American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) Chairman Raymond Burghardt recently visited Taipei and met leaders of both the ruling and opposition parties. When talking to the media, Burghardt expressed concern over China’s military threats to Taiwan and said Beijing posed a military threat to Taiwan as long as it has missiles aimed at Taiwan and that it should remove them. Perhaps President Ma Ying-jeou’s (馬英九) government mistakenly believes that some of the messages Burghardt conveyed were in line with their own policies. But the Ma administration is kowtowing to China despite the hundreds of missiles aimed at us. This shows how the Ma administration is obsessed with China while the US continues to keep its wits.
China’s military threat toward Taiwan is not something new. The 23 million people of Taiwan, regardless of their political affiliation and ethnicity, cannot escape the fact that they live each day with the threat of China’s missiles.
However, the administration, which constantly talks about putting Taiwan first and doing what is best for the people of Taiwan, is really only concerned with Beijing’s “one China” principle and its dream that China will give Taiwan some international space.
The government believes simply relying on China will be enough to save Taiwan economically. It has never addressed the military threat that China poses to Taiwan. Perhaps Ma’s team sees the 1,000-plus missiles as something pleasing, not the terrible threat they are.
Why does Burghardt have the courage to demand that China remove its missiles, while the Ma administration appears to care less about them? The reason is simple. The Ma administration has to beg China for many things and it cannot afford to offend Beijing because it sees China as Taiwan’s savior. It’s heavy reliance on China means it does not dare do anything not in line with China’s thinking.
Let’s look at it this way: Ma kowtowed to China for nine months before more than a fraction of the 3,000 Chinese tourists per day that he hoped would save Taiwan’s ailing economy actually started coming here. The Amway China cruise came to Taiwan and the government used 1,000-plus participants and the money they spent here to boast of what a great job it has been doing to bolster the economy. Officials keep talking about the benefits, and even the necessity of an economic cooperation framework agreement (ECFA) with China, but so far there has been no word that Beijing would actually agree to one.
Given these circumstances, how would Ma have the courage to demand that China remove their missiles?
The Taiwanese should not bother dreaming that Ma will make such demands. Neither the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) or the Ma administration have made a formal demand during the cross-strait economic, trade and cultural forum or other cross-strait talks that China remove its missiles. The administration’s cross-strait policies and dependence on China make it appear like a drug addict. It will never be able to kick its China habit. Direct links, Chinese tourism, the Straits Exchange Foundation-Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Strait pacts and relaxation of the restrictions on Chinese investment all clearly show how the government wants to make Taiwan’s economy completely dependent upon China’s. Once China has control over Taiwan’s core businesses, unification will be a mere formality.
Of course the loosening of trade restrictions and steps toward an ECFA have been welcomed by some businesses, support the government has used as an excuse to ignore public criticism. In terms of cross-strait trade, however, a conflict exists between the interests of those businesses and the public. Employment opportunities will plunge when Taiwanese businesses head to China in search of low-cost labor. Things may get so tough that people will not even be able to afford school lunches for their children. As unemployment rises and real wages drop, income distribution will rapidly deteriorate and we will ultimately see the formation of an M-shaped society where only certain individuals will be able to enjoy the benefits of economic growth.
Beijing has often said that its missiles are meant to guard against Taiwanese independence. The missiles are really aimed at expediting unification. But since this is in line with Ma’s goal of eventual unification, he views the missiles differently from the average Taiwanese and from the US. This difference explains Ma’s lack of regard for public opinion despite his “three noes” policy — no unification, no independence and no use of force.
Ma wants to lock Taiwan’s economy to China so that Chinese investment can flood the country. He is quite happy to postpone military procurements crucial to national defense and reduce the size of the military.
The public must wake up and face reality, no matter how many tourist extravaganza “reality” shows the government keeps throwing in our faces.
TRANSLATED BY DREW CAMERON
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its