The lingering China-US trade tensions have caused some China-bound Taiwanese businesses to bring home their production and prompted some foreign companies to reconsider increasing their investments in China. When determining who benefits from the ongoing trade disputes, even if Taiwan does not rank first, it is often considered to be near the top of the list.
However, even though the prolonged civil protests in Hong Kong have increased political uncertainties and dampened investors’ confidence in the world-class financial center, few people would consider Taiwan a priority when evaluating where the trillions of dollars parked in Hong Kong should go.
The civil protests in Hong Kong are causing investors to rethink the allocation of funds in their portfolios. To them, in spite of the fund flight concern, Taipei does not have a sound enough financial environment to replace Hong Kong as a regional or global financial center, which requires world-class standards in the market scale of foreign exchanges, stocks, bonds and asset management, along with first-rate financial supervision.
For investors, a regional or global financial center must also have the capability to meet their needs ranging from a high degree of freedom of capital movement to large-scale financial markets, and a variety of financial products.
However, Taiwan’s financial market is under strict regulation, and the market is relatively small. Some in Taiwan have begun to discuss the possibility of making the country a regional financial hub, given the ongoing political crisis in Hong Kong, but Taiwan still lags behind Hong Kong and even Singapore in the region in terms of diversity and openness in the financial market. These are all related to deregulation, and most importantly, the results would not emerge overnight, and it would take time to gain trust from international investors.
Given Hong Kong’s political situation, it is naive to think that Taiwan can replace it as the financial hub in the region or globally, but the government’s focus should not be solely on Taiwanese financial firms’ exposure to Hong Kong and how to lower the financial risk. Instead, the government should take this opportunity to consider how to attract funds from the territory.
The Taiwan Institute of Economic Research recently suggested that Taiwan could become a regional fundraising hub if the government has the ambition to attract the global funds spilling out of Hong Kong.
The government has continued to encourage Taiwanese businesses to move back home, and rules allowing capital repatriation from abroad took effect in August. Earlier this month, Financial Supervisory Commission Chairman Wellington Koo (顧立雄) said that the commission would ease regulations and approve new wealth management programs by the end of this year. Apparently, the commission is seeing the business opportunity derived from the repatriated capital and aims to help banks and stock brokerages develop their wealth management businesses here.
That is not enough if Taiwan plans to compete with Hong Kong and Singapore in the long-term financial landscape. It is true that compared with other Asian markets, Taiwan’s financial products are not sufficiently innovative and diversified, and the country lags behind in terms of taxation, laws, financial systems and international financial professionals.
However, Taiwan does have its advantages. Its yuan pool has increased rapidly to become the second-largest offshore yuan pool in the world. The country has ample liquidity given the steady increase in excess savings in recent years, which would rely on good government policies to not just improve the competitiveness of Taiwan’s financial industry, but also to bring funds to the manufacturing and technology industries.
In the event of a war with China, Taiwan has some surprisingly tough defenses that could make it as difficult to tackle as a porcupine: A shoreline dotted with swamps, rocks and concrete barriers; conscription for all adult men; highways and airports that are built to double as hardened combat facilities. This porcupine has a soft underbelly, though, and the war in Iran is exposing it: energy. About 39,000 ships dock at Taiwan’s ports each year, more than the 30,000 that transit the Strait of Hormuz. About one-fifth of their inbound tonnage is coal, oil, refined fuels and liquefied natural gas (LNG),
On Monday, the day before Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) departed on her visit to China, the party released a promotional video titled “Only with peace can we ‘lie flat’” to highlight its desire to have peace across the Taiwan Strait. However, its use of the expression “lie flat” (tang ping, 躺平) drew sarcastic comments, with critics saying it sounded as if the party was “bowing down” to the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). Amid the controversy over the opposition parties blocking proposed defense budgets, Cheng departed for China after receiving an invitation from the CCP, with a meeting with
Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) is leading a delegation to China through Sunday. She is expected to meet with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) in Beijing tomorrow. That date coincides with the anniversary of the signing of the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA), which marked a cornerstone of Taiwan-US relations. Staging their meeting on this date makes it clear that the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) intends to challenge the US and demonstrate its “authority” over Taiwan. Since the US severed official diplomatic relations with Taiwan in 1979, it has relied on the TRA as a legal basis for all
Taiwan ranks second globally in terms of share of population with a higher-education degree, with about 60 percent of Taiwanese holding a post-secondary or graduate degree, a survey by the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development showed. The findings are consistent with Ministry of the Interior data, which showed that as of the end of last year, 10.602 million Taiwanese had completed post-secondary education or higher. Among them, the number of women with graduate degrees was 786,000, an increase of 48.1 percent over the past decade and a faster rate of growth than among men. A highly educated population brings clear advantages.
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