Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s ruling bloc was yesterday on track to retain its majority in the upper house of parliament after an election for about half of the seats in the body, local media reported.
The result would shore up Abe’s ruling coalition ahead of a tax hike later this year and keep alive his plan to amend the nation’s pacifist constitution.
The 64-year-old Abe’s Liberal Democratic Party and its coalition partner Komeito were forecast to take between 67 and 77 of the 124 seats — about half the chamber — up for election, the Japan Broadcasting Corp (NHK) said.
Photo: EPA-EFE
NHK’s projection, based on exit polling and other analysis, came immediately after polls closed at 8pm.
The two parties control 70 seats in the half of the 245-seat chamber that is not being contested, putting them on track to maintain their overall majority.
Local media also predicted that forces in favor of revising the constitution, led by Abe’s party, were set to win close to 85 of the seats up for grabs, giving them a “super majority” in the chamber.
Abe, who is on course to become Japan’s longest-serving prime minister, was widely expected to maintain his majority, mostly due to a lackluster opposition.
Pollsters had suggested that turnout could be lower than 50 percent, significantly less than usual.
“I support the current government because I see no alternative,” said Yoshiko Iida, a 45-year-old beauty therapist.
“Opposition parties are woeful,” she told reporters. “I don’t want to leave power to them.”
Susumu Rokkaku, an 85-year-old male pensioner, said: “I voted for an opposition candidate, but whoever is elected, nothing will change. I have no expectations.”
“Abe’s strength is largely based on passive support resulting from disarray in the opposition camp and a lack of rivals,” said Shinichi Nishikawa, a professor of political science at Meiji University in Tokyo.
If he wins, Abe should be able to stay in power until November, when he would break the record of the nation’s longest-serving prime minister, held by Taro Katsura, who served three times between 1901 and 1913.
Abe’s ruling coalition has sought during campaigning to win voter support for a rise in consumption tax to 10 percent later this year as part of efforts to ease swelling social security costs in the “ultra-aged” nation.
He also hopes to secure a two-thirds majority in the upper house to keep alive his plans to amend the constitution’s provisions on the military.
Abe this month vowed to “clearly stipulate the role of the [Japan] Self-Defence Forces in the constitution,” which prohibits Japan from waging war and maintaining a military.
The provisions, imposed by the US after World War II, are popular with the public at large, but reviled by nationalists such as Abe, who see them as outdated and punitive.
“Since the ruling coalition is widely expected to win the election, attention is now focused on whether the pro-revision forces can win a two-thirds majority,” Nishikawa said.
However, any constitutional revision also requires approval in a national referendum.
A magnitude 7.0 earthquake struck off Yilan at 11:05pm yesterday, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said. The epicenter was located at sea, about 32.3km east of Yilan County Hall, at a depth of 72.8km, CWA data showed There were no immediate reports of damage. The intensity of the quake, which gauges the actual effect of a seismic event, measured 4 in Yilan County area on Taiwan’s seven-tier intensity scale, the data showed. It measured 4 in other parts of eastern, northern and central Taiwan as well as Tainan, and 3 in Kaohsiung and Pingtung County, and 2 in Lienchiang and Penghu counties and 1
FOREIGN INTERFERENCE: Beijing would likely intensify public opinion warfare in next year’s local elections to prevent Lai from getting re-elected, the ‘Yomiuri Shimbun’ said Internal documents from a Chinese artificial intelligence (AI) company indicated that China has been using the technology to intervene in foreign elections, including propaganda targeting Taiwan’s local elections next year and presidential elections in 2028, a Japanese newspaper reported yesterday. The Institute of National Security of Vanderbilt University obtained nearly 400 pages of documents from GoLaxy, a company with ties to the Chinese government, and found evidence that it had apparently deployed sophisticated, AI-driven propaganda campaigns in Hong Kong and Taiwan to shape public opinion, the Yomiuri Shimbun reported. GoLaxy provides insights, situation analysis and public opinion-shaping technology by conducting network surveillance
‘POLITICAL GAME’: DPP lawmakers said the motion would not meet the legislative threshold needed, and accused the KMT and the TPP of trivializing the Constitution The Legislative Yuan yesterday approved a motion to initiate impeachment proceedings against President William Lai (賴清德), saying he had undermined Taiwan’s constitutional order and democracy. The motion was approved 61-50 by lawmakers from the main opposition Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the smaller Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), who together hold a legislative majority. Under the motion, a roll call vote for impeachment would be held on May 19 next year, after various hearings are held and Lai is given the chance to defend himself. The move came after Lai on Monday last week did not promulgate an amendment passed by the legislature that
AFTERMATH: The Taipei City Government said it received 39 minor incident reports including gas leaks, water leaks and outages, and a damaged traffic signal A magnitude 7.0 earthquake struck off Taiwan’s northeastern coast late on Saturday, producing only two major aftershocks as of yesterday noon, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said. The limited aftershocks contrast with last year’s major earthquake in Hualien County, as Saturday’s earthquake occurred at a greater depth in a subduction zone. Saturday’s earthquake struck at 11:05pm, with its hypocenter about 32.3km east of Yilan County Hall, at a depth of 72.8km. Shaking was felt in 17 administrative regions north of Tainan and in eastern Taiwan, reaching intensity level 4 on Taiwan’s seven-tier seismic scale, the CWA said. In Hualien, the