Emily Bit remembers a time when she did not feel the constant threat of climate change. Her family lives in American Canyon in southern Napa County, California, a state now being hit by record-high temperatures and devastating wildfires.
“It didn’t used to be this bad,” she said.
These days her family has to evacuate their home every summer. Two of her friends lost their homes in Paradise, the town consumed by the 2018 Camp fire disaster, the deadliest in California history.
Illustration: Tania Chou
Last year, a wildfire burned the nature reserve behind her local school until it was “entirely black. It was like something from a dystopian novel.”
She worries about her younger siblings, a 12-year-old sister and an eight-year-old brother.
“What’s it going to be like in the future?” she asks.
She wonders how responsible it would be for her to have children.
Bit is 17.
Now, she and fellow student activists are working to break one big link in the fossil-fuel chain that is driving climate change: Gas stations.
There are two proposed new gas stations in her town she wants scrapped.
“We don’t need them,” she said.
It is early days, but in California the initiative is taking off and, if it spreads, it could signal one of the biggest changes in transportation since the car displaced the horse and carriage.
In March, Petaluma in Sonoma County became the first city in the US to ban future gas station construction or any new pumps on existing sites.
Last month, the Sonoma Regional Climate Protection Authority voted to explore ways to support the nine cities in the county considering bans of their own. A final vote on the resolution is scheduled for next month.
It is the beginning of what could be a seismic shift.
California now has the highest sales of electric vehicles (EV) in the country. Close to 11 percent of all new car sales were electric in the first three months of this year and last year California Governor Gavin Newsom ordered all new cars and passenger trucks sales in California to be zero-emission vehicles by 2035.
General Motors and others have pledges to have an all electric vehicle lineup by 2035.
However, nationally, just 2.3 percent of new US car sales last year were plug-in, compared with 74.8 percent in Norway, the country with the highest percentage of adoption.
The US had about 276 million vehicles registered on its highways in 2019, EVs represent a tiny fraction of that and, given the importance of the second-hand market, they are likely to remain so for decades to come without drastic federal action.
The world’s first purpose-built gas station was built in St Louis, Missouri, in 1905 and the growth in vehicle ownership — and gas stations — transformed not just the way Americans travel, but the landscape of the country. Now there are an estimated 168,000 stations across the country.
Every gallon (4.55 liters) of gasoline sold adds 9kg of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. In 2019 Americans consumed 645.5 billion liters of gasoline, producing 1.28 billion tonnes of carbon dioxide.
The number of gas stations is declining — there were more than 200,000 in 1994 — but their size is increasing as “mom and pop” stops give way to massive fueling sites owned by supermarket chains hoping to lure in shoppers with cheap gas.
Electric charging presents an existential threat to those gas stations.
About 80 percent of EV charging is done at home, and it takes at least 20 minutes to fast-charge an EV, far longer than anyone would ever want to spend in a gas station.
Changing how people fuel vehicles offers a chance to redefine transportation, said Brant Arthur, program manager at Sonoma Clean Power, the region’s eco-conscious utility.
He foresees a time when people will charge their vehicles in the office car park using solar or while shopping or — better yet — drop the car altogether for electric bikes or mass transit.
“The general function of the gas station is not the problem, but we need to turn the page,” Arthur said.
The page is turning in Sonoma. EV sales are so high that the county is struggling to put in enough charging stations to cope.
However, it is not all good news. The long-term shift to electric and a mass closures of gas stations will create toxic “brown sites” across the country. A typical gas station can spill up to 455 liters of gasoline annually, according to Coltura, an environmental activism group, poisoning groundwater and making repurposing the sites expensive and difficult.
As gas stations disappear these poisoned plots will present an environmental problem of monumental proportions.
That will be another problem to deal with, but for now, at least in Petaluma, the end of the gas station is getting off to a surprisingly uncontentious start.
Petaluma, about 60km north of San Francisco, has a population of about 60,000 people and is served by 16 gas stations spread across its 37.6km2.
For Petaluma Councilor D’Lynda Fischer, who spearheaded the ban, 16 is enough.
The gas station ban is part of the town’s ambitious goal to become carbon neutral by 2030 — five years before the state’s target.
