Sat, Apr 29, 2023 page12

• Labor crunch poses threat as recovery remains rocky

  • Bloomberg
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  Taiwan’s services sector is finding it hard to hire enough staff to contend with a post-COVID-19 pandemic pickup in tourism and spending, further pressuring the economy as Taiwan is struggling to return to growth.

  Restaurateur Mai Bach finds the labor shortage problem impossible to avoid.

  “Almost every restaurant” is dealing with a lack of workers, she said, adding that long-standing restrictions on foreign labor in the sector have made it tough to find a fix.

  

  A woman works at a food court in a department store in Tapei’s Tianmu area on Jan. 16.

  Photo: CNA

  “Everyone’s just working double shifts,” said Bach, who cofounded the vegan restaurant group Ooh Cha Cha Ltd (自然食).

  She said the problem has affected her friends in the industry, including one woman who was forced to reduce her restaurant’s operating hours because of a lack of staff.

  Concerns about meeting demand are likely to exacerbate in the coming months as the nation tries to dig itself out of a deep economic slump.

  The surging demand for workers is rooted in several factors. Like in many developed economies, the nation’s population is rapidly aging, with the elderly expected to account for more than 20 percent of the populace by 2025. Historically low wages in hospitality have complicated things, discouraging potential workers.

  The pandemic created more problems as workers retired or left their jobs.

  The labor force dropped sharply after reaching a record high in August 2019. While the number of people in the labor market has steadily risen in recent months, it still has not returned to pre-pandemic levels.

  The staffing crunch described by Bach and others also comes as the unemployment rate hit a record low of 3.58 percent in February — suggesting the problem is more related to the lack of workers.

  The shortfall has stretched across the hospitality industry.

  Some hotels are afraid to take bookings due to a labor shortage, local media reported, citing comments made last month at a trade meeting by Regent Hotels & Resorts (晶華麗晶酒店集團) chairman Steven Pan (潘思亮).

  “The shortage is everywhere and it’s creating huge pressure right now,” said Elliott Fan (樊家忠), a professor at National Taiwan University’s Department of Economics.

  Labor market shocks from short-term factors — such as the pandemic — can take up to two years to resolve, he said.

  That is troubling news for an economy already under strain from a big drop-off in global demand for computer chips, which is usually a key contributor to Taiwan's economic growth.

  Tourism only accounted for 4 percent of the nation's GDP prior to the pandemic, but the economy now needs all the help it can get, Oxford Economics Ltd economist Lloyd Chan (陳進來) said.

  “Taiwan is looking at a semiconductor downturn, so the tourism and services sector could now have an impact on GDP,” Chan said.
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