To do research on diplomatic relations between Taiwan and the US, it is not enough just to copy from the diaries of Chiang Kai-shek (蔣介石). One must also read the Ministry of Foreign Affairs’ telegrams, Chiang’s special diplomatic cables archived by Academia Historica and telegrams declassified by the US Department of State. Such documents are not declassified and made available to the public until at least 30 years after their creation.
Starting in November last year, WikiLeaks has been releasing US Department of State telegrams, and this has allowed people to read frank statements made in private by political figures from China and Taiwan. It would be a big mistake to think of these leaked documents as mere gossip.
In writing his diary, Chiang often touched on Taiwan-US relations. His frustration with top diplomats Hu Shih (胡適), Tsiang Tingfu (蔣廷黻) and George Yeh (葉公超) is clearly expressed in his diary entries.
Some of the cables released by WikiLeaks relate to Taiwan during the period from October 2004 to February last year. They faithfully record reports made to the Department of State by successive directors of the American Institute in Taiwan’s office in Taipei — Douglas Paal, Stephen Young and William Stanton — about their conversations with Taiwanese government leaders. Although these WikiLeaks releases are not as spicy as -Chiang’s diaries, some of the people involved have compounded their errors by spreading “Internet rumors” in an attempt to evade responsibility for whatever they may have said in the past.
The fact that Chiang’s family chose to entrust his diaries to Stanford University, rather than Academia Historica or another Taiwanese institution, shows that they have more faith in the US than they do in Taiwan. Lobbying Chiang’s descendants to allow his diaries to be published in Taiwan was probably not the wisest course of action for the government of President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九). Just providing Taiwan’s academic institutions with a photocopy of the diaries so that researchers from home and abroad could come to Taipei to take their notes instead of going to San Francisco might work better as a soft-power approach that would give Taiwan a voice on these issues.
The US has often criticized Taiwan for leaking secrets, but the fact that someone managed to hack into the Department of State’s telegrams reveals weaknesses in the US’ own data security. Nevertheless, the leaks have allowed people in Taiwan to get a clear view of what our top government officials and opinion leaders say in their candid conversations with the de facto US ambassador. Affected departments in Taiwan have set up WikiLeaks response teams, but that has not saved government officials named in the leaks from making awkward responses.
WikiLeaks has also released cables sent from US diplomatic offices in China between January 2006 and February last year, and these documents provide China-watchers in Taiwan with some useful source material.
Chiang had his criticisms of the US government, for example over its decision to recall former US president Harry Truman’s special presidential envoy, General George Marshall, from China. Be that as it may, Chiang depended on the US more than he did on Taiwanese doctors. Through WikiLeaks, we can now see how Taiwanese politicians have shared secrets from the inner circle with US officials, while feeling unable to trust others from their own political camp, never mind their opponents.
In the process, the US has been able to play to both the pan-blue and pan-green camps and get to know the full picture of Taiwan better than anyone else.
Lin Cheng-yi is a research fellow at the Institute of European and American Studies, Academia Sinica.
Translated by Julian Clegg
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its