Premier Cho Jung-tai (卓榮泰) on Tuesday rejected the idea of unification with China, saying it is “not an option” for Taiwan.
The Chinese state-run Xinhua news agency earlier reported that in a telephone call on Monday with US President Donald Trump, Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) said that “reunification” was part of the post-World War II order.
Cho denied Xi’s claim, saying that Taiwan’s 23 million people would determine their own future, and maintaining the “status quo” is essential for regional security and global economic stability.
Separately, Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs Francois Wu (吳志中) said that Trump’s silence regarding whether Taiwan was discussed in the phone call suggested that the nation is not being used as a bargaining chip in US-China negotiations. His comments were well-intentioned, but they risk reinforcing a misconception: Neither the People’s Republic of China nor the US have administrative authority over Taiwan, so the nation could never be a bargaining chip at all.
As Cho said, only the people of Taiwan have the right to decide the nation’s future. The idea that Washington could negotiate on Taipei’s behalf reflects the same misunderstanding driving controversy over Trump’s remarks about possible talks with Russia on ending its war against Ukraine. No external power can legitimately determine the fate of a democratic society.
As stipulated in the Taiwan Relations Act, the US is legally obligated to help Taiwan maintain its self-defense capabilities and Taipei benefits from arms procurements, as they help to deter Chinese coercion. Although there is no mechanism to force Washington to uphold its commitments, it remains in its strategic interests to prevent a Chinese takeover of Taiwan.
Yet US support would mean little if Taiwanese are unwilling to resist. That is why public opinion on unification matters and why China invests heavily in cognitive warfare aimed at weakening public morale.
Polls have shown minimal public support for unification. National Chengchi University’s Election Study Center in 2023 found that only 7.4 percent favored unification. A Taiwan Public Opinion Foundation poll in December last year showed 13.3 percent support, while another foundation survey last month showed 13.9 percent support. Most Taiwanese prefer the “status quo” or eventual de jure independence.
Some observers have asked whether Taiwanese would resist in a conflict. However, Vice President Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴), in an interview with Canada’s CBC News, said the unity shown during flood relief efforts in Hualien County after Typhoon Ragasa demonstrated the public’s resilience. Social solidarity in crises often reflects how a society responds to external threats.
Concerns have also been raised about whether the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) would support legislation needed to boost defense. While the KMT says there is only “one China,” many of its leaders have publicly rejected unification. Former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) long adhered to his “three noes”: no unification, no independence and no use of force.
A potential wild card is KMT Chairwoman Cheng Li-wun (鄭麗文), who has advocated closer ties with China and reduced reliance on US arms. She has also described people on both sides of the Taiwan Strait as “members of the same family,” raising questions about how the party would position itself on security matters.
China is unlikely to renounce the use of force against Taiwan. While US assistance remains important, it will ultimately be the will of Taiwanese that determines Taiwan’s future. The government must continue to counter cognitive warfare, promote unity, broaden defense partnerships, and make clear to China and the world that Taiwan is not a bargaining chip and would not capitulate in the face of coercion.
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