizing power and more about securing a presence. Think of it as reserving a seat before the seating plan is finalized. Once the meeting begins, those without a chair do not get to set the agenda.

  Democracies often struggle with this kind of competition. Election cycles reward visible toughness, not patient institutional work. Walking away from multilateral forums might look decisive at home, but it leaves empty chairs in rooms where real decisions continue to be made.

  Those chairs rarely stay empty.

  This dynamic matters deeply for Taiwan.

  Taiwan is often framed as a flashpoint — a place where something might erupt. That framing overlooks how Taiwan actually functions. It is already embedded in the systems that keep the modern world running.

  Undersea cables carrying global data traffic pass through Taiwan’s surrounding waters. Semiconductor fabs operate around the clock, producing chips that power everything from consumer electronics to advanced defense systems. In government offices and civic technology communities, Taiwan has quietly built one of the world’s most credible models of democratic digital governance.

  These are not symbolic contributions. They are structural ones.

  Yet when the rules governing these systems are discussed — in standards bodies, regulatory forums and technical alliances — Taiwan is too often left outside the room. Not for lack of expertise, but because political hesitation elsewhere makes exclusion seem easier than inclusion.

  The arctic ship offers a useful metaphor. Climate change opened the passage. Technology made it navigable. Strategy determined who sailed first. No single voyage redraws the map, but each early crossing makes the route more real.

  Global competition today is no longer about who speaks the loudest, it is about who helps design the environment others must operate in.

  For Taiwan, the danger is not irrelevance — it is structural sidelining. Being present everywhere except where rules are formalized is a vulnerability. In a world quietly under construction, absence is not neutral. It shapes the final design.

  Bonnie Yushih Liao is an assistant professor at Tamkang University’s Department of Diplomacy and International Relations.
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