A delegation led by Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Legislator Ma Wen-chun (馬文君) yesterday visited Itu Aba Island (Taiping Island, 太平島) in the South China Sea. They intended to challenge president-elect William Lai’s (賴清德) position on Taiwan’s claim there, analysts have said.
The delegation of lawmakers from the KMT and the Taiwan People’s Party intended to show support for Coast Guard Administration officials, inspect a new pier and reinforce Taiwan’s sovereignty, Central News Agency (CNA) quoted Ma as saying.
However, National Sun Yat-sen University professor emeritus Liao Dachi (廖達琪) told CNA last week that the visit was a challenge to Lai to reiterate Taiwan’s claims in the South China Sea.
The Republic of China historically claims all of the rocks, islands, reefs and features in the South China Sea and their surrounding waters that fall within the “nine-dash line.” Today, Taiwan controls Itu Aba, the uninhabited Zhongzhou Reef (中洲礁) and the Pratas Islands (Dongsha Islands, 東沙島).
Despite its extensive claims, Taiwan generally refrains from asserting them over islands and features that are not under its control.
One reason that Lai might not want to assert Taiwan’s South China Sea claims at this time is that its relationship with the Philippines is warming after rocky ties when Rodrigo Duterte, who occasionally aligned with China, was Philippine president.
Ironically, China has not contested Taiwan’s presence on Itu Aba, with Beijing praising Taipei’s response to the 2016 ruling by the Permanent Court of Arbitration in The Hague, which called Itu Aba “a rock,” and said it did not meet the definition of an island. Taiwan was prevented from contesting the ruling, but issued a statement saying that Itu Aba is an island as it has livestock, crops and fresh water — enough to support a human settlement.
Of course, China’s support was obviously motivated by a desire to reinforce its own claims by proxy through Taiwan. Arguably, China also has little motivation to contest Taiwan’s presence in the South China Sea, because it sees Taiwan as its own territory and, thus, Taipei’s claims are its own claims.
Likewise, Beijing is more likely to protest Japanese claims over the Diaoyutai Islands (釣魚台) — which Tokyo administers as the Senkaku Islands — than it is to protest Taiwan’s claims there.
However, things are different when it comes to territorial disputes between only Taiwan and China. For example, China has on occasion prevented Taiwan from supplying coast guard officials stationed on the Pratas Islands, claiming it was conducting drills in nearby airspace and so had to close the area to outside air traffic.
Such “gray zone” tactics are intended to put pressure on the ruling Democratic Progressive Party, but they demonstrate the complexity of Taiwan-China territorial disputes.
If Lai were to reiterate Taiwan’s claims, it would appease a large portion of voters. It would also not likely upset Taiwan’s Southeast Asian neighbors, as they know that Taipei is unlikely to act on its claims. On the other hand, if Lai failed to reiterate claims, it would galvanize KMT voters.
Ultimately it is in Lai’s best interest to speak up on Taiwan’s South China Sea claims.
The United States Agency for International Development (USAID) has long been a cornerstone of US foreign policy, advancing not only humanitarian aid but also the US’ strategic interests worldwide. The abrupt dismantling of USAID under US President Donald Trump ‘s administration represents a profound miscalculation with dire consequences for global influence, particularly in the Indo-Pacific. By withdrawing USAID’s presence, Washington is creating a vacuum that China is eager to fill, a shift that will directly weaken Taiwan’s international position while emboldening Beijing’s efforts to isolate Taipei. USAID has been a crucial player in countering China’s global expansion, particularly in regions where
US President Donald Trump has gotten off to a head-spinning start in his foreign policy. He has pressured Denmark to cede Greenland to the United States, threatened to take over the Panama Canal, urged Canada to become the 51st US state, unilaterally renamed the Gulf of Mexico to “the Gulf of America” and announced plans for the United States to annex and administer Gaza. He has imposed and then suspended 25 percent tariffs on Canada and Mexico for their roles in the flow of fentanyl into the United States, while at the same time increasing tariffs on China by 10
With the manipulations of the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), it is no surprise that this year’s budget plan would make government operations difficult. The KMT and the TPP passing malicious legislation in the past year has caused public ire to accumulate, with the pressure about to erupt like a volcano. Civic groups have successively backed recall petition drives and public consensus has reached a fever-pitch, with no let up during the long Lunar New Year holiday. The ire has even breached the mindsets of former staunch KMT and TPP supporters. Most Taiwanese have vowed to use
Despite the steady modernization of the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA), the international community is skeptical of its warfare capabilities. Late last month, US think tank RAND Corp published two reports revealing the PLA’s two greatest hurdles: personnel challenges and structural difficulties. The first RAND report, by Jennie W. Wenger, titled Factors Shaping the Future of China’s Military, analyzes the PLA’s obstacles with recruitment, stating that China has long been committed to attracting young talent from top universities to augment the PLA’s modernization needs. However, the plan has two major constraints: demographic changes and the adaptability of the PLA’s military culture.