Singaporean politicians have always been biased against Taiwan’s democracy and political development. Their remarks aim to both reflect their domestic governance and meet China’s expectations.
However, these views, including the one expressed by former Singaporean foreign minister George Yeo (楊榮文) in Taiwan, are not only strategically shortsighted and ignorant of China’s ambitions, but also threaten their own security.
Claiming that Singaporeans are relatives of Taiwanese, Yeo’s misinterpretation of Taiwan’s hard-won existence is unfortunate. His main points are: Taiwan’s arm forces could not protect the nation if China attacked; for the US, Taiwan is just a component of the first island chain to contain the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) and a big cash cow for US’ arms dealers; and the promises are unreliable because Washington cares more about its own interests.
These views are just the same as the propaganda of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP). The goal of the CCP is to spread defeatism and US skepticism among Taiwanese, eroding their willingness and will to defend their democracy and freedom. This philosophy comes from one of Vladimir Lenin’s famous teachings: The easiest way to capture a fortress is from within.
In conclusion, Yeo said to avoid being ruined by a war with China, Taiwan had better reach an agreement with Beijing sooner rather than later.
His solution is a Chinese commonwealth. He believed that in this framework, Taiwan accepting unification under “one China” would bring peace. In the future, China and Taiwan would accommodate each other and find out what “one China” means.
Again, Yeo’s idea came from China’s policy of “settlement of Taiwan issue.” In a speech at the UN assembly last year, Chinese Minister of Foreign Affairs Wang Yi (王毅) said that “reunification is the only way for true peace.”
Moreover, Yeo should know well that Beijing’s “one China principle” means the People’s Republic of China is the sole legitimate government of China, and Taiwan is a part of China. Under such a definition, Taiwan is only a regional government without sovereignty. Once it enters this “one China” trap, Taiwan’s democracy and freedom would no longer exist.
Yeo is not the only Singaporean politician accepting China’s perspectives. Kishore Mahbubani (馬凱碩), former Singaporean permanent representative to the UN, is a strong advocate of the “east rising and west falling” (東升西降) theory. Without raising concerns about China’s behavior destabilizing democratic countries, Singaporean Deputy Prime Minister Lawrence Wong (黃循財),who is likely to be Singapore’s next prime minister, said he was concerned that the US and China might “sleepwalk into conflict.”
Located in a peaceful geopolitical environment, Singapore has never faced foreign aggressors since its founding. However, it does not mean that the democracy, freedom and prosperity this country has been enjoying could last indefinitely.
With its hegemonic ambition, authoritarian China is trying to dominate the world. Infringing on several ASEAN countries’ sovereignty in the South China Sea, threatening to invade Taiwan, supporting Russia attacking Ukraine are ominous preludes. If the rules-based world order collapsed, Singapore would not be unaffected.
It is worth noting that when Singapore and the PLA held a joint military exercise in Singapore earlier this month, a news report in the Chinese state-run China Central Television said that the PLA was “going out for a battle” in this overseas drill.
Maybe this report carried a message Singaporean politicians do not like to know.
Tu Ho-ting is a senior journalist and international affairs analyst based in Taiwan.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its