Although the presidency did not change hands in January, the electorate expressed its discontent with the ruling party by ending its majority in the legislature. Yet at the same time, it did not see fit to hand the traditional opposition a majority in its own right, resulting in a split chamber. With the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) holding 52 seats (plus two independent allies), the upstart Taiwan People’s Party eight and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 51, expectations of a feisty legislature were high, and the KMT has not disappointed.
Clinging to its slight coalition majority, the KMT has hit the ground running on its promise to act as a check on the DPP government. Starting from its controversial choice to field divisive former presidential candidate Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) as legislative speaker, it is clear the party is thrilled to once again have the ability to shake things up with its antics rather than shouting into the void.
KMT caucus whip Fu Kun-chi (?) has been champing particularly hard at the bit to elevate his political capital. Despite just returning to the legislature, he was determined to be a top contender for the speakership, even after the party coalesced around Han. His consolation prize was to be caucus whip, a role he has embraced in earnest.
Fu seems to have hit his stride in the past few weeks, wresting attention away from the KMT heavyweights disgraced in the last election. Late last month, he led a delegation of 17 KMT lawmakers on a controversial trip to China, where they met Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference Chairman Wang Huning (王滬寧). Shortly after returning, he demanded that lawmakers change terminology in legislation to say “mainland” rather than “China,” and “Taiwan” rather than “nation” — a move with bad optics considering the timing, even for the KMT.
Now Fu and the rest of the party have smelled blood in the water when it comes to electricity prices. No one likes to pay more for their air-conditioning in the summer, but global supply and cost-of-living increases have forced the government’s hand. Not that that matters in politics, when the opposition can cry foul without proposing a solution. That is exactly what the KMT has done, first by passing a motion calling on the government to freeze rates. As it was non-binding, the Ministry of Economic Affairs stayed the course while explaining the need to raise rates to keep Taiwan Power Co afloat.
Sensing a political opportunity, Fu then threatened to freeze the ministry’s nonessential budget during the next review. It is also pushing new legislation: On Friday last week it passed directly to the second reading an amendment that would give the legislature the power to approve any change in electricity prices. If approved, the change would have lasting consequences by opening the door for political wrangling over a technical budgeting matter.
The KMT knows how to play the media, but it often fails to recognize where the boundaries lie. At the moment, the party leadership seems content to sit back and let the Fu circus run for as long as it is expedient. However, the more they let his faction radicalize the narrative, the harder it will be to guide it back to the center.
The people did not vote for the KMT in January — they voted against the ruling party. Giving its more radical factions free reign might backfire when the next election rolls around.
The world has become less predictable, less rules-based, and more shaped by the impulses of strongmen and short-term dealmaking. Nowhere is this more consequential than in East Asia, where the fate of democratic Taiwan hinges on how global powers manage — or mismanage — tensions with an increasingly assertive China. The return of Donald Trump to the White House has deepened the global uncertainty, with his erratic, highly personalized foreign-policy approach unsettling allies and adversaries alike. Trump appears to treat foreign policy like a reality show. Yet, paradoxically, the global unpredictability may offer Taiwan unexpected deterrence. For China, the risk of provoking the
Eating at a breakfast shop the other day, I turned to an old man sitting at the table next to mine. “Hey, did you hear that the Legislative Yuan passed a bill to give everyone NT$10,000 [US$340]?” I said, pointing to a newspaper headline. The old man cursed, then said: “Yeah, the Chinese Nationalist Party [KMT] canceled the NT$100 billion subsidy for Taiwan Power Co and announced they would give everyone NT$10,000 instead. “Nice. Now they are saying that if electricity prices go up, we can just use that cash to pay for it,” he said. “I have no time for drivel like
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