The US remained Taiwan’s largest debtor last quarter as domestic banks increased stakes in US dollar-based assets to a record high, attracted by their high interest rates, the central bank said on Thursday.
As of June, the local banking industry reported international claims of US$549.9 billion, an advance of 1.88 percent, or US$13.34 billion, from three months earlier and increasing for six quarters in a row, the central bank said.
US government bonds accounted for the bulk of the extra exposure, it added.
The fund movement is not surprising, as the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates again in the second quarter, but Taiwan kept policy rates unchanged, it said.
Taiwan’s widening interest rate differences with the US spurred capital outflows from Taiwan and other Asian markets, and the trend persists, explaining why the local currency on Thursday weakened to NT$32.268 against the greenback in Taipei trading, it said.
“Global capital constantly moves around in pursuit of better returns,” the central bank said.
China was Taiwan’s second-largest debtor, but the overall exposure dropped to a new low since June 2020, the central bank said.
The pace of the retreat is not evident following insolvency reports over China’s major property developers, but had more to do with diminished business opportunity amid an economic slowdown, the central bank said.
Other countries such as Luxembourg, Hong Kong, Australia, Japan, the UK, Vietnam, Singapore and the Cayman Islands also made Taiwan’s top-10 debtor’s list with collective exposure valued at US$405.8 billion, the central bank said.
Taiwan’s exposure to Japan fell by one notch to sixth place, as Japan also suffered capital flight linked to its ultra-low interest rates, it said.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to