The crisis in Harbin and surrounding areas linked by the Songhua River, the result of a series of explosions at a petrochemical plant earlier this month, highlights two things.
First, in this global village, what one does in one's home can never be one's own business, because neighbors could very well end up paying a hefty price. In this case, Russia is the unlucky neighbor, forced to call a state of emergency for Khabarovsk as the benzene slick floats downriver toward that region.
Second, Chinese officialdom still hasn't learned that honesty and transparency are the best policies in the face of health and environmental hazards or crises.
The explosion at the plant took place on Nov. 13. At the time, there had been speculation on the potential polluting of the Songhua River, but provincial officials refused to come clean on the issue until almost two weeks later. They kept the general public in the dark about a situation that was always going to have an immediate and longer-term impact on water supplies, as well as on the surrounding environment.
Worse still, when the Harbin government announced its decision to shut off the city's water for four days, it flatly denied that it had anything to do with the pollution and insisted that it was being done for other reasons.
Nothing is more agonizing than knowing that something has gone seriously wrong without knowing exactly what it is. This was the predicament faced by Harbin's residents. Most suspected that the shut-down of their water supplies had something to do with pollution caused by the explosion -- Chinese aren't stupid, though their government may think so -- yet, for days, the government could not bring itself to tell them the truth.
In democratic societies, when governments try to sweep dirt under the rug and are found out, they face dire consequences at the hands of both their constituents and an independent legal system.
Unfortunately, in countries such as China, a government can repeatedly lie through its teeth precisely because it does not have to worry about subsequent sanctions.
In the long run, however, behavior of this nature can still cause an autocratic government damage in terms of domestic credibility and its international reputation. And this latter consideration is where the Chinese government can be hit right where it hurts. After all, it is Beijing's aim to become a respectable regional and even world leader. A questionable record on fundamental issues such as protecting the livelihoods of the citizenry and the infrastructure that attracts overseas investors will become a major roadblock on the path to world leadership.
With this latest mishandling of misfortune, it is impossible not to be reminded of China's track record in dealing with the SARS outbreak and the avian flu. At the height of the SARS scare, Beijing chose to stay silent on the extent of the outbreak at home. Had it told the truth in a timely fashion, Taiwan and Hong Kong might have been able to better prepare their campaigns against the disease -- and the number of casualties may have been significantly reduced.
In the wake of the outbreak of bird flu in the region, the Chinese government -- which insists it learned its lesson after the SARS saga -- continues to provoke skepticism over whether it is capable of passing on the facts in a time of emergency. The Songhua River incident can therefore only foster grave doubts about the way Beijing will deal with what experts say is an inevitable bird flu epidemic.
The conflict in the Middle East has been disrupting financial markets, raising concerns about rising inflationary pressures and global economic growth. One market that some investors are particularly worried about has not been heavily covered in the news: the private credit market. Even before the joint US-Israeli attacks on Iran on Feb. 28, global capital markets had faced growing structural pressure — the deteriorating funding conditions in the private credit market. The private credit market is where companies borrow funds directly from nonbank financial institutions such as asset management companies, insurance companies and private lending platforms. Its popularity has risen since
The Donald Trump administration’s approach to China broadly, and to cross-Strait relations in particular, remains a conundrum. The 2025 US National Security Strategy prioritized the defense of Taiwan in a way that surprised some observers of the Trump administration: “Deterring a conflict over Taiwan, ideally by preserving military overmatch, is a priority.” Two months later, Taiwan went entirely unmentioned in the US National Defense Strategy, as did military overmatch vis-a-vis China, giving renewed cause for concern. How to interpret these varying statements remains an open question. In both documents, the Indo-Pacific is listed as a second priority behind homeland defense and
Every analyst watching Iran’s succession crisis is asking who would replace supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Yet, the real question is whether China has learned enough from the Persian Gulf to survive a war over Taiwan. Beijing purchases roughly 90 percent of Iran’s exported crude — some 1.61 million barrels per day last year — and holds a US$400 billion, 25-year cooperation agreement binding it to Tehran’s stability. However, this is not simply the story of a patron protecting an investment. China has spent years engineering a sanctions-evasion architecture that was never really about Iran — it was about Taiwan. The
In an op-ed published in Foreign Affairs on Tuesday, Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文) said that Taiwan should not have to choose between aligning with Beijing or Washington, and advocated for cooperation with Beijing under the so-called “1992 consensus” as a form of “strategic ambiguity.” However, Cheng has either misunderstood the geopolitical reality and chosen appeasement, or is trying to fool an international audience with her doublespeak; nonetheless, it risks sending the wrong message to Taiwan’s democratic allies and partners. Cheng stressed that “Taiwan does not have to choose,” as while Beijing and Washington compete, Taiwan is strongest when