Tue, Sep 30, 2025 page9

• Gold tops US$3,800 on weak US dollar

  UNCERTAINTY: Gold’s record rally came as traders weighed threats to the Federal Reserves’ independence, while officials voiced diverging views on monetary policy

  • Bloomberg
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  Gold climbed to a record above US$3,800 an ounce as precious metals surged, boosted by a weaker US dollar as investors weighed a potential US government shutdown.

  Bullion rose as much as 1.4 percent to an all-time high of US$3,812.05 an ounce — eclipsing a peak reached on Tuesday last week — after notching six straight weekly gains.

  Silver increased as much as 2.4 percent, while platinum and palladium also rallied strongly, with gains underpinned by persistent market tightness and inflows into exchange-traded funds (ETFs) backed by the metals.

  

  Gold bullion is displayed at Hatton Garden Metals precious metal dealers in London, the UK, on July 21, 2015.

  Photo: Reuters

  The US dollar fell as investors awaited developments ahead of a planned meeting between top US congressional leaders and President Donald Trump after press time last night — a day before federal funding would expire if an agreement on a short-term spending bill cannot be reached.

  A shutdown would threaten the release of key data including Friday’s payrolls report, which economists expect would show subdued jobs growth this month.

  Weaker employment figures would bolster the case for easing by US Federal Reserve officials at their next month’s rate decision — a scenario that would make non-interest bearing precious metals more attractive.

  Still, there is a high degree of uncertainty over the outlook for the Fed’s cutting cycle, with officials voicing diverging views on monetary policy, while some economic data came in stronger than expected.

  Traders also continued to weigh threats to the US central bank’s independence, after Fed Governor Lisa Cook’s attorneys on Thursday urged the US Supreme Court to let her stay on the job while she fights Trump’s attempt to fire her.

  Bullion does not look overpriced relative to the US dollar and US Treasuries, which “ought to contain a level of Fed-related premium, given the nature of the risk” from the central bank’s potential loss of independence, Barclays PLC said in a note on Sunday. “This makes it a surprisingly good value hedge.”

  Gold has soared 45 percent this year, setting successive peaks on central-bank demand and a resumption of interest-rate cuts by the Fed. Prices are on track to close out a third consecutive quarterly gain this week, with holdings in bullion-backed ETFs at the highest since 2022. Banks including Goldman Sachs Group Inc and Deutsche Bank AG have said they expect the rally to extend.

  Meanwhile, gold’s precious metal peers have seen unprecedented tightness this year, exacerbating concerns about dwindling stockpiles of freely available metal in London as several years of supply deficits come to a head. Lease rates — which reflect the cost of borrowing metal, generally for a short period of time — for silver, platinum and palladium have all surged well above their normal levels of close to zero.

  Silver jumped to its highest since 2011 yesterday after rising above US$45 an ounce last week for the first time in 14 years, and was trading up 1.5 percent to US$46.7857 an ounce.

  Platinum was up 2.6 percent to trade above US$1,600 an ounce for the first time since 2013, while palladium gained as much as 2.9 percent to its highest since July.
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