Confidence in the local economy improved slightly this month as worries over COVID-19 infections eased, while faith in the local stock market was also bolstered by a robust share price rebound, Cathay Financial Holding Co (國泰金控) said yesterday, citing a survey it conducted from Aug. 1 to 8.
The survey showed that 25.2 percent of respondents thought the economy improved last month, while 49.3 percent said the economy worsened, Cathay Financial said.
The figures translate into an economic optimism index of minus-24.1, up from minus-36.2 a month earlier, it added.
Photo: Fang Pin-chao, Taipei Times
Economic sentiment also improved, with the economic optimism index for the next six months rising to minus-43.8 from minus-60.7, it said.
The local equity market optimism index for the next six months rose sharply to minus-13.6 from minus-30.5, thanks to a TAIEX rebound this month, while the index assessing investors’ appetite to take risks improved to minus-5.5 from minus-14.3, the survey showed.
With improving sentiment toward the economy, the index assessing willingness to buy big-ticket items improved to minus-1.4 from minus-6.9, while the index gauging plans to buy homes fell from minus-57.9 to minus-58, the lowest in more than five years, the survey found.
The index assessing willingness to sell homes rose to minus-12.6 from minus-17.4, ending a four-month decline, it found.
Respondents on average estimated Taiwan’s economic growth at 2.76 percent for this year, up from 2.68 percent in a similar survey last month, with 73 percent saying they expected annual growth to top 2 percent
Respondents expected the consumer price index to reach 3.02 percent this year, slightly down from 3.03 percent in last month’s poll, with 58 percent expecting it to exceed 3 percent, the survey showed.
The survey collected 20,127 valid online questionnaires from clients of Cathay Life Insurance Co (國泰人壽) and Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行), which are wholly owned by Cathay Financial.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to