A new form of African swine fever identified in Chinese pig farms is most likely caused by illicit vaccines, industry insiders said, a fresh blow to the world’s largest pork producer, which is still recovering from a devastating epidemic of the virus.
Two new strains of African swine fever have infected more than 1,000 sows on several farms owned by New Hope Liuhe, China’s fourth-largest producer, as well as pigs being fattened for the firm by contract farmers, New Hope chief science officer Yan Zhichun (嚴志春) said.
Although the strains, which are missing one or two key genes present in the wild African swine fever virus, do not kill pigs like the disease that ravaged China’s farms in 2018 and 2019, they cause a chronic condition that reduces the number of healthy piglets born, Yan said.
At New Hope, and many large producers, infected pigs are culled to prevent the spread, making the disease effectively fatal.
Although the known infections are limited at present, if the strains spread widely, they could slash pork output in the world’s top consumer and producer; two years ago, swine fever wiped out half of China’s 400 million-head pig herd.
Pork prices are still at record levels and China is under pressure to strengthen food security amid the COVID-19 pandemic.
“I don’t know where they come from, but we find some mild field infections caused by some sort of gene-deleted viruses,” Yan said.
Wayne Johnson, a Beijing-based veterinarian, said that he diagnosed a chronic, or less lethal, form of the disease in pigs last year.
The virus lacked certain genetic components, known as the MGF360 genes.
New Hope has found strains of the virus missing both the MGF360 genes and the CD2v genes, Yan said.
Research has shown that deleting some MGF360 genes from African swine fever creates immunity, but the modified virus was not developed into a vaccine because it tended to later mutate back to a harmful state.
“You can sequence these things, these double deletions, and if it’s exactly the same as described in the lab, it’s too much of a coincidence, because you would never get that exact deletion,” said Lucilla Steinaa, principal scientist at the International Livestock Research Institute in Nairobi.
There is no approved vaccine for African swine fever, which is not harmful to humans, but many Chinese farmers struggling to protect their pigs have resorted to unapproved products, industry insiders and experts said.
They fear illicit vaccines have created accidental infections, which are now spreading.
The new strains could proliferate globally through contaminated meat, infecting pigs that are fed on kitchen waste. The virus is known to survive for months in some pork products.
The Chinese Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs did not respond to two requests for comment.
However, it has issued at least three warnings against use of unauthorized African swine fever vaccines, saying that they could have severe side effects and that producers and users could be charged with a criminal offense.
In August, the ministry said that it would test pigs for different strains of the virus as part of a nationwide investigation into illegal vaccine use.
Any strains with gene deletions could indicate a vaccine had been used, it said.
No findings have been published so far on the issue, which is highly sensitive for Beijing.
Reporting of the recent African swine fever outbreaks was covered up extensively.
After decades of research into producing a vaccine against the huge, complex swine fever virus, researchers around the world are focusing on live-virus vaccines — the only type to have shown any promise.
However, such vaccines carry higher risks, because even after the virus is weakened so that it does not cause serious illness, it can sometimes recover its virulence.
One such vaccine used in Spain in the 1960s caused a chronic disease with swollen joints, skin lesions and respiratory issues in pigs that complicated efforts to eradicate African swine fever over the next three decades.
Since then, no nation has approved a vaccine for the disease.
A vaccine with the MGF360 and CD2v genes deleted is undergoing trials by China’s Harbin Veterinary Research Institute after showing promise.
Yan said that he believes people have replicated the sequences of virus strains being studied, which have been published in scientific literature, and that pigs injected with illicit vaccines based on them could be infecting others.
“It’s definitely man-made; this is not a natural strain,” he said.
Neither Johnson nor Yan have fully sequenced the new swine fever strains. Beijing strictly controls who is allowed to work with the virus, which can only be handled in laboratories with high biosecurity designations.
Yet several private companies have developed test kits that can check for specific genes.
GM Biotech, based in China’s central Hunan Province, said in an online post last week that it had developed a test that identifies whether the pathogen is a virulent strain, a single-gene deleted attenuated strain or a double-gene deleted attenuated strain.
The test helps pig producers, because the new strains are “very difficult to detect at the initial stage of infection and have a longer incubation period after infection,” the company said.
The government has not said how widely used illicit vaccines are or who has produced them, but a “vast amount” of pigs in China have nonetheless been vaccinated, Johnson said, a sentiment echoed by many other experts.
In 2004 and 2005, when the H5 bird flu strains were spreading across Asia, Chinese laboratories produced several unauthorized live bird flu vaccines, raising fears that they could produce dangerous new variants, said Mo Salman, a professor of veterinary medicine at Colorado State University who has worked on animal health in Asia.
“The current ASF unlawful vaccine[s] in China is repeating history,” Salman said.
In the event of a war with China, Taiwan has some surprisingly tough defenses that could make it as difficult to tackle as a porcupine: A shoreline dotted with swamps, rocks and concrete barriers; conscription for all adult men; highways and airports that are built to double as hardened combat facilities. This porcupine has a soft underbelly, though, and the war in Iran is exposing it: energy. About 39,000 ships dock at Taiwan’s ports each year, more than the 30,000 that transit the Strait of Hormuz. About one-fifth of their inbound tonnage is coal, oil, refined fuels and liquefied natural gas (LNG),
To counter the CCP’s escalating threats, Taiwan must build a national consensus and demonstrate the capability and the will to fight. The Chinese Communist Party (CCP) often leans on a seductive mantra to soften its threats, such as “Chinese do not kill Chinese.” The slogan is designed to frame territorial conquest (annexation) as a domestic family matter. A look at the historical ledger reveals a different truth. For the CCP, being labeled “family” has never been a guarantee of safety; it has been the primary prerequisite for state-sanctioned slaughter. From the forced starvation of 150,000 civilians at the Siege of Changchun
The two major opposition parties, the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), jointly announced on Tuesday last week that former TPP lawmaker Chang Chi-kai (張啟楷) would be their joint candidate for Chiayi mayor, following polling conducted earlier this month. It is the first case of blue-white (KMT-TPP) cooperation in selecting a joint candidate under an agreement signed by their chairpersons last month. KMT and TPP supporters have blamed their 2024 presidential election loss on failing to decide on a joint candidate, which ended in a dramatic breakdown with participants pointing fingers, calling polls unfair, sobbing and walking
In the opening remarks of her meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) in the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on Friday, Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) framed her visit as a historic occasion. In his own remarks, Xi had also emphasized the history of the relationship between the KMT and the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Where they differed was that Cheng’s account, while flawed by its omissions, at least partially corresponded to reality. The meeting was certainly historic, albeit not in the way that Cheng and Xi were signaling, and not from the perspective