Most Taiwanese would likely stay and fight if China attempted to invade Taiwan, Taiwanese-American US Air Force Captain Jimmy Chien said in an interview with Voice of America on Saturday last week.
While 20 percent would attempt to leave Taiwan and 10 percent would surrender, 70 percent would join the fight against an invasion if they were properly trained and equipped, Chien said, citing findings from hundreds of conversations he had with members of the Taiwanese public. However, Taiwan must promptly improve its military training, before it is too late to acquire the capabilities to fend off such an invasion, he added.
The government should heed Chien’s warning and prioritize training reform. The military has been cooperating with the US to secure arms, and has ramped up its development of indigenous vessels, missiles and other weapons, but these platforms would be of little use if Taiwanese troops were poorly trained.
In a Jan. 20 report by CNN, six Taiwanese former conscripts described the military’s training program as “outdated, boring and impractical.” The program puts too much emphasis on bayonet training, and conscripts specialized in weaponry were almost never given live munitions, they said.
One man said that only a dozen rifles usable for shooting practice were available for more than 100 trainees, while another said they only fired 40 live rounds during their entire training period.
Institute of National Defense and Security Research research fellow Su Tzu-yun (蘇紫雲) suggested that simulations could be used to train on more advanced weapons as a way to save on the high cost of certain munitions, the CNN report said.
In an op-ed published in the Financial Times on June 23 last year, a former Taiwanese conscript and student at Georgetown University’s Walsh School of Foreign Service gave a very similar account of his own training.
“We spent vast swaths of time clearing a hill of rotten garbage and … practicing bayonet drills that were put on as martial arts performances to impress visiting senior officers,” he wrote.
“There were not enough grenades for draftees to learn how to throw them. Instead, we threw badminton shuttles... [and later] were ordered to swing towels to mimic the tossing of grenades,” he wrote.
Another op-ed published by the Web site National Defense on May 23 summed up the situation: “In an environment where everyone does pointless routines, soldiers eventually become nonchalant, develop predisposed defeatism and just ‘swim with the tide,’” while “those who exercise independent thinking and deviate from the norm to excel are suppressed.”
In his interview, Chien cited recruits and junior military personnel as saying they could not make timely decisions on their own, as every decision had to go through a long chain of command. Chien said that this inefficient command model was the cause of the defeat of the Republic of China military in the Chinese Civil War. The military must be less centralized — especially when it comes to decisionmaking — so troops would feel empowered to make quick decisions during combat.
The Taiwanese military has a real PR problem — even those keen on fighting to defend the nation’s sovereignty look at the conscription system with disdain. The government must bring in military consultants from the US and elsewhere to help it reform training to make it interesting and relevant, and devote more of the defense budget to this end. Training could also incorporate skills that would be transferable to the private sector, such as in medicine, computer programming and engineering, to make conscription more appealing.
It is imperative that Taiwan improves the training quality for conscripts and that it does so promptly, to avoid being left unprepared if Chins attacks.
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
They did it again. For the whole world to see: an image of a Taiwan flag crushed by an industrial press, and the horrifying warning that “it’s closer than you think.” All with the seal of authenticity that only a reputable international media outlet can give. The Economist turned what looks like a pastiche of a poster for a grim horror movie into a truth everyone can digest, accept, and use to support exactly the opinion China wants you to have: It is over and done, Taiwan is doomed. Four years after inaccurately naming Taiwan the most dangerous place on
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.