Despite an apparent consensus on lowering the threshold for constitutional amendments, the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) has thrown cold water over Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) proposals that the threshold be lowered.
The KMT’s objections have renewed attention to a Feb. 4 article published by the China Review News Agency (中國評論社) that criticized former president Lee Teng-hui (李登輝) for presuming to speak for the constitutional reform movement. The article said it was obvious that the Taiwanese independence faction was attempting to rewrite the Constitution under the guise of merely making amendments, adding that reducing the threshold for constitutional amendments was akin to opening Pandora’s box. It pointed to the storm kicked up in 2004 when then-president Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) tried to initiate constitutional change, and the US warned him against making any major moves involving territorial sovereignty.
A lot can happen in 11 years, and it is not necessarily the case that any moves now will result in similar tensions. Also, it was the US that invented the tactic of rewriting a constitution by introducing constitutional amendments. Following World War II, when US forces occupied Japan, the US forced Japan to accept a “foreign constitution” drafted by US lawyers within Allied Command, under the guise of “amending” the Meiji Constitution. Most Japanese only realized what happened after US forces left.
In 1952, with the end of the occupation and full restoration of Japanese sovereignty, there were calls for a new constitution. To this day, nothing has changed, although recently Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, with the blessing of the US, has been in the process of effecting constitutional change.
I am not Japanese, so I cannot comment on why the Japanese have accepted a foreign-imposed constitution all these years. However, the Japanese political commentator said Ito Tetsuo that Taiwan and Japan have something in common, in that both nations have developed a kind of taboo mentality when it comes to seeking a new constitution.
The idea of lowering the threshold for constitutional reform is not entirely unreasonable, especially with regard to the political and military situation in the Asia-Pacific. In addition, the independence movement is actually quite restrained. With the exception of the preface, the contentious part of the Additional Articles of the Republic of China (ROC) Constitution is changing the ROC’s existing national boundaries. At present, the threshold to amend these is the same as that for amending the Constitution, but these are dealt with in separate articles.
Therefore, a high threshold for existing territory, as mentioned in Article 4, could be retained. Meanwhile, the threshold for constitutional amendments as mentioned in Article 12 could be lowered. For the independence faction, Taiwanese and for the international community, retaining a high threshold for independence or unification would provide a welcome security wall.
If a referendum on independence or unification fails, it could well be 10 years before another is held. Therefore, supporters of independence might find a two-stage referendum the best option. This would involve an initial proposal to lower the threshold for changing the “existing territory” and, if agreed, it would show that the public is psychologically prepared for a referendum on unification or independence. If, the proposal is rejected at the initial stage, it would show that the time is not yet ripe.
Christian Fan Jiang is deputy convener of the Northern Taiwan Society’s legal and political group.
Translated by Paul Cooper
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its