Led by China's booming economy, stronger than expected global financial growth continued in the first half of this year, the IMF said.
In the first in a series of updates to its twice-yearly Global Economic Outlook, the IMF projected global growth of 5.2 percent for this year and next, up 0.3 percentage points from 4.9 percent in its April outlook.
Presenting the report, Charles Collyns, the IMF's deputy director of research, said on Wednesday: "This year, for the very first time, with very strong growth expected and with a growth slowdown in the United States, China will be the largest contributor to global growth," whatever standard is used to measure an economy's size.
China's economy sped up in the second quarter of the year to its fastest growth rate since 1995 -- 11.9 percent -- driven by surging exports and investment, according to data released in Beijing last week.
The figures put China on track for a fifth year of double digit growth and to replace Germany as the world's third-largest economy.
The IMF projected China's growth rate at 11.2 percent for this year and 10.5 percent for next year.
Taking China, India and Russia together, Collyns said, the three countries are likely to contribute about half of the world's output growth.
"China is certainly going from strength to strength at this point," he told reporters.
Consumer spending has finally joined investment as a pillar of economic growth in China, Collyns said.
"It shows some progress is being made in rebalancing the Chinese economy," he said.
The IMF said that although growth in the US, the world's largest economy, slowed in the first three months of the year, recent indicators suggest that the economy gained momentum in the second quarter.
The IMF slightly lowered its forecast for this year for the US to 2 percent and raised it to 2.8 percent for next year.
Collyns said more will be known about the US when the government releases second quarter growth figures today.
The IMF said that, in the euro currency countries and in Japan, "growth has remained above trend with some welcome signs that domestic demand is taking a more central role in the expansions."
The projection rate for Germany, the main economic driver in the euro area, was raised 0.8 percent to 2.6 percent because the impact of its increase in sales tax at the beginning of the year has been much less than expected, Collyns said.
He said inflation worldwide remained generally well contained despite strong global economic growth -- although some countries with emerging economies and developing countries experienced rising pressures, especially from energy and food price.
As these pressures continue, he said, central banks will need to tighten monetary policy by raising interest rates.
The IMF said the overall risks to the global economy remain tilted modestly to the downside
"The risk of an oil price spike remains a concern," the IMF said. "Financial market risks have also increased as credit quality has deteriorated in some sectors and market volatility has increased."
‘NO SECURITY RISK’: The Railway Bureau reassured the public that the technicians’ activities were limited to technical guidance and did not involve sensitive systems The Railway Bureau yesterday said it had invited eight Chinese technicians to assist with an airport MRT construction project. The bureau issued the confirmation after an Internet user said Chinese nationals had entered the construction zone of Taiwan Taoyuan International Airport’s Terminal 3 project. They asked why “individuals from an enemy state” were allowed access to such a major national infrastructure project, which raised serious concerns over Taiwan’s industrial safety, sensitive systems and information security. The bureau’s Northern Region Engineering Branch Office said subcontractor Taiwan Handle Industrial Co (台灣手把工業) of the Taoyuan airport MRT’s “Contract No. CU05 Project A14 Station Civil, MEP &
The National Chungshan Institute of Science and Technology yesterday showcased its locally developed variants of the Vision 60 robotic patrol dog, which it plans to deploy on the nation’s outlying territories in the South China Sea. The variants were produced under the Joint Lab project — created by the institute and domestic companies — and assembled with domestically produced motors, lenses and artificial intelligence (AI) systems alongside licensed tech from the US, Missile and Rocket Systems Research Division deputy director Jen Kuo-kang (任國光) told the media event at a military base in Taipei’s Dazhi (大直) area. Taiwan has built up its strengths
NOT IMMEDIATE: Taiwan has a chance to appeal the proposed 10 percent tariff before it starts, while other countries face a 12.5 percent tariff from the trade office Taiwan is among 60 economies determined by the US to have failed to impose or enforce a ban on the importation of goods produced with forced labor, according to a notice released on Tuesday by the Office of the US Trade Representative (USTR), which proposed imposing an additional 10 percent or more tariff on them. The USTR in a statement said that following an investigation, it had determined under Section 301 of the Trade Act of 1974 that the failure of the 60 economies to impose and effectively enforce a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labor is
TIT-FOR-TAT: The US allegedly revoked the visa of a Chinese national working at Xinhua News Agency in the US in response to Beijing’s expulsion of Vivian Wang The Presidential Office yesterday condemned China for expelling a New York Times correspondent from Beijing following the newspaper’s interview with President William Lai (賴清德), saying the move highlighted Beijing’s suppression of press freedom and its threat to international news media. Taiwan has noted a series of recent incidents in which Beijing used similar tactics to “threaten and pressure international media outlets and journalists,” Presidential Office spokeswoman Karen Kuo (郭雅慧) said in a statement. “This concerns not only press freedom and freedom of expression, but also the safety of journalists, and Taiwan and relevant partners are paying close attention to the situation,” she