Taiwan is not necessarily at a disadvantage under the US’ 20 percent tariff announced last week, given structural differences in its export economy compared with Japan and South Korea, Nomura Asset Management Taiwan Ltd (野村投信) said in a report on Friday.
Nomura’s Taiwan equity team holds a neutral view on the newly announced tariff rate, even as markets expressed disappointment that Taiwan’s rate trails the 15 percent levied on exports from South Korea and Japan.
The Nomura report said that Taiwan’s export competitiveness remains intact, as much of its production is already offshore, particularly in China and Southeast Asia.
Photo: Ritchie B. Tongo, EPA-EFE
Unlike Japan and South Korea, whose automotive exports are heavily dependent on the US market, Taiwan’s export profile is more complementary to US demand, it said.
Moreover, the lower tariffs granted to Japan and South Korea reflect their reliance on US-bound auto exports and the substantial concessions in terms of pledged investments and purchases made during trade talks, it said.
The 20 percent levy for Taiwan is broadly consistent with the rates imposed by Washington on other countries in the region, it said.
For example, China faces duties ranging from 37.5 to 55 percent, although the rate drops to 20 percent for consumer electronics, the report said.
In Southeast Asia, where many Taiwanese firms have manufacturing bases, tariffs are 20 percent in Vietnam, and 19 percent in Thailand, Malaysia and Indonesia, roughly matching Taiwan’s, it said.
Nomura said that Taiwan’s outcome is “reasonable” and sees no urgent need to further shift production abroad in pursuit of lower tariffs.
While the new US tariffs could temporarily raise costs for US buyers of Taiwan-made artificial intelligence (AI) server components, the total cost would still undercut US domestic manufacturing, the report said.
As US President Donald Trump’s trade policies reshape global supply chains, Taiwan’s strategic relationship with US chipmaker Nvidia Corp is likely to deepen in AI, reinforcing long-term tailwinds for Taiwanese equities, it said.
Some Taiwanese suppliers are already ramping up investments in the US and Mexico to reduce tariff exposure — a trend Nomura expects to continue.
In the longer term, robust global demand for AI servers and high-performance computing would help preserve Taiwan’s central role in the tech supply chain, with reciprocal tariffs having limited fundamental impact, Nomura said.
Any near-term market pullbacks triggered by sentiment shifts might present buying opportunities, particularly in AI-related names with low consumer cycle exposure, it said.
The firm advises caution in consumer electronics, where front-loaded shipments earlier this year might result in elevated inventories.
Investment focus would remain on AI supply chain beneficiaries with strong end-market demand and minimal tariff sensitivity, it said.
Despite the resolution of one major source of uncertainty, the TAIEX has traded within a narrow range, while AI-related stocks are expected to continue outperforming due to strong growth positioning, the report said.
Taiwan’s exports soared 56 percent year-on-year to an all-time high of US$64.05 billion last month, propelled by surging global demand for artificial intelligence (AI), high-performance computing and cloud service infrastructure, the Ministry of Finance said yesterday. Department of Statistics Director-General Beatrice Tsai (蔡美娜) called the figure an unexpected upside surprise, citing a wave of technology orders from overseas customers alongside the usual year-end shopping season for technology products. Growth is likely to remain strong this month, she said, projecting a 40 percent to 45 percent expansion on an annual basis. The outperformance could prompt the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and
Two Chinese chipmakers are attracting strong retail investor demand, buoyed by industry peer Moore Threads Technology Co’s (摩爾線程) stellar debut. The retail portion of MetaX Integrated Circuits (Shanghai) Co’s (上海沐曦) upcoming initial public offering (IPO) was 2,986 times oversubscribed on Friday, according to a filing. Meanwhile, Beijing Onmicro Electronics Co (北京昂瑞微), which makes radio frequency chips, was 2,899 times oversubscribed on Friday, its filing showed. The bids coincided with Moore Threads’ trading debut, which surged 425 percent on Friday after raising 8 billion yuan (US$1.13 billion) on bets that the company could emerge as a viable local competitor to Nvidia
BARRIERS: Gudeng’s chairman said it was unlikely that the US could replicate Taiwan’s science parks in Arizona, given its strict immigration policies and cultural differences Gudeng Precision Industrial Co (家登), which supplies wafer pods to the world’s major semiconductor firms, yesterday said it is in no rush to set up production in the US due to high costs. The company supplies its customers through a warehouse in Arizona jointly operated by TSS Holdings Ltd (德鑫控股), a joint holding of Gudeng and 17 Taiwanese firms in the semiconductor supply chain, including specialty plastic compounds producer Nytex Composites Co (耐特) and automated material handling system supplier Symtek Automation Asia Co (迅得). While the company has long been exploring the feasibility of setting up production in the US to address
OPTION: Uber said it could provide higher pay for batch trips, if incentives for batching is not removed entirely, as the latter would force it to pass on the costs to consumers Uber Technologies Inc yesterday warned that proposed restrictions on batching orders and minimum wages could prompt a NT$20 delivery fee increase in Taiwan, as lower efficiency would drive up costs. Uber CEO Dara Khosrowshahi made the remarks yesterday during his visit to Taiwan. He is on a multileg trip to the region, which includes stops in South Korea and Japan. His visit coincided the release last month of the Ministry of Labor’s draft bill on the delivery sector, which aims to safeguard delivery workers’ rights and improve their welfare. The ministry set the minimum pay for local food delivery drivers at