During the Lunar New Year, many temples try to predict the nation’s fortune for the coming year, but there is never one consistent answer. However, this year, two international incidents involving Taiwan have taken place that implying a gloomy the fate for the nation.
The first incident was the deportation of 14 Taiwanese suspected of fraud from the Philippines to China. Although Taiwan’s representative office in the Philippines repeatedly demanded the 14 be sent to Taiwan, and although it secured writs of habeas corpus from the Court of Appeals of the Philippines to prevent the deportation to China, Manila ignored Taipei’s demands. After the Ministry of Foreign Affairs issued a strong protest, top Philippine officials issued a statement expressing their deep regret — but not an apology — on Monday.
The statement said that Philippine authorities had decided to deport the suspects to China “considering that all the victims are Chinese, all the accomplices are Chinese and the results can be best settled in China.”
This statement deals a double blow to Taiwan. Manila had no intention of returning the suspects to Taiwan because it fears China. This was the result the Philippines weighing the respective power of China and Taiwan and acting in accordance with its own best interests. However, Philippine officials also ignored the decision of their own courts, forcing their judiciary to bow before China’s political might. This will not increase Taiwan’s respect for the Philippines.
The statement, which the Philippine government worked on for several days, trampled on the dignity of the Republic of China (ROC) by saying that the issue was a matter for China.
The ROC government has lost all face in this incident. National security agencies were unable to either stop the extradition or to obtain an explanation that was acceptable to the nation. This shows a serious negligence of duty. The foreign ministry said it would recall its envoy to Manila and that it would strictly screen the applications of Philippine nationals who wish to work in Taiwan, but that is clearly not enough.
The second ominous incident for Taiwan was the fallout from the unrest in Egypt. While every country was hurrying to evacuate its citizens, more than 40 Taiwanese tourists took a Chinese charter flight to Beijing, where the Chinese media made a big deal about reporting the tourists’ “heartfelt gratitude to the Chinese government,” and ridiculed Taiwan’s government for issuing a red alert too late. Not only was the ministry’s slow reaction ridiculed by the Chinese media, it also became a tool for China’s united front strategy. Overlooked was the fact the ministry had arranged for a Royal Jordanian charter flight that evacuated 129 Taiwanese on Jan. 31. Nevertheless, this incident was enough to wipe any remaining glory off the ROC.
The government’s preposterous behavior has given the international community the impression that the ROC has already been unified with the People’s Republic of China. This is not a good omen for the future.
The fact that the government is coming apart at the seams is nothing new, but if it doesn’t understand the importance of, and even feels good about, the fact that Taiwanese criminals are sent to China instead of Taiwan or that Taiwanese tourists in Egypt are treated as Chinese and sent to Beijing, not Taipei, then it is a clear sign that the ROC’s 100th anniversary may be one of its last.
What began on Feb. 28 as a military campaign against Iran quickly became the largest energy-supply disruption in modern times. Unlike the oil crises of the 1970s, which stemmed from producer-led embargoes, US President Donald Trump is the first leader in modern history to trigger a cascading global energy crisis through direct military action. In the process, Trump has also laid bare Taiwan’s strategic and economic fragilities, offering Beijing a real-time tutorial in how to exploit them. Repairing the damage to Persian Gulf oil and gas infrastructure could take years, suggesting that elevated energy prices are likely to persist. But the most
Taiwan should reject two flawed answers to the Eswatini controversy: that diplomatic allies no longer matter, or that they must be preserved at any cost. The sustainable answer is to maintain formal diplomatic relations while redesigning development relationships around transparency, local ownership and democratic accountability. President William Lai’s (賴清德) canceled trip to Eswatini has elicited two predictable reactions in Taiwan. One camp has argued that the episode proves Taiwan must double down on support for every remaining diplomatic ally, because Beijing is tightening the screws, and formal recognition is too scarce to risk. The other says the opposite: If maintaining
Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文), during an interview for the podcast Lanshuan Time (蘭萱時間) released on Monday, said that a US professor had said that she deserved to be nominated for the Nobel Peace Prize following her meeting earlier this month with Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平). Cheng’s “journey of peace” has garnered attention from overseas and from within Taiwan. The latest My Formosa poll, conducted last week after the Cheng-Xi meeting, shows that Cheng’s approval rating is 31.5 percent, up 7.6 percentage points compared with the month before. The same poll showed that 44.5 percent of respondents
India’s semiconductor strategy is undergoing a quiet, but significant, recalibration. With the rollout of India Semiconductor Mission (ISM) 2.0, New Delhi is signaling a shift away from ambition-driven leaps toward a more grounded, capability-led approach rooted in industrial realities and institutional learning. Rather than attempting to enter the most advanced nodes immediately, India has chosen to prioritize mature technologies in the 28-nanometer to 65-nanometer range. That would not be a retreat, but a strategic alignment with domestic capabilities, market demand and global supply chain gaps. The shift carries the imprimatur of Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi, indicating that the recalibration is