“Taiwan is currently facing a series of challenges in the form of global competition, economic stagnation, the wealth gap, insufficient distributive justice [and] a deteriorating quality of life, but the greatest danger is that political infighting and rampant populism is causing national development to get bogged down.”
Is this the same old criticism of the government from the opposition camp? No, it is part of Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) presidential candidate Hung Hsiu-chu’s (洪秀柱) nomination speech.
Hung’s comments on the political situation reflect figures that show during the KMT’s seven years in government, the nation’s fiscal deficit has worsened. The average annual deficit since President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) took office has exceeded NT$270 billion (US$8.6 billion). The nation’s real debt is NT$7 trillion and hidden debt stands at NT$24 trillion, which puts overall debt at 1.5 times GDP.
The worsening fiscal deficit has caused Taiwan to drop from 46th to 80th on the World Economic Forum list — as the debt burden averages out to NT$1.08 million for each Taiwanese. Last year, youth unemployment for the 20 to 24 age group stood at 13 percent, and among all OECD countries, the Taiwanese situation deteriorated fastest. This year, Taipei’s ratio of house prices to income became the world’s highest, while wages have fallen back to the levels of 16 years ago. Comprehensive income tax data from 2013 also show that the difference between the poorest 5 percent and the richest 5 percent in Taiwan has expanded.
Despite the government’s performance, Ma continues to be pleased. He told the KMT’s National Congress that he had “not let Taiwan down over the past seven years.”
Hung’s commentary on the political situation was in fact the best possible evaluation of the government’s performance. Ma is the weakest president in the history of the KMT.
KMT Chairman Eric Chu (朱立倫) might have served as vice premier and vice party chairman in the past, but his position is the same as that of a local government leader. In the past, the KMT chairman was president and had full control over the party, government and army. These days, Chu has to pay his respects to higher officials if he wants to attend a Cabinet meeting.
Chu used to be the KMT’s most popular politician, but at the time his party was looking for presidential nominees, he was unwilling to step forward, nor was he able to persuade any other powerful party members to throw their hat in the ring.
In the end, second-tier Hung became the party’s candidate, as Chu’s popularity dropped further. In order to drown out the competition and pave the way for Hung’s nomination, the party expelled five dissenting members, violating democratic principles. The result has been that people both within and outside the KMT have come to think even less of Chu, making him perhaps the weakest KMT chairman in history.
In every public opinion poll since she registered her candidacy, Hung has fallen far behind Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文). She even falls behind People First Party Chairman James Soong (宋楚瑜), making her the weakest presidential candidate the KMT has ever put forward.
With the weakest president ever and the weakest party chairman ever campaigning for the party’s weakest candidate ever, the only thing the party has going for it is its assets. Does Hung still fancy her chances?
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its