China has a party-state authoritarian form of government. The power transition that happens every 10 years is the time at which this whole system is at its most unstable, but it is also the moment that gives us the clearest glimpse of the nature of China’s core political leadership.
As the 18th National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) approaches, there has been a string of incidents, starting with then-Chongqing vice mayor and police chief Wang Lijun’s (王立軍) attempt to seek refuge in the US consulate in Chengdu, followed by Bo Xilai’s (薄熙來) removal from his posts of Chongqing mayor and Communist Party secretary. Over the past few days, there have also been widespread rumors about the possible fall from power of CCP Political and Legislative Affairs Committee (PLAC) Secretary and Politburo Standing Committee member Zhou Yongkang (周永康).
These events have revealed power struggles and factionalism in the top ranks of the CCP that are normally hidden from view. It turns out that not only does the long-rumored discord within the CCP’s most powerful leading body — the nine-member Politburo Standing Committee — exist, but the conflicts among its members’ opinions may be much sharper than people generally imagine. While some China researchers praise what they see as the orderly process by which power is handed over among the CCP elite, this orderly image is becoming questioned now that the party’s 18th National Congress is drawing near.
Wang’s attempt to seek refuge in the US consulate, his subsequent arrest, Bo’s fall from grace and the rumors about Zhou show that, while the CCP appears to have a firm grip on power, its power center is fragile and divided.
But what does this all have to do with relations across the Taiwan Strait? The key point is these incidents also reveal how frighteningly unbridled China’s government and judicial structures are in their abuse of power.
Zhou is the secretary of the PLAC, which directs the police, procuratorate (prosecutors), courts, state security agencies and armed police. All these agencies have the power to restrict individual freedoms and, given the lack of restraints on their actions, to do things that infringe on human rights.
The reason why the political struggle now going on in Beijing has given rise to rumors about military coups and the like is that Zhou has the power to deploy the armed police. This may also explain why People’s Liberation Army generals have been making public declarations of their loyalty to the CCP central leadership, as well as rumored deployments of tank and artillery units.
When there is a political struggle going on, these armed forces can strengthen the hand of those contending for power, while at other times they are often behind abuses of human rights. Their victims may be Chinese victims of land grabs or human rights defenders, or Taiwanese businesspeople, students or reporters stationed in China.
A good example is National People’s Congress (NPC) delegate Zhang Mingyu’s (張明渝) recent expose on Bo to the media during the concurrent sessions of the NPC and the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference. Just as the NPC session was under way, Zhang was “made to disappear.” If an NPC delegate can be mysteriously detained with no explanation, even while the congress was in session, how much more likely is such a thing to happen to ordinary people or to Taiwanese living in China?
China recently amended its Criminal Procedure Law to the effect that police and state security departments must inform the families of criminal suspects when they detain them or otherwise restrict their freedom of movement. However, they are not obliged to do so if the case involves so-called threats to national security. This exemption has been criticized as providing a legal basis for these agencies’ longstanding abuse of their powers to restrict people’s freedoms, and as legalizing secret detentions. Furthermore, when a person is subjected to such treatment prior to a formal investigation and arrest, he or she has no legal right to demand the presence and assistance of a lawyer. These are examples of the unbridled arbitrary extension of powers by the Chinese government and law-enforcement agencies.
The Wang Lijun incident and the way in which the Criminal Procedure Law was amended have exposed the internal struggles within the CCP’s power structure. They also show how the very nature of the regime allows the party to exercise its power without restraint.
As President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) eagerly negotiates with China based on his administration’s “one country, two areas (一國兩區)” proposal, one wonders whether he has thought about how to negotiate to establish agreements and measures to safeguard the freedom, property and safety of Taiwanese in China. Let’s hope the government does not say that these things cannot be resolved until such time as political negotiations are held between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait.
Contacts between Taiwanese and Chinese have already become an everyday occurrence. Chinese who come to Taiwan enjoy the safeguards of Taiwan’s rule of law, yet Taiwanese do not get the same treatment when they go to China. Cross-strait negotiations are moving forward all the time, so how can the government keep delaying talks on issues to do with human rights?
Hsu Szu-chien is a member of Taiwan Democracy Watch.
Translated by Julian Clegg
As former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) concludes his fourth visit to China since leaving office, Taiwan finds itself once again trapped in a familiar cycle of political theater. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has criticized Ma’s participation in the Straits Forum as “dancing with Beijing,” while the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) defends it as an act of constitutional diplomacy. Both sides miss a crucial point: The real question is not whether Ma’s visit helps or hurts Taiwan — it is why Taiwan lacks a sophisticated, multi-track approach to one of the most complex geopolitical relationships in the world. The disagreement reduces Taiwan’s
A foreign colleague of mine asked me recently, “What is a safe distance from potential People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Rocket Force’s (PLARF) Taiwan targets?” This article will answer this question and help people living in Taiwan have a deeper understanding of the threat. Why is it important to understand PLA/PLARF targeting strategy? According to RAND analysis, the PLA’s “systems destruction warfare” focuses on crippling an adversary’s operational system by targeting its networks, especially leadership, command and control (C2) nodes, sensors, and information hubs. Admiral Samuel Paparo, commander of US Indo-Pacific Command, noted in his 15 May 2025 Sedona Forum keynote speech that, as
Former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) is visiting China, where he is addressed in a few ways, but never as a former president. On Sunday, he attended the Straits Forum in Xiamen, not as a former president of Taiwan, but as a former Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) chairman. There, he met with Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference Chairman Wang Huning (王滬寧). Presumably, Wang at least would have been aware that Ma had once been president, and yet he did not mention that fact, referring to him only as “Mr Ma Ying-jeou.” Perhaps the apparent oversight was not intended to convey a lack of
Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairman Eric Chu (朱立倫) last week announced that the KMT was launching “Operation Patriot” in response to an unprecedented massive campaign to recall 31 KMT legislators. However, his action has also raised questions and doubts: Are these so-called “patriots” pledging allegiance to the country or to the party? While all KMT-proposed campaigns to recall Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) lawmakers have failed, and a growing number of local KMT chapter personnel have been indicted for allegedly forging petition signatures, media reports said that at least 26 recall motions against KMT legislators have passed the second signature threshold