Reports that Taiwan’s semiconductor industry could be considering leaving the country amid rising geopolitical tensions, and in light of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co’s (TSMC) plans to build factories in the US and Japan, were dismissed last week by Minister of Economic Affairs Wang Mei-hua (王美花). Wang said that Taiwan has an important chip manufacturing cluster, its capabilities are second to none and no other country could displace Taiwan’s dominance in semiconductors.
Wang also downplayed concerns that a number of TSMC engineers relocating to the US for the company’s new plant in Phoenix, Arizona, would lead to talent shortages or a loss of technology in Taiwan. She said that most advanced chips would still be made in Taiwan despite TSMC’s US and Japanese investments.
Similarly, TSMC chairman Mark Liu (劉德音) last week at a monthly trade group meeting also denied that Taiwan would experience a brain drain, particularly as the company would still have more than 50,000 engineers in Taiwan after dispatching only about 500 engineers to the Arizona plant, adding that the chipmaker’s global expansion is essential to the nation’s dominance in the industry.
While Taiwan has a well-developed semiconductor cluster, the industry still has an opportunity to grow into an indispensable global technology partner, Liu said. The upstream and downstream firms in the supply chain — from integrated circuit design, chip manufacturing, and chip packaging and testing, to semiconductor components and materials production — could enhance a comprehensive industry supply chain, Liu said.
Over the past 30 years, Taiwan’s semiconductor industry has focused on domestic research and development, which has created world-leading technologies. However, as the main force of this effort has gradually shifted from students, faculty and research staff returning from abroad in its early years, to those with domestic master’s degrees and doctorates, the nation is facing talent shortages, compounded by the younger generation’s lack of ambition and its insufficient skills in dealing with globalization.
People with master’s degrees and doctorates from Taiwan are not inferior to those who graduated from foreign universities, but the common perception is that they tend to pursue a comfortable life with stability rather than stepping out of their comfort zone to engage in new experiences. As Liu has said, the problem Taiwan’s semiconductor industry is facing is not a brain drain, but that younger generations avoid uncertainty by not venturing out to challenge their boundaries — such as by studying abroad.
Although the COVID-19 restrictions in China and intensified US-China tensions have resulted in more skilled Taiwanese semiconductor engineers returning from China, strengthening research exchanges with advanced countries such as the US, Europe and Japan through talent circulation is necessary to ensure that Taiwan’s advanced chipmaking technology can continue leading the world.
By encouraging the movement of skilled workers between Taiwan and other like-minded nations, Taiwanese talent can go overseas and move forward, while the nation can bring in expertise from abroad to continue industry innovation. This would make Taiwan indispensable to the global economy, and could help the nation break free from the handcuffs of geopolitical challenges.
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its