The Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) has proposed a bill to suspend a phased-in reduction of the public pension income replacement ratio that was implemented in 2018. The amendment would not only reintroduce greater financial risks to the pension system, but would also increase the burden on the younger generation.
To alleviate a longstanding fiscal deficit problem — with a NT$300 billion (US$9.27 billion) deficit in 2014 rising to NT$600 billion in 2018 — that would lead to the bankruptcy of pension funds as early as 2030, affecting more than 450,000 retired public officials, teachers and military personnel, the Legislative Yuan in June 2017 passed a package of pension reforms proposed by the Democratic Progress Party (DPP) government under President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文).
The reforms included gradually decreasing the controversial high pension income replacement ratio to a low of 30 to 60 percent depending on years of service, as well as reducing an annual 18 percent preferential interest rate on pension payments to zero over a period of 30 months.
The legislation also raised the retirement eligibility age to 65 starting in 2026, eliminating options for civil servants and teachers to retire as early as 55, which had worsened a labor shortage driven by Taiwan’s low birthrate.
With these measures having taken effect from 2018, the current retirement funds can be kept operational for another 10 to 15 years, easing the payment burden on young workers. Official data show that the reforms have so far saved more than NT$267 billion in pension expenditure. From 2026, total savings from expenditure and government statutory payments made to the pension fund would rise to NT$300 billion per year, a significant contribution to the sustainability of pensions.
However, the KMT caucus recently proposed an amendment to the Act Governing Civil Servants’ Retirement, Discharge and Pensions (公務人員退休資遣撫卹法) to freeze the reduction in the pension income replacement ratio. The DPP proposed to veto the amendment and the legislature held a poll on Friday last week to vote on the DPP’s proposal. The results showed that the KMT prevailed with 48 votes against the DPP’s 47 votes, while all Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) legislators abstained from the vote.
However, a procedural flaw was found in that a KMT legislator had not signed in, but his name still appeared in the first voting round. Legislative Speaker Han Kuo-yu (韓國瑜) on Tuesday unveiled an investigation report that concluded the “rigged” voting was due to human error involving staff. The result was annulled and another vote is to be held soon.
Based on its slim majority in the legislature, the KMT very likely will win the revote. However, it should be noted that the KMT government during Ma Ying-jeou’s (馬英九) presidency from 2008-2016 had promised to reform the pension system, and proposed eliminating the preferential rate and cutting the pension income ratio. Yet Ma’s administration did not accomplish the needed reform.
Pension reform is undoubtedly a sensitive and difficult issue, but whoever is in power has to face the problem of worsening pension deficits. The reform should not be backtracked. Political parties that block pension reform without proposing a better solution should take responsibility.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its