President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) and his administration have pinned almost everything that affects the nation’s future — military security, the economy and participation in international organizations — on China. Yet the number of Chinese visitors, the benefits of direct cross-strait transportation and exports to China have all fallen short of public expectations. With its sinking approval ratings, the Ma government is hoping China will help Taiwan secure observer status at the World Health Assembly (WHA) this year and thus remedy the situation.
Because the Chinese government promised to help in the joint communique issued by former Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) chairman Lien Chan (連戰) and Chinese Communist Party Chairman Hu Jintao (胡錦濤) in 2005, the government is confident about the bid to join the WHA.
But some complications seem to have arisen.
During the 2003 SARS outbreak, some members of the pan-blue camp said Taiwan should seek the help of the WHO by going through Beijing. In March 2005, Lien visited Beijing, leading to a Lien-Hu joint communique that said the Chinese government would help Taiwan within the “one China” framework.
Two months later, China and the WHO signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) listing eight Taiwanese seaports as Chinese quarantine ports and stating that exchanges between Taiwan and the WHO should follow the “one China” principle and be approved by China.
This kind of participation is even worse than “one country, two systems” in Hong Kong.
The KMT’s response to the MOU was unexpected. Not long after it was signed, Chang Jung-kung (張榮恭), director of the KMT’s mainland affairs department, said he had obtained a copy of the MOU and supported it.
After Hu made a speech last year to commemorate the 30th anniversary of China’s “Message to Compatriots in Taiwan,” in which he made six proposals to promote peaceful cross-strait development, Chang commended Hu for coming up with solutions.
As long as “Taiwan achieves its goal to join the WHA, the public should not oppose it,” Chang said.
He said the KMT had achieved something the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) could never have achieved.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs also boasted that the bid for WHA membership could succeed.
Recently, however, the Ma government’s readiness to accept Chinese arrangements has been challenged. On Mar. 31, the legislature’s Social Welfare and Environmental Hygiene Committee passed two bills proposed separately by DPP Legislator Huang Sue-ying (黃淑英) and KMT Legislator Ho Tsai-feng (侯彩鳳) that would restrict the government from accepting any arrangement with the WHO that could compromise Taiwan’s sovereignty.
This compelled Deputy Minister of Foreign Affairs David Lin (林永樂) to promise that Taiwan would not accept participation in the WHA based on the framework stipulated in the MOU.
But that promise was worth little: On April 5, an official confirmed that the Department of Health had been given the password to access the International Health Regulations (IHR) information portal late last month, enabling Taiwan to contact the WHO directly.
The department said the process was based on the Olympic framework, when in fact it followed the Hong Kong/Macau model outlined in the MOU. Under the Olympic framework, Taiwan is considered an autonomous and independent member, but now Taiwan will be a point of contact, meaning that the nation falls under China’s membership rather than being a member of its own right. The government’s acceptance without protest ran counter to the bills.
The public may not know of the exchanges between Taiwan and the WHO through the IHR Event Information Site, but Ma’s promise that Taiwan would be able to participate in the WHA next month cannot be ignored, nor can this insult to Taiwan’s sovereignty.
This adds uncertainty to closed-door negotiations between the government and China regarding Taiwan’s WHA participation. If the government insisted on following public opinion as reflected by the legislature’s bills, Ma would be viewed by China as breaking his word and his efforts to curry favor with Beijing would be spoiled.
If Ma yielded to the Lien-Hu communique and the MOU signed in 2005, it could cause conflict between the legislature and the government.
Ma’s motto is: “Never be pleased with a good thing for too long.” This, despite his own optimism over Taiwan’s bid to join the WHA. His shameful concession to China on the nation’s sovereignty was completely unnecessary.
Interaction between people from different countries is increasingly frequent. If Taiwan were affected by an epidemic, the whole world would be threatened. This is why the US, Japan and other countries actively assist Taiwan when we ask for assistance in cases of international outbreaks of disease, despite resistance from China.
The US’ Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) are much better equipped to deal with a disease outbreak than the WHO.
The reason Taiwan wants WHO membership is that it does not want to keep relying on foreign assistance and to have its national dignity slighted. If accepting US assistance hurts Taiwan’s dignity, then there is even less reason to accept a solution based on the MOU that is a hundred times more damaging to national dignity.
Nevertheless, the KMT insists on setting a trap for itself and jumping in. Its preposterous strategy will soon leave Taiwan with no options at all.
Lin Cho-shui is a former Democratic Progressive Party legislator.
TRANSLATED BY TED YANG AND DREW CAMERON
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its
RSS