Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) appears to be planning a fourth term in 2027, as he did not indicate a successor at the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) 20th National Congress, Academia Sinica researcher Wu Yu-shan (吳玉山) said yesterday.
Xi yesterday secured an unprecedented third term as CCP general secretary and chairman of the CCP’s Central Military Commission, as the party unveiled its new leadership for the next five years.
The CCP traditionally grooms successors by promoting young leaders to permanent positions, and then assigning them suitable responsibilities, Wu told a news conference held by the Fair Winds Foundation in Taipei.
Photo: AP
NO BACKUP
“That we did not see any young appointees this time implies that Xi has no intention of designating a successor,” he said. “Also, the youngest member of the Politburo Standing Committee is Ding Xuexiang (丁薛祥), and he is already 60. So, at most he would only serve for one term if he took over from Xi.”
Since Xi became CCP general secretary, there has been a high concentration of power, and a decreased focus on institutionalization in China, Wu said, adding that the situation was reminiscent of China under Mao Zedong (毛澤東).
“The trends we are seeing with regard to Xi are the centralization and expansion of power, and the breaking of patterns,” he said.
Wu said that a conflict in the Taiwan Strait would depend on Xi’s hold of power in China, Taiwanese politics and the US’ commitment to Taiwan’s defense.
Xi’s reinstatement increases the risk of war, but Taiwanese are highly resistant to Chinese aggression, which would be to the country’s benefit, he said.
The US’ apparent increase in strategic clarity toward Taiwan would serve as a deterrent to Chinese aggression, he added.
TOUGH TO PREDICT
Tamkang University researcher Chen Chien-fu (陳建甫) said that Xi’s policies on Taiwan would be more difficult to predict than in the past.
Although the CCP said it would not rule out the use of military force to unify Taiwan, wars are costly and China’s economy is struggling, he said.
“It’s most likely that China will attempt to force Taiwan to the negotiating table through a blockade in the Taiwan Strait,” he said.
The CCP National Congress ended on Saturday after endorsing amendments to the party’s constitution, including vows to build a state-of-the-art military to enforce its “one country, two systems” framework in Hong Kong and to “strongly and firmly oppose and contain Taiwan independence.”
It remains unclear how long Xi plans to rule, but he is certainly aiming to “accomplish some achievements” on the Taiwan issue for his legacy, China expert Chao Chun-shan (趙春山) said on Saturday.
Xi considers Taiwan unification an integral part of his “Chinese dream” of “great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation,” and he would seek a fourth term to give him more time to achieve that goal if necessary, said Chao, a professor emeritus at Tamkang University’s Graduate Institute of China Studies.
Taiwan must prepare to resist coercion from China, as maintaining the “status quo,” favored by most Taiwanese, is not one of Beijing’s options, he said.
Additional reporting by Chung Li-hua and CNA
The Ministry of the Interior (MOI) is to tighten rules for candidates running for public office, requiring them to declare that they do not hold a Chinese household registration or passport, and that they possess no other foreign citizenship. The requirement was set out in a draft amendment to the Enforcement Rules of the Public Officials Election and Recall Act (公職人員選舉罷免法 ) released by the ministry on Thursday. Under the proposal, candidates would need to make the declaration when submitting their registration forms, which would be published in the official election bulletin. The move follows the removal of several elected officials who were
The Republic of China (ROC) is celebrating its 114th Double Ten National Day today, featuring military parades and a variety of performances and speeches in front of the Presidential Office in Taipei. The Taiwan Taiko Association opened the celebrations with a 100-drummer performance, including young percussionists. As per tradition, an air force Mirage 2000 fighter jet flew over the Presidential Office as a part of the performance. The Honor Guards of the ROC and its marching band also heralded in a military parade. Students from Taichung's Shin Min High School then followed with a colorful performance using floral imagery to represent Taiwan's alternate name
FOUR DESIGNATED AREAS: Notices were issued for live-fire exercises in waters south and northwest of Penghu, northeast of Keelung and west of Kaohsiung, they said The military is planning three major annual exercises across the army, navy and air force this month, with the navy’s “Hai Chiang” (海強, “Sea Strong”) drills running from today through Thursday, the Ministry of National Defense said yesterday. The Hai Chiang exercise, which is to take place in waters surrounding Taiwan, would feature P-3C Orion maritime patrol aircraft and S-70C anti-submarine helicopters, the ministry said, adding that the drills aim to bolster the nation’s offshore defensive capabilities. China has intensified military and psychological pressure against Taiwan, repeatedly sending warplanes and vessels into areas near the nation’s air defense identification zone and across
COVETED PRIZE: The US president would be a peace prize laureate should he persuade Xi Jinping to abandon military aggression against Taiwan, William Lai said US President Donald Trump should get the Nobel Peace Prize should he be able to convince Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) to abandon the use of force against Taiwan, President William Lai (賴清德) told a conservative US radio show and podcast in an interview. The US is Taiwan’s most important international backer, despite the absence of formal ties, but since Trump took office earlier this year he has not announced any new arms sales to the nation. Trump could meet Xi at the APEC summit in South Korea on Oct. 31 and Nov. 1. Lai, speaking on The Clay Travis and Buck Sexton
RSS