The overall monitoring indicators for the nation’s economic climate were rated as “yellow-red,” with the total score soaring to 37 points last month, the highest level since June 2004 and the first use of the colors in 25 months, the Council for Economic Planning and Development (CEPD) said yesterday.
Among the nine components, the industrial production index, custom-cleared exports, imports of machinery and electrical equipment and manufacturing sales saw a year-on-year increase amid the global recovery, the CEPD said.
“The abrupt increase was the result of the low comparison base in the same period last year, so we cannot say that the domestic economy is nearing overheating, but it is certainly recovering at a modest pace,” said Hung Jui-bin (洪瑞彬), director-general of the council’s economic research department.
Hung attributed the steady recovery to improvements in production and trade, in addition to continuously improving international financial conditions.
“This is an unusual case, as it usually takes a while for a ‘yellow-blue’ light — representing economic slowdown — to change to ‘yellow-red’ – slight overheating,” Huang said.
The score came close to the benchmark 38 points for a “red” light, which represents overheating, he said.
Among the nine components, the exports indicator recorded the largest growth at 17.4 points, flashing the first red light in 21 months, with direct and indirect finance and non-agricultural employment still remaining “blue,” the CEPD said.
The leading index stood at 102.7 last month, up 0.7 percent from October, the CEPD said, adding that its annualized six-month rate of change dropped for the second consecutive month to 19.6 percent by 0.3 percentage points.
The coincident index stood at 101.9 points, up 1.1 percent from the previous month, while its trend-adjusted index rose for the 10th consecutive month, up 1.3 percent to 103.8 points, the CEPD said.
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