“Sixty percent of trips in Sonoma County are under five miles [8km] and we are basically flat,” Fischer said. “On top of that, 60 percent of our greenhouse gas emissions are from transportation. We have an obligation to do this.”
The wine-country town, with its antiques stores, farm-to-table restaurants and shops selling T-shirts reading “Let’s wine about it,” might seem an odd place for a revolution to start, but Petaluma has form.
In the 1970s Helen Putnam , the city’s first female mayor, launched a successful campaign against urban sprawl starting a vicious fight with developers that went all the way to the US Supreme Court.
Fischer is hopeful that Petaluma’s gas station ban can, like Putnam’s sprawl case, start a national debate and — eventually — lead to a moratorium on new gas stations.
Her campaign began with concerns about a proposed huge new Safeway gas station in the town that had attracted opposition in part because the site was near a local school.
For Fischer it was also an opportunity to tackle the climate crisis head on.
“With California on fire, it’s hard to ignore what is happening,” she said. “A year ago I just wanted to bury my head in the sand. Then I pulled myself together and raised my voice.”
One of the big surprises is that when she explained the proposed ban, most people’s reaction was: “Well, duh! Why not?” she said.
Now she is hopeful that Petaluma will act as a model for Sonoma, wider California and maybe one day the world.
“We have started a conversation, now how do we leverage this? What can we do next?” she said.
Sonoma’s gas station moratorium owes a lot to local activists Jenny Blaker and Woody Hastings, coordinators of the Coalition Opposing New Gas Stations.
The pair have helped others across the state, including Bit, to tailor their message, keep their goals realistic and not scare the locals.
British expat Blaker and Hastings look as if they could be in a local folk band or running an organic farm stand, but the pair have proven extremely effective in pressing their agenda and are now in demand from proponents of other, so far, smaller campaigns against news gas stations across the country.
It is just a first step, Blaker said.
“Hopefully, the next step is more charging stations, cheaper electric vehicles, better public transport, more bikes, but you have to start somewhere,” she said.
Blaker and Hastings launched a successful campaign against a 16-pump Arco gas station, car wash and store in Cotati, in Sonoma county town.
One of their supporters is Mark Landman, a Cotati city council member and a former fire captain.
Landman has seen first-hand just how drastically the local weather has changed.
Born and raised in the city, he misses the fog and rain of his childhood.
“It’s hotter, there’s less rain. It’s not just what we are going through now,” he said. “It’s what comes next.”
When he first heard Blaker’s and Hastings’ arguments, he was not sure it would work. Gas stations seemed too much of a fixture of the US landscape, but they explained that it was a moratorium not a ban — a first step to a greener future.
“It seemed like a no-brainer,” Landman said.” There’s something about year-long wildfires that gets people’s attention.”
For Hastings there is a bigger picture.
The moratorium is also very much an environmental justice issue, he said.
He points to the environmental disasters the oil industry has triggered in the Niger Delta, where 40 million liters of oil are spilled every year, or in Ecuador, site of one of the world’s worst ecological disasters.
“Then there are the communities here involved in storage, in refining,” Hastings said, and that is before the pollution caused by gas stations themselves.
“Every drop of gas that comes out of that station is part of a trail of contamination and devastation that leads all the way back to the point of extraction,” he said.
Hastings concedes that Sonoma is not Texas, and if the movement gains traction nationally, it is easy to see it being dragged into the culture wars now raging across the US.
“We are in a bubble, but as more affordable alternatives for transportation emerge, I think it’ll become less of an extreme idea,” Hastings said.
Locally, resistance has so far been almost comically mild.
Bit said that most of her peers were fully supportive of a ban, except one worried middle schooler.
“He wanted a new gas station to get snacks,” she said.
Fischer said her biggest objections came from classic car owners.
American Graffiti, George Lucas’ 1973 movie jammed with classic cars, was filmed in the town.
“We are not getting rid of all the gas stations,” she told objectors.
They seemed appeased, but will those arguments work outside Sonoma?
“Change requires early adopters and progressive communities, but we are not unique,” she said. “Everyone can see what’s going on. We need to change.”
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s