Oil pared earlier gains, pressured by the US dollar after US personal spending data outpaced expectations.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) for March delivery rose 1.23 percent to US$76.32 a barrel after earlier adding 1.5 percent.
Brent crude for March delivery rose 1.16 percent to US$83.16 a barrel.
Photo: Reuters
The US Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation measure — the personal consumption expenditures price index — came in higher than forecast, in the latest sign of stubbornly persistent price pressures, putting pressure on policymakers to keep ratcheting up interest rates.
US inflation figures were “closely watched on Friday, with the stronger-than-expected result clearly indicating that inflation is heading in the wrong direction,” Saxo Bank head of commodities strategy Ole Hansen said.
Oil prices have been whipsawed this year by bullish optimism around China’s rebound following the end of its COVID-19 restrictions and persistent concerns over a US economic slowdown. Wall Street banks are starting to temper their outlook for crude prices, with UBS Group AG and Morgan Stanley the latest to trim forecasts.
“Despite the fears over higher interest rates crimping oil demand, oil markets are on track to swing into a deficit as Chinese demand recovers and additional Russian output is shut in,” PVM Oil Associates Ltd analyst Stephen Brennock said earlier. “Bullish catalysts may be playing second fiddle to monetary policy concerns, but they will soon draw the attention of traders.”
On a weekly basis, oil prices stagnated as traders confronted bearish trends, including rising US stockpiles and a rebound in demand that has not lived up to expectations.
WTI posted a weekly loss of 0.03 percent, while Brent crude rose 0.19 percent.
US crude inventories have grown by almost 24 million barrels in the past two weeks, adding to an already oversupplied market.
Diesel prices also hit their lowest since before the war in Ukraine as inventories rise and Russia finds ways to export significant amounts of the fuel, BOK Financial Securities senior vice president of trading Dennis Kissler said.
Meanwhile, a proxy for US demand — the four-week average of gasoline product supplied — was at the second-lowest seasonal level since 2014.
Additional reporting by staff writer
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
Hong Kong authorities ramped up sales of the local dollar as the greenback’s slide threatened the foreign-exchange peg. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) sold a record HK$60.5 billion (US$7.8 billion) of the city’s currency, according to an alert sent on its Bloomberg page yesterday in Asia, after it tested the upper end of its trading band. That added to the HK$56.1 billion of sales versus the greenback since Friday. The rapid intervention signals efforts from the city’s authorities to limit the local currency’s moves within its HK$7.75 to HK$7.85 per US dollar trading band. Heavy sales of the local dollar by
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to